04/10/2013 4:07PM

Meadowlands: Friday 4/12 Analysis




Race 1 - $25,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 3 - $35,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Race 7 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

MEET STATS: 71 - 331 / $410.00   BEST BETS: 10 - 28 / $39.80

Best Bet: TEMPLE OF DOOM (12th)      

Spot Play: WISHING STONE (11th)

Race 1

(10) MUSCLE MOUNTAIN has been super in those qualifiers, but this field didn’t exactly come up light. I’m hoping that Gingras, who is leaving for Yonkers after race 1, can find an early tuck and score at a nice price. (4) LEAVE YOUR MARK is clearly the one to beat but certainly not a lock in here. (6) JAILHOUSE JUICE closed a ton last time, but comes with breaking risks; tough call. (2) CRAZY ABOUT PAT beat my top choice in his recent qualifier.

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Race 2

I really didn’t want to pick the somewhat risky (1) ORDER BY KEEPER in his first start of the year as the likely favorite. But most of these look pretty sketchy on paper and those that look interesting are drawn way outside. (9) DOC BOYLE seems to have ability and should be tighter in her second start of the year. (8) SECRET INGREDIENT trotted home willingly on his own in his most recent qualifier.

Race 3

(7) BIJOU THEATER overcame slow fractions and a bit of a bias towards speed to sweep the field impressively. This bunch is tougher but I’ll take a shot. (4) GORDYS FILLY YENTA got away slowly and called it a night in her most recent race. She is better than that. (2) MISS SAND CREEK drops a notch; capable.

Race 4

(6) HEIDI FALLS gets a better post and a more accomplished pilot this week. I worry that he’ll be overbet on the driver change angle but this really is a good spot for him. (5) PAISLEY has high early speed and was Miller’s choice. (4) ORDER BY CORLEONE & (2) JULIAS WAY look like legitimate exotic players.

Race 5

This race appears to be severely lacking early speed types. (2) RUB THING has been racing fairly well against decent competition at Yonkers and has proven to be quick off the gate in her past tries at the Meadowlands. (5) CLEAR VIEW HANOVER closed well on the outside despite a clear bias against that trip. (6) LOVE YOU BYE is the other gal with early zip; using.

Race 6

(6) CAMERON CHIP stays in the same class as recent weeks but seems to be in a softer spot. With two or three early speed players signed on, it could set up her patented late rally. (3) WINDSUN GALAXIE could not keep up versus better in a fast mile last time. This B-2 condition should suit him. (1) CELTIC MERCHANT is clearly in form.

Race 7

It looks like all 10 of these get to come back in the final next week. That makes me leery of which horses will be going hard tonight with a bigger payday next week. (4) BUBBY JO raced uncovered and held well in just her second start of the year; could improve. (9) DAY BLUE CHIP looks like the clear favorite but has yet to leave hard in 2013. Will she get an easy trip and wait for next week? Tough call. (3) ARTIES LAST PARTY shows consistent early speed and should be involved in the exotics. (1) LADYS ART was my pick last week. I’ll just watch tonight coming off the scratch-sick line.

Race 8

(6) OUTLAW could be a sneaky play in here. While he was awful last time, Corey Callahan chose off a horse he won back to back races with for this guy. The gelding also drops from the B-2 to C-1 level. (2) HELIOS gave it his all but was a bit short after missing six weeks. (7) IN FOCUS is clearly fast enough. Behaves? (4) RINGSIDE LAURYN  & (3) BLOMKVIST would be no surprise.

Race 9

(9) RUNAWAY TRAY jumps off the page for me against this questionable group. Miller should have her on the move early and barring any trip issues, she should take them a long way. (3) KIMMY figures to be near the front, but her 6 seconds in 11 starts does not inspire confidence on the win end. (5) I DO IT MYSELF draws better this week.

Race 10

This field is filled with horses that can trot fast one week and break the next. (6) FROM ABOVE drops to the C-2 basement condition this week after another break last time. I’ve seen Callahan wake up a few of these in the past. (8) BUZZ BOMB is another risky performer getting a driver change off a break. (3) KENDALL BLUE concludes the last-out breaking trio. Trainer Tyler Raymer gets in the bike this week to try and figure out her troubles. The change might help her.

Race 11

(5) WISHING STONE makes his Burke barn debut and driver Yannick Gingras sees fit to drive back from Yonkers to take the assignment. I’ve seen too many of these Burke horses win off qualifiers to deny his chances at a price. (1) GUCCIO has the ability to be the best trotter in the sport this year; qualifier was sparkling. (6) ICE MACHINE got a more relaxing trip last time. The competition is turned up a notch this week.

Race 12

(1) TEMPLE OF DOOM raced well in defeat last week and deserves a chance to make amends; controls the action. (2) SOLVATO seems likely to be much better than a B-1 trotter as the season progresses. His qualifier was good but he might need one pari-mutuel start. (7) HARBOR POINT was ready to roll by Ice Machine and Sevruga when he made a break last time.

Race 13

(4) ANTIGUA HANOVER was up against it last week in the Weiss series at Pocono. Somebeachsomewhere filly picks up Pierce this week and could be ready to roll. (8) JK LETITGO raced very erratically last time. She can win, but let’s look for some equipment changes. (6) MS CAILA J FRA beat the former at high odds last week.