11/22/2017 3:25PM

Meadowlands: Saturday 11/25 Analysis


Best Bet: LOST IN TIME (8th)

Spot Play: NIKE FRANCO N (7th)

Race 1 - $10,000 Guaranteed Survivor Pick Ten Pool

Race 2 - $25,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 4 - $25,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Race 8 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

MEET STATS: 10 - 38 / $50.50 (-$25.50)

BEST BETS: 3 - 3 / $8.30 (+$2.30)

Race 1

(5) EVER AGAIN looked quite sharp in winning his qualifier and catches a soft enough field that perhaps even if he is a bit short having not raced since June, he can get the job done. (7) MAJOR WAR was a winner in this class back in April when last seen here. He seems to be in good enough form to pose a serious threat. (10) EVERY INTENTION has some gate speed in his arsenal and could certainly move up on the trainer change angle. (1) BUCKEYE IN CHARGE has been dull of late, but these are the types of spots where he could step up his game.

Race 2

(4) BROADWAY CONCERT slips under the AE earnings condition by just $72. She has been trying to rally from the back at Pocono, which is a recipe for failure. The switch to the big track should improve her chances. (8) SOUTH SIDE HANOVER came up a bit flat in the stretch last time while facing a tougher group. Four-year-old mare has the early speed to make some noise and perhaps win with the right trip. (9) MASSIVE LIGHTNING comes out of the same race as the former and finished ahead of her last time. That said, post 9 presents some issues for a horse that doesn’t usually get away fast. (7) HILL I AM broke at the start and still rallied nicely two weeks back. He is another contender if on his game. (3) FUTURE SECURED never got involved from an outside post in her first start for this barn; more now?

Race 3

Driver decision should play a huge role in this 4-horse field. While I think (4) HANNELORE HANOVER is the best horse, all of the cards seem to be in the hands of Dan Dube behind (3) EMOTICON HANOVER since they drew inside of their main rival. If Dube takes charge as expected and refuses to yield, his mare should prove tough to beat while offering better odds than Hannelore Hanover. The latter just beat the boys in the Breeders Crown and is the fastest trotting mare in history. I see a short price coming. (2) CAPRICE HILL usually stays close and is capable of picking up the pieces if something crazy happens.

Race 4

(2) MAMBO LINDY has shown he belongs with some solid elimination races efforts. In this short field, he just needs to have a clear path in the stretch to potentially pull off an upset. (4) CRAZY WOW is the clear favorite in this field, but only one of his five wins this year have come when he’s had to work hard setting the pace. I can’t see anyone in this field conceding the race to him and allowing a 56 half, but I guess it is possible; clear win threat. (3) PINKMAN has been slow to get back into racing shape, but I thought his qualifying win last week was the best performance this year. Could the former Hambletonian winner be ready to step up? (5) WHAT THE HILL has arguably been facing a more consistent group this year in the 3-year-old ranks. He’s fast enough to go with his elders but I’m playing against.

Race 5

All things being equal, I think (10) YOUAREMYCANDYGIRL might just be faster than (2) KISSIN IN THE SAND, but all things aren’t equal in terms of post position, especially when you consider than (9) RAINBOW ROOM, who has never been off the board in her career, will be leaving the gate strong just to Youaremycandygirl’s inside. Kissin In The Sand hasn’t done anything wrong in months and deserves the narrow call unless somehow she gets send off at odds-on. Youaremycandygirl is impossible to fault on paper and will not go down without a fight. (4) ALDINE HANOVER closed well from a tough spot last time and raced well while showing speed in the Kindergarten Final. She can get a piece of this.

Race 6

(3) HEY BLONDIE is the only filly in this group which has displayed that ‘next gear’ of speed this year. She has two sub 1:54 miles while only Dab Hanover has reached that plateau in 2017. With versatility and that proven speed on her side, I’ll lean to Hey Blondie. (6) PLUNGE BLUE CHIP destroyed her competition with a 26 2/5 final quarter in last week’s elimination, but isn’t she supposed to do that after a 59 2/5 half? I’m not willing to accept less than 2-1 odds on her until I see a faster mile. (8) SEVIYORUM has been a model of consistency. I imagine driver Andy Miller will need to leave this week. Those five seconds versus three wins rubs me the wrong way. (1) SMOKE AND MIRRORS sat a good trip and couldn’t sprint home coming off a five-week layoff. I’m not giving up on her that easily.

