06/17/2015 4:29PM

Meadowlands: Friday 6/19 Analysis

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Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 3 - $25,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Race 7 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

CHAMPIONSHIP MEET STATS: 52 - 177 / $258.70  BEST BETS: 6 - 13 / $18.10

Best Bet: RIVER RUNS THRU IT (11th)

Spot Play: ACT NOW (8th)

Race 1

(6) CRESCENT FASHION gets some serious class relief after facing some heavy-hitters in NJSS action. (2) MAGENTA MAN made two miscues last July and hasn’t been seen from since. Both qualifiers with trotting hobbles added look promising. (8) SOBORO HANOVER has displayed the ability to trot fast when he minds his manners.

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Race 2

(1A) A PLUS just missed in her last start at this level and her recent qualifier was a solid effort behind a good 4-year-old. (1) SHE’S A HOT MESS has some ability but hasn’t been able to put it all together. (4) LISSAN gets to drop out of NJSS but finished behind the top choice the last time they met. (2) SWEETWITHOUTSUGAR looked good in her only career start; this is tougher.

Race 3

(4) PASADENA STAR was aired out nicely on Tuesday in a second-place finish and gets the narrow call in another evenly-matched Amateur race. (1) ALTERNAT THURSDAYS has a tough trip at Plainridge Monday and no real chance from outside posts in other recent starts. (7) FOX VALLEY LEGEND comes off a pair of wins and is an obvious player. (6) MY MUSCLEMAN is in a relatively easy spot; capable. (9) CAPTAIN PRIMEAU bested a similar group from post 10 last time; using.

Race 4

(6) PROPULSION came up with a big qualifying mile last time and might finally be able to live up to his initial $250K price tag. (2) SOUTHWIND POSEIDON has raced well each of the last three weeks and is clearly one of the horses to watch. (5) JUSTIN ON BROADWAY has raced well in all recent starts and finished ahead of #2 last time.

Race 5

(2) REAL DRAMA goes for the Cathedra Dot Com hat trick and has actually won three straight already. I wouldn’t call her a lock, but it is hard to love another horse to beat her. (3) BRUSHSTROKES can’t seem to get over the top versus some of these lately, but she is clearly sharp enough to win given the proper setup. (8) THAT WOMAN HANOVER successfully bottomed-out the field last week and is always dangerous at this level. (5) OCEANS MOTION will be firing off the wings of the gate and could easily score the mild upset.

Race 6

(5) OBRIGADO had absolutely no chance after chasing slow fractions in the Charlie Hill. He can step up with Tetrick hopping in the bike. (6) DW’S NY YANK will likely be heading to the front and could take this field a long way; must use. (2) MASTER OF LAW just missed in a fast mile last time at odds-on. (7) MELADY’S MONET is back at the Meadowlands and could return to form.

Race 7

(10) FATHER PATRICK got nipped at the wire by (4) JL CRUZE last time, but I’m not going to hold it against him. I still think he is the best trotter on the track. The latter hasn’t been worse than second all year and is clearly a win threat. (1) GURAL HANOVER has speed and an inside post. He’ll need to pick up his game to go with the top pair.

Race 8

(5) ACT NOW showed how talented she is as a 3-year-old but has yet to live up to those expectations in two starts against older foes. There is plenty of outside speed signed on to this event and I can see her getting the right pace scenario to come storming late at a price. (2) BEACH STORY was second behind a mare that is racing against the best in the country at Mohawk this week. If Callahan can secure a decent trip, she’ll be a factor. (6) MAJOR DANCER qualified sharply with Lasix added; there is talent here. (7) HOT LIST has been a killer since moving into the Marks barn. (9) INITTOWINAFORTUNE has been sharp almost all year; hard to ignore.

Race 9

(2) LIGHTNING STORM doesn’t exactly jump off the page, but the inside post should help his chances against a field with question marks. (8) QUICK DEAL continues to be fast and erratic. Will he mind his manners this time around? (4) HOME TURF minded his manners with hobbles added in his qualifier.

Race 10

(9) ROCKEYED OPTIMIST has enough tactical speed to gain position from the outside post and the extra 1/8 in distance should give him ample time to find the seat. He’s been one of the best pacers all year and deserves the edge. (11) JK ENDOFANERA has seen a light schedule this year and perhaps that has kept him from a huge mile. If Gingras can work out a trip from the second tier, watch out! (8) DOO WOP HANOVER might have been my choice from an inside post, but he hasn’t shown much early speed and he could have a bunch of horses to pass. (5) ALL BETS OFF seems likely to try coming from off the pace in this spot; that might be a good thing. (1) LYONSSOMEWHERE is off a career best mile.

Race 11

(2) RIVER RUNS THRU IT is down in class this week and should take charge. (6) ROCKINGCAM PARK is another getting class relief. She has been off her game tackling older foes but could wake up in this spot. (5) GLAM CAM gets a trainer change to one of the hottest stables this side of the Mississippi.

Race 12

(7) TREVOR’S BEBE closed well in his first start in five weeks and can build on that mile. (8) HIT BY LIGHTNING improved when dropped to this level last time. (5) MYSTICAL DANICA ships in for a barn that tends to send them here ready. (6) BIJOU THEATER is technically staying in the same class as last week, but this is an easier spot.

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