05/13/2015 4:48PM

Meadowlands: Friday 5/15 Analysis


Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 3 - $25,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Race 7 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

CHAMPIONSHIP MEET STATS: 15 - 52 / $64.90 BEST BETS: 3 - 4 / $8.70


Spot Play: ACELO HANOVER (12th)

Race 1

(8) SHOW BIZ HALL was absolutely on cruise control in his latest qualifier and finds a cushy spot for his 2015 pari-mutuel debut. (1) FASHION TRIBUTE had no shot from post 10 in his first start of the year; worth another look. (3) CUP TOWN GIRL came back to the races with a decent qualifier and now races for the Svanstedt barn. (4) NORTHERN GRACE broke to begin his career but is deserving of a second chance.

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Race 2

(1) GUESS WHOS BACK didn’t try in his first qualifier and was extremely sharp last time. I’ll lean to him, especially if he is second choice behind (6) CANEPA HANOVER, who finished a fast closing second in his first start on the road to the Hambletonian. (4) NATURAL KEMP has almost no chance of besting the top two if they behave, but can get third.

Race 3

(8) TWO HIP DIP made a break as the chalk last time. If he behaves in here, guess what, he’s the one to beat. (1) CUTUP HANOVER was a solid second last time and gets a better post to work with now. (6) LOCK DOWN LINDY has some ability and will hopefully put it all together sooner rather than later.

Race 4

(2) MUSCLE DIAMOND is a horse I expect to be handled conservatively and I truly wanted to play against him in this spot. Ultimately, even if he grinds uncovered, he just looks best. (4) EL DIABLO BR took plenty of air and was still a solid second in his 2015 debut. He can definitely build off that mile. (7) FRANCH LAUNDRY was third in the Breeders Crown final last year and finished willingly in his qualifier; capable.

Race 5

(10) THAT WOMAN HANOVER freefalls down the condition ladder and really should have no excuses for failure. (4) OCEANS MOTION & (1) BRUSHSTROKES finished second and third, respectively, at this level last time and are the obvious threats if the top one comes up empty. (3) RIVER RUNS THRU IT moves into a high percentage barn and adds Gingras; worth considering.

Race 6

(1) JERSEYLICIOUS certainly got a bit leg weary in the final steps despite holding on to win her first start of the year. The classy 5-year-old can build on that performance and use her early speed to secure prime striking position. (8) RADAR CONTACT has put in a big effort nearly every week and is a must on every ticket. (6) KATIE SAID rallied nicely in her first start of the year and first for the Takter barn. Perhaps she is ready to be a big player in her first year against older foes.

Race 7

(5) OPULENT YANKEE has the early speed to take control or sit a perfect pocket trip. Four-year-old has yet to finish worse than second in 13 starts this year. (2) WORLD CUP charged home versus a convincing winner in Muscle Network; very playable. (6) RESOLVE finished fifth in the Hambletonian last year. Now 4-year-old debuts for a new barn and could be worth a look on the track. (4) HANDOVER BELLE can be a threat if she gets her act together.

Race 8

I was really up in the air on where to go in this race and I can definitely see pressing the ALL button in this leg of the pick four. (9) SAYITALL BB was a bit better in her last start but still got passed by most of the field. That said, she is facing an easier group this time and still looms as dangerous. (5) ANGELS DELIGHT pulled off the upset at this level two starts back. (2) ADDYS WAY picked up some confidence at Tioga and returns here at a reduced level. (6) BEACH STORY has talent but might need a start.

Race 9

(9) QUICK DEAL burnt plenty of money when he broke as the favorite last time. He drops back down tonight and looks like the one to beat if he elects to behave. (2) IN NOMINE PATRI also gets some class relief and has the early speed to make his own trip. (5) POUNCE HANOVER threw in his first clunker in some time; rebound candidate.  (6) HILL I  AM was a bit better last time and could be a value play in the exotics.

Race 10

(5) EXQUISITE GLIDE picked up a win at the Meadowlands last year and his qualifier was solid; taking a shot in a field of question marks. (3) B YOYO minded his manners with hobbles added for the qualifier; maybe. (6) DREAM ROCKER has early zip and should be a player. (7) TWISTED PRETZEL is purely a Gingras call.

Race 11

(3) RULES OF THE ROAD looked sharp in victory last time and seems worth following. (5) MISSION BRIEF is obviously going to be 1-9 in this spot and should win by 10 lengths. I just don’t see any point in picking her at that price in her 2015 debut. (1) RILEY’S DREAM should be in the exotics somewhere. She has finished second in all four career starts.

Race 12

(3) ACELO HANOVER jumped it off at the start and did his best to rally to no avail. Five-year-old was making his first start for a high percentage barn and a couple of adjustments could vault him over the top. (1) SAWBUCK moves into a very live barn and adds Gingras. (2) HRUBYS N LUCK should save ground and get a decent piece. (6) BUCKEYE IN CHARGE is worth trifecta consideration.

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