05/11/2016 3:28PM

Meadowlands: Friday 5/13 Analysis


Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 3 - $25,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Race 7 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

CHAMPIONSHIP MEET STATS: 10 - 22 / $68.70 (+$24.70) 

BEST BETS: 2 - 2 / $5.10 (+$1.10)

Best Bet: JIMMY WILLIAM (4th)

Spot Play: B YOYO (6th)

Race 1

(3) SHANGHAI JACK made a miscue at Freehold last week, but it seems that was a common occurrence on that off track. This looks like a decent spot. (5) DOC SIMON’S DREAM took plenty of air and paid the price last time; needs better trip. (1) SAM’S HONEYBEE has the early speed to fire out from the inside and protect his position; chance.

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Race 2

(2) RIGHT STUFF closed well from a tough spot in her 2016 debut. She should have every chance to turn the tables tonight. (7) JK FANNIE has done everything right in two starts this year. (3) TONIGHTIMLOVINGYOU had the jump on my top pick and held on by a neck last time; clear player. (8) SHOW TIME HILL had some sneaky late pace in her last qualifier and did put up a 1:53 2/5 winning mile here last year. I’d use her if the price was right.

Race 3

(4) KEYSTONE THOMAS continues to race well every week and should be cutting the mile in this spot. (5) MR LOVER is clearly as fast as or faster than this group but is prone to mistakes. Perhaps having the trainer in the bike tonight is a plus. Who knows the horse better? (7) JACKS TO OPEN has a top amateur in the bike and is certainly capable of winning.

Race 4

(1) JIMMY WILLIAM probably shouldn’t have won his 3-year-old debut two weeks ago, but he simply flew home for the victory. He just seems more talented than tonight’s competition. (6) SWEET ROYALTY comes off a couple of good miles at Pocono and raced well when last seen here. (7) COMMENTARY qualified back okay but still remains a risk to break.

Race 5

(6) CATCH A MISSION makes her career debut versus a somewhat lackluster field. Let’s give her a shot. (5) STICK OF BUTTER was much improved last week and should be a factor with a similar effort. (3) SIGMUND comes off a decent qualifier versus a potential Hambletonian prospect.

Race 6

(5) B YOYO closed like a freight train but simply had too much to do last time. This guy just may be sharp enough to down Hambletonian winner (4) PINKMAN, who makes his first start of the year off some decent qualifiers and seems likely to be bet early and often. (1) BOURBON BAY finally gets a good post to work with and might be able to work out an easier trip.

Race 7

(4) BETTOR BE STEPPIN was seemingly dull last week but she was facing better foes and did come home in 26 3/5. I’m taking the stance that the fact that she showed early speed was a positive and she can take another step forward on Friday. (5) LOVINEVERYMINUTE was a steady fourth last week and seems to be in a decent spot again. (6) SAYITALL BB should be headed to the front early and could take them a long way.

Race 8

(3) WAITING ON A WOMAN continues to drop in class. Last time he was used hard to a 55 4/5 opening half and he should make the front more easily this week. (6) DANISH DURANGO looks good if you ignore the break last time. (7) REAL DJ HANOVER doesn’t jump off the page but hails from a barn that seems to be sending them out live.

Race 9

(4) STACIA HANOVER jumped it off as the heavy favorite while appearing much the best on paper last week. I’m going to give her a pass and take the better price this time. (5) SASSA HANOVER perked up over the bigger track here; dangerous. (7) CLEAR VIEW HANOVER has done well here, especially with Tetrick in the bike.

Race 10

(6) PURITY raced okay against better most recently and can’t be faulted for losing to a horse that was written into the race under the AE condition. (5) FASHION ROCKER comes off a win at this level. (7) BALLINEEN gets a better post to work with and that can’t hurt.

Race 11

I’m not sure this is the best spot, but (8) FOX VALLEY LEGEND is back in the Harmon barn after a Michael Russo simply couldn’t get him going. Don’t be shocked if he flying by most if not all of his eight rivals late. (5) WINDSUN GALLIANO picks up Gingras and could certainly pick up his game. (2) BELL A CHICK was stuck in a brutal spot and trotted home willingly late. He can win this race. (7) IMA GOLD DIGGER N finally woke up last week. Maybe he can get on a roll?

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