11/17/2016 3:20PM

Meadowlands: Saturday 11/19 Analysis


Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 3 - $25,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Race 7 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

MEET STATS: 39 - 101 / $167.00 (-$35.00)

BEST BETS: 5 - 8 / $11.80 (-$4.20)


Spot Play: BORN TO FIGHT (3rd)

Race 1

(3) SANTIAGO STYLE gets written into this Non-winners of 2 race on the merits of having won seven races for purses under $2,600. It will be interesting to see how he handles the stretch out to the mile track. (4) COOL BREEZE DE VIE has been on a solid run at Monticello and should fit with this group. (1) TALENT SOUP comes off a win at Pocono in decent time for a barn that seems to be heating up slightly.

Race 2

(5) DOUBLE A CASH HALL ships in from Hoosier where he was facing some strong company including Rose Run Parker, who rolled the dice in the Open ranks on the east coast earlier in the year. This seems like a winnable spot. (2) WAITING ON A WOMAN tired on the lead last time but showed more form than in previous weeks. He could be ready to turn things around. (6) ROCK CASHEL is very consistent but I’d need a double-digit price to back him on the win end in this group.

Race 3

(4) BORN TO FIGHT was poised to pounce in the pocket last time at Pocono when he ran up on the leader and made a break. This is far from a strong bunch and he should be sitting close to the front. (8) SHEER FLEX gets class relief and has won at The Meadowlands in the past; dangerous. (1) WILD SMILE was facing tougher at Yonkers and does get sent out by Daley this week.

Race 4

(1) GAMBLER’S TALE never got involved last week but turned in a solid effort in one of these preliminary Dash for the G Notes events two starts back. In a field without a standout, he can take charge. (6) BULLVILLE KYLE showed some late life last time and does own a 1:51 win here this year. (8) CARD SHOCK doesn’t show up every week but is more than capable of beating this field if he feels like it. (3) BROADIES SONG drops in claiming price tonight.

Race 5

(6) THE BRUISER finds a field lacking early speed and on the class drop this week, he might be a good option to steal this race. Barn has started the meet hot with a 6-2-2-1 record. (2) WILD SHOT HANOVER is another with the potential to get aggressive early in the mile. (4) IYQ YQR closed well last time out and could be rounding into form.

Race 6

(7) LET’S FOAL AROUND has reached the basement condition at The Meadowlands and only needs to bring a decent effort to take care of business. (2) RANCOUSY is another who is in cheap; main danger. (3) KONA KID was cruising along on the engine when he broke last time; contender but others may be faster.

Race 7

(1) MOONLIGHTER has raced well for new trainer Andrew Harris if you ignore his last race when he had no shot from post seven. From the inside post, driver Joe Bongiorno should have plenty of options. (2) BETTING EXCHANGE was a solid second two starts back in this class. (10) JACKSRLUCKYTOO is the fastest horse in the race but you have to be careful considering the bad draw and long layoff.

Race 8

(6) CLASSIC AMERICAN N has been a bit flat at Yonkers for trainer Nick Surick. The switch to The Meadowlands could make a big difference. (7) ELITE AWARDS gets post and class relief but hasn’t won in 28 starts this year. (5) LAST DRAGON is certainly fast enough but horses from this barn tend to need a start coming off the bench.

Race 9

(4) PIER HO TEMPTATION took a bit of a break and raced very well at Vernon last time. Four-year-old has some go in his tank and seems like a great fit here. (3) GUANTANAMO BAY has great tactical speed and should be in good position. (6) EVER AGAIN is a sharp horses taking a shot versus older foes; mixed feelings. (7) GRAVELSINMYTRAVEL is certainly sharp and could be a factor if they mix it up on the engine.

Race 10

(1) TOTALLY DREAMY is in another field without much early speed. Coming off a win, I expect a more aggressive steer this week. (7) AMPED UP moves into a new barn and can easily fly off the gate and take them a long way. (8) STIMULUS PLAN is off the claim and instantly eligible to improve.

Race 11

(3) MISTER TRUTH drops ever so slightly off a solid second-place finish last Saturday. I’ll give him the slight edge over (2) WINDSONG GORGEOUS, who rolled down the road versus an abbreviated field last week after setting very soft fractions. (5) SAVAGE SEELSTER should be along for an exotics share but I’ll stick to just the top pair as winners. (1) THAT’S MY OPINION roared home last time and is sure to be overbet now. He is too unreliable to bet as anything other than a longshot.

[DRF HARNESS LIVE: Real-time insights from the DRF Harness team this Saturday at 7:00 p.m.]