11/09/2017 2:28PM

Meadowlands: Saturday 11/11 Analysis

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Best Bet: AMERICAN HISTORY (2nd)

Spot Play: TYMAL REIGN (1st)

Race 1 - $10,000 Guaranteed Survivor Pick Ten Pool

Race 2 - $25,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 4 - $25,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Race 8 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

MEET STATS: 5 - 13 / $26.40 (+$.40)

BEST BETS: 1 - 1 / $3.60 (+$1.60)

Race 1

(5) TYMAL REIGN took a shot and tired in her first start for new trainer Noel Daley last Saturday. That field was better than this group and I’m expecting a strong performance here. (2) LOTHARIO raced well in his career debut. With a small step forward he can have a big say. (1A) STRENGTH OFA WOMAN (1) PERFETTO form a solid entry for ‘Nifty’ Norman and either seems like a win candidate if things go their way.

Race 2

(2A) AMERICAN HISTORY is the real deal by most accounts. While he still has to prove himself versus Grand Circuit foes in the Governor’s Cup next weekend, this field, with the exception of perhaps his stablemate, shouldn’t pose any problems; clear single. (2) CAPTAIN DEO was sharp after being allowed to rate a soft half and perhaps he is just a late developer. (1A) IDEAL FEELING had some sneaky late pace in his qualifier and Brett Miller in the bike should get even more out of him. (5) J K FIELDING shows some good lines at The Meadows.

Race 3

(4) MASSIVE LIGHTNING has shown some form in between breaks over the last couple of months. With the addition of Tetrick in the bike, who actually chose this guy over #9, I’ll take a shot in a field without a standout. (2) KEYSTONE THOMAS returns from a five month freshening and we all know he is the best horse in the race if on his game; worth including. (6) WHATNBLAZES has a win here this year and does add Gingras this week. (3) TEASIN N PLEASIN drops down in class. She is good enough to win but hard to love.

Race 4

(8) MCACE OF ARTS has missed more than four weeks of action, which is a slight concern, but she jumps off the page as much the best if she brings anywhere near her best game. (1) FANTICIPATION should be headed to the front in this spot and is more than capable of an upset if the top choice isn’t ready. (6) SPILLING THE BEANS was racing well at Vernon before a fast half caused her to stop badly; could rebound. (2) MEAN LEEN has ability but is a 2-year-old facing much more seasoned mares, including (3) JARNAC, who Marcus Miller chose over her.

Race 5

(5) SOUTH SIDE HANOVER proved back in September that she can go with this crowd. She had a nice tightener at Pocono on Oct 31 and should have a shot at a price. (9) KARETS has enough early speed to make the front. If they leave him alone a victory is possible. (7) BUFF raced well in this class last time and now adds Gingras. (8) MARKET SHARE needs no introduction. He can obviously win with a clean journey. (2) NOT AFRAID was a bit flat after the layoff; capable of more.

Race 6

(3) BRUCE’S MAGIC finds a great spot this week to get aggressive as he did three starts back in a win at Philly. (7) GO BIG SPINDER raced well here in this class back in September and should offer some value tonight. (1) WESTERN JOE has been in some tough spots recently. Three-year-old could pick up his game. (4) SISKEL comes out of a very fast mile. He should be competitive; using.

Race 7

(4) CALVIN B wasn’t allowed to drop in class and romp even though he has made less than half the $15,001 qualification mark in his last 5 starts. Even so, I still think he is capable of winning with Tetrick picking up the drive. (3) OCEAN COLONY has made some money but hasn’t lived up to expectations. I guess he can win but it is hard to have faith in him. (7) SOME ATTITUDE was second behind a fast and classy foe last Saturday; threat. (5) ART HISTORY comes off a win and has 12 victories here the last few years.

Race 8

(5) ABBIJADE HANOVER got nipped at the wire last time but still seems to be the most likely winner on the engine again. (2) A HARD DAYS NIGHT was stuck with outside posts over New England tracks in her last two starts but took care of business the last time she drew well; Tetrick drives this week. (6) INVERSE HANOVER should be competitive in a spot like this one, but she is still facing older and only owns a 1:53 4/5 lifetime mark.

Race 9

(7) ROCK TO GLORY has loads of back class and the ability to blast down the road without too much early speed to his inside. (5) ALWAYS A DIAMOND gets a major driver change to David Miller and could show more. (8) ULTIMATE CREDIT has been stuck with outside posts on the half at Saratoga lately and does own a win here this year. (6) VICTORYDAZE WILWIN closed well last time and certainly has a chance with a clean trip.

Race 10

I’m really not sold on any horse in this race so I’ll be searching for a price. (3) HIGH OCTANE N has proven capable of waiting off the pace and charging the final yards for a win. He was a bit short after missing two months of action but fits nicely with this crowd. (2) TWINCREEKS JESSE is off a win at Philly and does have three Big M wins in 2016-17. (6) JUSTIFIED has no form to speak of recently, but this veteran is capable of leaving strong and making noise. (1) SUNSHINE WEST moves to a different class and I’m not sure he handles this competition; tough call.

Race 11

(1) SO TAKE THAT couldn’t get the job done from post 10 last week and now is rewarded with post 1. This is his race to lose as the chalk. (7) STRATOCASTER returns to The Meadowlands after some decent races at Monticello. He’s won three races here this year. (6) INTRIGUED INTENDED is off a nice mile at Saratoga.

Race 12

(4) QUALITY BUD comes off a decent effort here from post 9 and now picks up Gingras in the bike. (3) DAVID’S DREAM rallied nicely for the win a week ago; favorite in here? (6) SWORD OF THE SPIRIT raced well in his two Meadowlands appearances. (2) REACH FOR INFINITY & (7) VICTORY AT LAST both get positive driver changes.

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