10/27/2016 2:22PM

Meadowlands: Saturday 10/29 Analysis


Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Race 8 - $75,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

MEET STATS: 14 - 27 / $68.40 (+$14.40)

BEST BETS: 1 - 2 / $2.40 (-1.60)

Best Bet: WALNER (6th)

Spot Play: ROARING TO GO (5th)

Race 1

(3) AIR STRIKE was racing very well at Hoosier and qualified here in good order. These Indiana-bred horses have proven they can make it on the east coast. (6) CHIP WALTHER has come around in recent weeks and rates as the horse to beat. (1) MAC’S JACKPOT has been in some tough spots in recent weeks but I wouldn’t discount his chances. (11) HYPOTHETICAL should save ground early from the second tier and get into the exotics.

[MEADOWLANDS: Watch & Wager on all 12 Breeders Crown Finals this weekend + plenty of video analysis.]

Race 2

(2) STAY UP LATE comes off a game try where multi-millionaire Clear Vision proved too tough for him. This looks like a good spot to make amends for the defeat. (1) ITRUSTYOU picks up Gingras, who gunned this guy down the road at Tioga the last time he was in the bike. (6) DEMOCRACY N ships in from Yonkers in decent form; longshot player.

Race 3

(5) BOSTON RED ROCKS swung wide but really wasn’t going very far after chasing through a slow 56 2/5 opening half last time. I’m not sure this is an easy spot, but it is easier than last week and there seems to be plenty of early speed to set him up if driven conservatively. (4) IN THE ARSENAL has been hot and cold in recent starts; mixed feelings. (2) GHOST PINE finished close in a pretty quick mile last time and merits a look in here at a price.

Race 4

The 2-year-old filly trot really comes down to what you think of (4) ARIANA G. If you believe as I do that she is by far the fastest filly in the race, the potential for off-time odds around even money are very appealing. (10) PRINCESS AURORA is the one filly in the race which may have gotten me off #4. She came into her elimination on a roll and stormed home from an impossible spot after a very conservative drive. If there is any driver who can figure out a way to overcome post 10, it is new pilot Brian Sears. (3) CHEZATTER defeated the top pick off a perfect pocket trip last time; clearly dangerous. (1) THAT’S ALL MONI has never missed the board in 2016.

Race 5

(5) ROARING TO GO has impressed me over the last month with strong early speed and more importantly, a big finishing kick. I think she would have won by five lengths if the race was a sixteenth of a mile longer last Saturday. (9) IDYLLIC BEACH seems likely to drift well above the odds-on mark she has been going off week after week. Takter/Gingras filly raced against the bias and held well last time; very dangerous. (10) AGENT Q has never been worse than second in her career but could get lost in the wagering shuffle from post 10. (6) SOMEOMENSOMEWHERE is another who raced gamely against the off-the-pace bias; very playable.

Race 6

(2) WALNER jumps off the page against this otherwise evenly-matched group of rookie trotters. Unless he makes an unexpected mistake, there is no way he loses. (7) MOONSHINER HANOVER comes away from the gate well and that could make him the last of the early speed to get the front. He is clearly adept at chasing and the pocket behind Walner, who seems destined to make a quick backside brush to the front, is a good place to be. (1) GIVEITGASANDGO has plenty of form, a great record and an inside post to work with. (4) SORTIE looked good last time but needs to knock a couple of seconds off his lifetime mark to compete.

Race 7

(3) HUNTSVILLE & (2) DOWNBYTHESEASIDE are extremely fast freshman pacing colts that have separated themselves from the rest of this division. I’m going to give the slight edge to the former because he is simply more manageable and will allow driver Tim Tetrick more options than David Miller will have behind ‘Seaside’. (5) BOOGIE SHUFFLE has only missed the board twice in his career. He got stuck in a bad spot last week and closed willingly. (1) FILIBUSTER HANOVER has more ability than we have seen and could offer some value in the trifecta.

Race 8

On any given evening three or maybe four of these trotters can step up and take a photo. That said, for my money, (3) BAR HOPPING has the most dynamic turn of speed in the group. I’m looking for him to unleash a bold backstretch burst and hold on for the score. (2) MARION MARAUDER has won the Triple Crown and never throws in a dull effort; must use. (4) SUTTON has dangerous early speed but seems more one dimensional than the others. (9) SOUTHWIND FRANK was just OK last time and now is saddled with an outside post.

Race 9

With all due respect to the rest of these fillies, (5) BROADWAY DONNA has simply looked tremendous in recent weeks. With some outside speed signed on and two solid foes in posts 1 and 2, Miller should be able to bide his time and follow one of those foes for a sweet cover trip. (2) ALL THE TIME has done everything right since returning from surgery and displayed a quick stretch burst winning her elimination last out; one to fear. (8) FAD FINANCE challenged hard and held well in last week’s elimination and now adds Brian Sears. (1) CAPRICE HILL has missed the board once in 23 career starts. I respect her chances but will likely steer clear on the win end.

Race 10

(6) DARLINONTHEBEACH was used to the front, set the fastest half and three quarter times of the night and only lost by 1-1/4 lengths on a track that wasn’t overly kind to speed. I see no reason not to expect a strong effort at what could be 2-1. (3) PURE COUNTRY is racing as well now as she has all year. Jimmy Takter trainee will not go down without a fight. (4) NEWBORN SASSY has picked up her game in recent weeks but still rates as a bit slower than the top pair.

Race 11

(3) LYONS SNYDER responded nicely to the soft hands of Sears in last week’s elimination. In a field lacking a clear standout, I’ll take a stab here. (6) KATIES ROCKER got stuck in a bad spot a week ago and lost any chance. Gelding hinted at talent earlier in his career and doesn’t face an impossible task tonight. (1) WESTERN FAME is arguably the sharpest horse in the field but he’ll have to work very hard to go the distance. (5) RACING HILL wasn’t awful last time but clearly isn’t the horse he was earlier in the year; mixed feelings.

Race 12

(1) I’M SOME GRADUATE got nailed by the ground-saving (3) SPICEBOMB last week. I’m going to stick with him as he should be able to control the action if desired in this spot. The latter has a solid record in limited starts and remains a huge threat. (2) MISTY ON THE BEACH tired in the stretch after quick fractions a week ago; using underneath.

Race 13

(1) GURL BAND K comes in off a monster mile at Pocono and seems worth a shot. (4) NO CHASER wasn’t very good in the slop last time. She probably deserves a second chance. (10) V STRING & (9) CAVIART ALLY look good on paper but are saddled with outside posts. If either gets a decent trip they will be big players.