Race 7

(1) NIKE FRANCO N was driven very conservatively and seemed a bit short having missed three weeks of action. We should see a completely different set of tactics and a sharper horse this go-around. (5) DARLINONTHEBEACH took advantage of the situation and blitzed most of these last week with a sizzling performance. She’ll be leaving it all out on the track in the last start of her career. (2) PURE COUNTRY never got into the action last Saturday. With the right trip she has proven herself capable. (4) BEDROOMCONFESSIONS has proven her worth as a mare that can bide her time and pick up some big pieces late in the mile.

Race 8

Did you notice how fast (3) LOST IN TIME was motoring home in the stretch in last week’s elimination? Now with a start under his belt in the Jimmy Takter barn and from a much better post, I’ll be shocked if we don’t see a monster performance. (5) SPRINGSTEEN was the only other horse moving as quickly as the top pick in the stretch last Saturday. He’s been a killer since the private purchase and looms a serious threat. (9) STAY HUNGRY was brought along perfectly by trainer Tony Alagna and peaked at the right time off cover for a Breeders Crown win. He’ll need some new tactics if he wants to win this race. (2) CLOSING STATEMENT has been right there week after week. If Sears can work out a clean trip, I wouldn’t be shocked if he finished on the board at a price.

Race 9

I can’t say I was surprised that (7) FASHIONWOODCHOPPER was raced conservatively and lacked a powerful late punch last week; more disappointed. With the price likely remaining more than fair, I’m staying here and expecting more with the big money on the line this time. (5) FOURTH DIMENSION is arguably the best colt in this division and deserves to be the favorite at post time. I’ll use both in my pick for and feel confident. (2) WOLFGANG doesn’t rate as a win player for me here, but I think he’ll come away close and could get a piece. (9) TITO & (10) KINDA LUCKY LINDY have been racing well but most overcome difficult posts.

Race 10

Perhaps the most difficult to handicap of the eight stakes on the card, I’ll take a shot with (7) MCWICKED. He sizzled through a spectacular qualifier to prepare for this and only needs a decent pace to close into to have a big shot. (3) ALL BETS OFF is an honest horse who always brings a solid performance. (6) MACH IT SO has proven very capable of gunning to the front and never looking back. (1) DEALT A WINNER rebounded last time after a poor showing in the Breeders Crown; capable on best.

Race 11

(4) CALVIN B gets some serious class relief this week after even efforts in the NW15000 ranks. Veteran knows his way to the winner’s circle here and has no excuses in this spot. (3) JACKSRLUCKYTOO comes in from Pocono where he was racing one notch below the top pick. He does get a driver change to Tetrick and seems worth using in the pick four. (1) IWILLMAKEYOUSAYWOW & (5) ELRAMA N have both seen success here and are capable if they bring a top effort.

Race 12

(1A) TULLOW N raced very well despite dealing with adversity in his first North American start. He was trapped at the back with nowhere to pace until the stretch, had to wait for space between horses and paced home willingly with no shot. This isn’t an easy spot but he seems capable. (3) BAILEYS ROCK N ships up from Dover in fine form and should get tested for class against this group. (4) EXPRESS STRIDE N couldn’t overcome post 10 last out; contender in here. (5) ART HISTORY has the early speed to make some noise.

Race 13

I have to admit that I don’t have a strong opinion on this race. (6) NOBLES FINESSE closed well upon arrival and at least shows 8 wins in 19 starts this year. (1) DANCIN HILL comes off two decent efforts from outside posts in this class. (4) ULTIMATE BEACHBOY hasn’t been seen in four weeks and now appears in the Ron Burke barn; tough call. (2) FEARLESS LEADER N drops a notch and seems competitive. (5) RING WARRIOR has dangerous early speed.

[DRF HARNESS NEWSLETTER: Sign Up for the FREE DRF Harness Newsletter. Fresh content and insights delivered each week.]