07/02/2014 3:43PM

Meadowlands: Friday 7/4 Analysis

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Race 1 - $25,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 3 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Race 7 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

MEET STATS: 67 - 222 / $395.40  BEST BETS: 11 - 17 / $41.20

 

Best Bet: MUSCLE MIDAS (5th)

Spot Play: ROCKET ROSY (7th)

Race 1

(2) REAL DJ HANOVER just missed in his lone qualifier but came home with a fine 28 1/5 final quarter. We’ve already seen Svanstedt get horses ready off the bench. (4) LONGCAT HANOVER has displayed the ability to take some air and finish well. (1) APOSTLES CREED is the first foal from a mare who earned just $128K. He qualified well but figures to be a short price for the team of Takter and Gingras.

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Race 2

(2A) CANEPA HANOVER demolished his foes in his most recent baby race. Colt is a half-brother to $1.9 million-earner Glidemaster. (1) STONEBRIDGE FORCE qualified well and dug in late in his lone baby race. His half-sister was the $927K-winning Creamy Mimi. (5) MOUNTAIN TOP is the first foal from a mare who earned $462K and trotted 1:53 2/5. Nice to see trainer De Cid call on a catch-driver.

Race 3

(10) CHEYENNE MIRIAM raced evenly in a C-1 the last time she was here. Post 10 presents some issues, but the class relief should allow Gingras to fire her off the gate and go a long way. (3) DELICIOUSLYNAUGHTY is a logical contender but has only 3 wins in her last 58 starts. (2) SPELL TO CAST gets some post relief and should be closer to the action.

Race 4

(2) MISSION BRIEF blew up in her career debut but is clearly fast enough to win this race. If the price is better, I’d take a shot. (7) SATURDAY MORNINGS went wire to wire to begin his career; clear threat. (9) JOSIE’S JOY didn’t show much in her lone baby race but is a half-sister to the talented Smilin Eli, who won $740K and trotted in 1:52 1/5.

Race 5

(1) MUSCLE MIDAS seems to be a step faster than this group right now and is perfectly drawn at the cones. (4) DEJATIERO raced very well in his career debut but got sick. If he is fresh and ready, watch out. (7) SOUTHWIND POSEIDON had to pick up some confidence with a convincing win last time.

Race 6

(8) SHEBESTINGIN added Lasix and looked very good in her recent qualifier. She should be headed down the road. (7) DROP THE BALL only needs a smooth trip to best this bunch and driver Smith was hot last weekend. (5) MATTIE TERROR GIRL is sharp enough to consider despite the tougher competition.

Race 7

(4) ROCKET ROSY couldn’t handle some tough mares after a five week break. This group is much easier. (5) WESTERN EMPRESS is very sharp now. (9) MAJOR LOOK comes out of the same race as the top choice and raced better than her despite a more difficult journey. That said, the outside post and new driver are negatives.

Race 8

(3) MY LEAP OF FAITH has been a bit unlucky in some of his recent races. He is just as fast as any in here and can get over the hump with a smooth trip. (2) PT’S BOOMERANG comes off a strong effort and seems to have found his ‘A’ game. (5) BOUNCING BAX finally got in the win column this year. Classy 4-year-old has a right to keep improving.

Race 9

(4) NEWSBOY MORIARTY finds a much better spot this week and should be tough to beat. (5) LAD PINE drops out of the same series as the top choice; must use. (10) BEAU JOE has the speed to overcome post 10.

Race 10

(1) WANNA WIN gets post and class relief this week. The last time she raced in a straight C-2 conditioned race, she won. (4) MISS MACHQUEEN exits the same race as the top choice and deserves some respect. (2) JARNAC has been third or better in 11 of 16 starts this year. (7) UF DRAGON’S QUEEN adds Gingras and has a shot.

Race 11

(8) SPEAK THE TRUTH is a decent young trotter who finally gets away from stakes foes. Toscano trainee could perk up against this field. (6) HILLUSTRIOUS only needs to stay trotting to have a big say in the outcome. (7) CEE BEE YES has early speed and ability. (4) LIGHTNING FORCE comes off a nice win but faces tougher.

Race 12

(2) MISTRESSWITHMUSCLE was reserved for much of the mile last time and finished up nicely in a fast mile. (6) SKATES N PLATES finally gets away from stakes competition. (3) ANGELS RANSOM should be forwardly placed.

Race 13

(5) MCKENZIE’S STAR comes off a pair of tough trips and should look to control the action against this dull field. (7) J CS JAKE had no shot while last on the rim most recently. (3) CAPTAIN PRIMEAU could perk up in a spot like this one.

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