07/29/2015 4:37PM

Meadowlands: Friday 7/31 Analysis


Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 3 - $25,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Race 7 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

CHAMPIONSHIP MEET STATS: 95 - 331 / $482.70 BEST BETS: 13 - 25 / $47.30

Best Bet: KATHY PARKER (8th)

Spot Play: TOM HILL (10th)

Race 1

(1) GIFTED WAY gets a nice post adjustment and has the early speed to take charge versus a suspect group. (8) FASHION CREDITOR has been facing mostly better foes and has a big shot on the class drop. (3) FIRST IN FLIGHT qualified with a good final quarter and unlike many in here, she doesn’t have a history of losing behind her.

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Race 2

(1) BROADWAY DONNA arrives on the big stage after successfully destroying her PASS competition. Homebred Fashion Farms filly from the combination of Donato Hanover-Broadway Schooner could be something special. (5) CELEBRITY EVENTSY had to wait for room and closed fast in her debut mile, plus Brett Miller chose her over a Jimmy Takter-trained horse. If she was in another division, I would have picked her on top. (4) HOLLYWOOD HILL has raced well so far but needs to find a few seconds to compete tonight.

Race 3

(7) ROCK ME BABY finally didn’t make a break when qualifying on Saturday and paced home with a visually impressive burst of speed. This daughter of Rock N Roll Heaven has some untapped ability and should offer a price. (6) SHOW TIME HILL has been right there at the wire in all three lifetime starts. (4) ALBANY GIRL picks up a catch-driver and could be handled aggressively. (3) SOULMATE HANOVER looks fast enough to compete.

Race 4

(3) WOMANS WILL won her first two career starts before running into Broadway Donna in her most recent outing. She looks as good as any in a wide-open elimination of the Jim Doherty. (5) GIFTED LADY couldn’t quite keep up with the speedy All The Time, who wasn’t eligible for this series. John Campbell should have her forwardly placed. (7) TWICE IS RIGHT could end up as the favorite and I didn’t like her most recent effort enough to back her at a short price. (8) HOT CURRY has displayed enough ability to compete given a reasonable trip.

Race 5

(1) SOUTHWIND FRANK blasted down the road in the NJSS final and went much faster in that start than any of these have ever travelled. (8) TACO TUESDAY qualified very well but blew up at the start in his pari-mutuel debut. I’m not ready to give up on this guy yet. (5) EARN AND BURN comes off a decent try and figures to be close to the action. (6) ALEXANDER HANOVER bested the former from the pocket last time out.

Race 6

(2) GURAL HANOVER looks like one of three potential early speed players in the race and he is perfectly drawn in the middle of the trio, ensuring no worse than a pocket trip. You have to think this guy will like the idea of not having to face JL Cruze for the first time since June 28, also the last time he won. (5) WIND OF THE NORTH qualified nicely in his return from Sweden and figures prominently. (4) CLASSIC MARTINE seems likely to get away third if she leaves and might need some stretch luck. (2A) HANDOVER BELLE just missed a week ago in the Open Handicap; insurance for the top choice.

Race 7

(4) REAL DRAMA has been stuck in bad posts in her last two starts and didn’t exactly get perfect trip in her previous pair of outings. Four-year-old seems as fast as any in here when on her game and should have a big shot in here. (9) CAVIART SHELLY is 15-for-19 in the money this year and has the early zip to overcome the outside post. (1) WITCH DALI is going to win one of these weeks and I hope I have her on my tickets that night. (7) INITTOWINAFORTUNE drops down and this barn is capable of sending out a winner at any time.

Race 8

(4) KATHY PARKER comes off a nice win at Pocono and may just be a small step ahead of this group right now. We see driver Johnny Takter come in from Sweden every year at this time and win a race, so don’t count him as a negative. (8) ENCORE GOLD comes off a win and picks up a catch-driver this time. (6) SILVIA was a sharp winner two starts back. Can she find that form?

Race 9

In a race that is loaded with talented youngster, (9) WINTER HARBOR was a very impressive winner pulling away from weaker foes with ease in his career debut. The post and more talented competition are obstacles, but he may just be that good. (6) BAR HOPPING always seems to be coming hard late in the mile and he may offer value with Jimmy Takter in the bike. (8) BROOKLYN HILL dropped two seconds in his most recent race, but that was only good for fifth. Another step forward puts him right there with this bunch. (4) LAGERFELD doesn’t seem to mind taking some air on the rim; quality I like.

Race 10

(1) TOM HILL impressed in his latest qualifier and seems to have some ability. (3) MICHAEL’S VICTORY tried to blast down the road at Pocono and came up just short. That can be a good learning experience. (9) BOTTOM DEALS is another young colt that has shown me some promise. The outside draw is the main negative.

Race 11

(1A) THE BANK raced huge in the Stanley Dancer but I could also see him getting an easy week with the Hambletonian coming up; he’s best, but have mixed feelings. (5) DONATOMITE has been progressing slowly as he gets down to the time he needs to compete in the Hambo next week. I’ll be using him tonight and keeping an eye on him for next week if he races well. (1) FRENCH LAUNDRY is coupled with the top choice and a strong alternate if he decides to get an ‘easy’ race. (2A) CRESCENT FASHION is off consecutive wins and steps up on the big track now.

Race 12

(1) LIGHTNING STORM almost went down the road despite missing a few weeks last time. It seems the trotting hobbles have worked. (5) DREAM ROCKER moves from an amateur driver to Gingras; at least some improvement expected. (4) ELIN has been racing well lately and should be along for a good piece. (3) JACKIE GOLDSTEIN was caught up in a fast pace most recently; exotics player.

[THE MEADOWS: Watch the entire Adios Day card LIVE on DRF.]