04/01/2015 3:53PM

Meadowlands: Friday 4/3 Analysis


Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 3 - $25,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Race 7 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

MEET STATS: 143 - 547 / $770.30  BEST BETS: 19 - 45 / $70.70

Best Bet: GWENEEEE J (3rd)

Spot Play: KINGAPORE (2nd)

Race 1

(1) NEWCASTLE comes north after a pair of decent qualifiers for a solid trotting barn. In a field with no standouts he deserves at least a long look on the track. (6) ROYAL BECCA J posted a good effort upon arrival and should be forwardly placed. (5) STONEHAM stayed around a bit better in the stretch with Lasix added and could take another step forward.

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Race 2

(5) KINGAPORE got away near the back from an outside post and trotted evenly the rest of the mile. That start last week was his first since June and improvement can be expected. (6) CEDARRIDGETAG was never asked in his qualifying victory a week ago. Did the big track cure his breaking issues? (8) MCKENZIE’S STAR tries his luck at the Meadowlands again and finds a soft spot.

Race 3

(2) GWENEEEE J caught my eye with a sparkling late rally to win her qualifier going away. This one appears to have some ability. (5) AMERICAN TRUTH picked up her first career win at Pocono last time and looks like an obvious threat. (8) BOSSERS JOY was placed in stakes races as a 2-year-old and made $110k. She has a shot to hit the board but might need a start.

Race 4

This is my public proclamation that I will not pick (4) OUTBURST again if he doesn’t win this race. He adds Lasix and there are no excuses for failure. (2) STITCH IN TIME jumped it off as my top pick last Friday. I’m inclined to give him another shot. (3) SCORCHER HALL adds hobbles to try to keep him trotting. When a 6-year-old with 10 starts in the last two years and 25 starts in his career adds hobbles, the problems likely run deeper. (8) LEXIS AMIGO needs some pace help and has to mind his manners.

Race 5

(6) MR RIDGETAKER was flat late in his first start for the McDermott barn. This race seems to lack an abundance of early speed and I can see driver Peter Kleinhans grabbing the bull by the horns. (1) FOX VALLEY LEGEND is the obvious 3-5 favorite on paper. That said, he only seems to do his best work for trainer Rob Harmon and he is coming off a break; proceed with caution. (5) WINDSUN GALLIANO rallied nicely a week ago and could be a threat with the right trip. (7) BAMBINO HALL is capable and worth using.

Race 6

(5) SAYITALL BB was facing some heavy hitter in the Matchmaker at Yonkers and got stuck with post eight in her prior start. I can see her offering value in this wide-open field and she has the talent to win. (3) ADDYS WAY is one of the sharper horses around for a barn that has been firing all meet. (7) RADAR CONTACT has more seconds than wins lately but deserves respect.

Race 7

(5) MUSCOLO took care of business in the preliminary round of this mini-series and looks like the obvious choice for a repeat. (4) LOOKING HANOVER is not the horse he used to be, but this 10-year-old could take advantage of possible speed duel between a bunch of outside leavers. (6) SWEET JUSTICE has lost my confidence, but I still respect his ability to step up when right.

Race 8

(6) PAN LUIS OBISPO dropped down last week and was unlucky to catch Mattie Terror Girl, who has since moved up to the Open ranks. This is her race to lose. (1) BETTOR CHILL OUT raced well as a 3-year-old and now has a start under her belt in 2015; possible upsetter if ready. (5) TREVOR’S BEBE has proven reliable on the bottom of the exotics.

Race 9

(4) BLACK MAGIC EYES comes with the questions of a scratched-sick line, but she only missed one week. Seven-year-old mare drops in class and looks like the one to beat. (8) ART IDEAL raced well off the bench and could easily take this group. (5) CANDY STYX N made a middle move and tired a week ago. Perhaps that is a sign she is ready to go forward.

Race 10

(6) VIBE BLUE CHIP was a bit better last time and perhaps the month off helped. He hasn’t been posting many wins, but there are no standouts in this field. (5) B L CLASS ACT drops way down and has to be considered a top contender. (1) AGGRESSIVE put up a big win here in early March. A repeat of that mile would result in a win. (3) GENIUS AT WORK raced reasonably well in his 2015 debut and can build on that effort.

Race 11

(1) ROLLS BLUE CHIP has won three of his last five races, all at different tracks and one here at the Meadowlands. I’ll give him the narrow call in a tough race. (4) TIRADE HANOVER was off his game last week. Maybe the switch to Callahan or the weaker competition will turn things around. (7) TWIN B SPIKE MAN has the ability if he is ready in his first start since October. (8) UPFRONT BILLY will be involved and could win if things go his way.

Race 12

(1) MISSSOMEBEACH BLUE drops back down to a similar condition where he blew away the competition by seven lengths a few starts back. (2) ANGELS DELIGHT qualified well enough and does have some class. (3) JANIE BAY tried to close from Manhattan and came up short last week; better post helps. (6) BRING THEM HOME takes a step down the condition ladder and has Gingras.

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