07/01/2015 4:28PM

Meadowlands: Friday 7/3 Analysis


Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 3 - $25,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Race 7 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

CHAMPIONSHIP MEET STATS: 66 - 227 / $324.90  BEST BETS: 8 - 17 / $25.70

Best Bet: JACK VERNON (4th)

Spot Play: SHOW TIME HILL (1st)

Race 1

(4) SHOW TIME HILL is the sixth foal from a mare that has thrown three to pace in sub 1:53 as 2-year-olds, which is a good sign. Her qualifiers are good; no reason not to like her. (8) BLUE MOON STRIDE chased home a good one in Pure Country, who won at Pocono at first asking. (5) SONOMA VALLEY is a half-sister to three $500k-plus earners and hails from the Takter barn. She has a shot but seems likely to get overbet.

[MEADOWLANDS: Watch the Graduate Pace Final and entire Friday card--Live on DRF!]

Race 2

(4) BROOKLYN HILL has been raced conservatively in the morning in preparation for his debut, but you get the feeling that this $390,000 Harrisburg sale topper has at least some talent. (1) SOUTHWIND FRANK has looked good at Gaitway; first foal from this mare. (6) BAR HOPPING can’t be faulted after winning his latest qualifier by 12 lengths.

Race 3

(2) CRAZED N LINDY is back at the Meadowlands in a winnable spot with one of the better amateur drivers in the bike. (8) DREAM ROCKER got trapped along the cones and shook free too late to have a shot at the top spot a week ago. If driver Joe Lee gets very aggressive, he can win. (3) JACKS TO OPEN is the likely favorite and clearly has a big shot. (1) BLOOMFIELDCANTIFLY stole the race on the engine last time; capable.

Race 4

(1) JACK VERNON was a very professional winner in his most recent baby race. He avoided a breaker, raced three-wide on the first turn and dispersed of an early stretch challenger with a strong final quarter. (3) SOUTHWIND FLASH has done nothing wrong in the mornings at Gaitway. (2) DOMINION BEACH is a full brother to Muscle Diamond, who trotted in 1:53 4/5 as a 2-year-old.

Race 5

(5) IDEAL ROCKY kicked home in 26 4/5 to win his career debut. He is deserving of top billing off that effort. (8) BOSTON RED ROCKS flashed speed at both ends of the mile to also win his first career race; clear threat. (2) ROAD BLOCK folded on the engine in his only pari-mutuel race; different tactics tonight?

Race 6

(3) ALL THE TIME was a solid winner in her most recent qualifier and it can’t hurt that John Campbell joins the team. (8) SILVIA finds a field in which most didn’t look overly impressive while qualifying. Since I didn’t see her Gaitway efforts and they look okay on paper, she seems worth a look in the post parade. (2) HOLLYWOOD HILL is a half-brother to The Bank, who trotted 1:53 4/5 for Takter as a 2-year-old last year. While he sports a fast recent line, he was slow off the gate and to make the front. Plus he took a bad step in deep stretch.

Race 7

(2) LYONS SNYDER is a half-brother to $1,726,617 earner Aracache Hanover and his qualifiers at Gaitway have been strong. (6) RODEO ROCK posted a solid debut mile to be second and deserves some respect off that effort. (3) TOMMY’S DELIGHT blazed the way on the engine and held sway well enough in his Meadowlands qualifying debut. Trainer Casie Coleman typically sends them out ready and Miller chose this one over my second choice. (4) SPICEBOMB was clearly a bit green in his debut, but he paced home strong with no chance into a fast final quarter. I’d take a shot with him at a big price.

Race 8

(1) IRON had a chance to make some serious noise in the Goodtimes final but made a costly break. Cantab Hall-sired colt has shown some talent and looks like the clear one to beat. (6) PROPULSION went back to his breaking ways last time. If he minds his manners, he has a legitimate chance. (5) SOUTHWIND POSEIDON is another coming off a break who is fast enough to compete if he reverts to form.

Race 9

(2) GIFTED WAY was a professional winner in her latest qualifier while kicking home with a solid final quarter. Trainer Jimmy Takter tends to have them ready to fire at first asking. (3) SKARA BRAE was very fast off the gate in her last morning effort but couldn’t hold off the top choice. That said, she only lost by a neck and deserves consideration. (10) DREAM CHILD was David Miller’s choice over #3, but something tells me that is because this one has more talent as we move forward.

Race 10

(2) DOO WOP HANOVER looks for the series sweep and couldn’t be any sharper. He had an impossible trip and that didn’t even seem to faze him last time. This race goes through him. (1) ROCKEYED OPTIMIST just missed to his uncoupled stablemate last time and seems like the only horse sharp enough to give him a run for his money. (4) ALL BETS OFF figures to revert to early speed tactics from this post and has a slight upset chance.

Race 11

(2) ROCKLAMATION put in another ho-hum effort last time, but wasn’t really bad as she paced home in 25 3/5. This is a much better spot and she won’t get another chance from me next time if she loses. (5) BEACH GRANNY hails from the hot Elliott barn and could make some noise with the right trip. (1) THAT WOMAN HANOVER has big early speed and that should work in the top choice’s favor.

Race 12

(2) STORM POINT was no real factor in the Fan Hanover and had her trouble in PASS action, but she drops down tonight and should show us what she can do. (7) MOREMERCY BLUECHIP has been racing very well on the NY circuit and gets a chance on the big track. (8) B STERN wired the field a week ago; very dangerous despite the tougher company. (9) BETTER SAID also drops out of stakes action and could awaken. (6) DREA’S GOOD POWOW has been racing against some decent older foes and now faces mostly 3-year-olds.

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