05/18/2016 2:40PM

Meadowlands: Friday 5/20 Analysis


Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 3 - $25,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Race 7 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

CHAMPIONSHIP MEET STATS: 16 - 45 / $94.50 (+$4.50) BEST BETS: 3 - 4 / $7.70 (-.30)

Best Bet: OBRIGADO (7th)

Spot Play: WILDFLOWER (4th)

Race 1

(5) WINDSUN GALLIANO rolled down the road with Gingras and Lasix added to the equation. He switches to an amateur this week, but he is one of the more capable ones in Kleinhans. (2) DOC SIMON’S DREAM comes off a Billings win for an amateur with the hot hand of late. (9) FOX VALLEY LEGEND can be tough to handle but can kick home strong if in striking position.

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Race 2

(7) ALL THE TIME is a potential divisional leader facing what seems to be an easy field. I worry that she’ll be handled cautiously in her first start of the year, but she should win regardless. (4) BATOUTAHILL raced well in her 2016 debut and can build on that effort. (6) COCO TRUFFLES also did okay off the bench and can show more.

Race 3

(3) CATCH A MISSION sat off a slow pace and sprinted home with no shot in her first career pari-mutuel race. I’m expecting a more aggressive drive to put her in good position versus a better field. (8) JIMMY WILLIAM couldn’t keep his act together last time, but this is still a talented youngster. (9) STICK OF BUTTER enjoyed being close to the action last time; big threat. (7) TACO TUESDAY had some sneaky trot in his latest qualifier. I wouldn’t be shocked if he won, but waiting for a better spot seems logical.

Race 4

(1) WILDFLOWER wasn’t bad in her two qualifiers and none of these jump off the page for me on paper. We’ve seen trainer Ake Svanstedt get horses ready off layoffs in the past and this looks like a prime spot to cash at a nice price. (7) NEW LEAF put in some decent races last year and her recent form at The Meadows is good. (4) SOUTHWIND HOPE rarely misses the board and wins her fair share; likely favorite.

Race 5

(4) MOONLIGHT RANSOM has burned more of my money than I’d like to admit, but I just don’t see another horse in this race that entices me even slightly. As long as he doesn’t have to work too hard early, he should be able to get home first. (1) CARD SHOCK never got involved on a speed favoring track last time. Don’t be shocked if he steps up. (3) LAWGIVER HANOVER comes in from Yonkers and finds a soft spot.

Race 6

(4) SOUTHWIND FRANK was a professional winner in his second comeback qualifier. The early Hambletonian favorite drew nicely in a bulky field and seems likely to head to the front to avoid any trouble. (9) JACK VERNON was a willing second behind the top choice in their most recent qualifier. He displayed a quick step away from the gate that morning and should be able to find good position if Callahan desires. (5) BROOKLYN HILL hasn’t shown me quite enough in the morning, but let’s see what he has on tap when the real racing starts. (7) BAR HOPPING has ability but seems to be pointing to events down the road.

Race 7

(6) OBRIGADO picked up his first win of the year at Yonkers last time and seems to be ready for a big mile on the bigger track. (4) ROCK OF CASHEL couldn’t be in better form. This field is tougher than the foes he has been facing, but he can compete. (8) MELADY’S MONET won the Open Handicap when last seen at The Big M.

Race 8

(7) SHEEZA SHARK N was overbet and didn’t respond in her first try in the top class. She is back in a NW15000 and gets regular bike Brett Miller in the bike. (5) GWENEEEE J hasn’t been able to get over the top but does pick up a new driver; maybe. (3) IMAGINE DRAGON raced well in her first start since October; more now?

Race 9

(3) NOWUCIT NOWUDONT rolled down the road to win his qualifier by open lengths in his first start for Richard Johnson. He should have every chance for a repeat performance in pari-mutuel action. (4) DANISH DURANGO rebounded from a break to close well last time; dangerous dropper. (1) NO RECESS was my top pick last week as a price play; using again.

Race 10

(8) RULES OF THE ROAD visits the basement condition and reunites with driver Corey Callahan. She has to win this race, right? (1) VERDI was even after missing nearly four weeks; drops. (7) GET TO DOIN IT looks like a player on paper but hasn’t won in a few months.

Race 11

(5) MICHAEL’S POWER was used keeping up early and couldn’t close the gap late on a night when speed was golden; slight edge. (3) GRATIAS DEO has proven he can win at higher levels than he is at tonight. (2) PRINCE PALANI remains at a winning level and has a clear chance.

Race 12

(8) PURITY came up second best last Friday as the pocket-sitter set a lifetime mark. Let’s stay here against another mostly blank field. (3) FASHION ROCKER drops in for a lower tag and should be on the move early. (10) ROYAL ENGAGEMENT has plenty of early speed in her tank and should be somewhere on your ticket. (9) BALLINEEN should race well against this type but rarely leaves and is stuck with an outside post.

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