03/02/2016 5:39PM

Meadowlands: Friday 3/4 Analysis


Race 3 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 5 - $25,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Race 9 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

MEET STATS: 105 - 369 / $619.30 (-$118.70)

BEST BETS: 14 - 27 / $59.90 (+$5.90)

Best Bet: WORLD CUP (10th)

Spot Play: MASSACAIA (1st)

Race 1

(6) MASSACAIA comes off an even effort from post 10 which looks like a toss from my viewpoint. His prior effort was a solid win and while it was seemingly ‘down in class’, that group shapes up favorably with tonight’s foes. (2) MAGENTA MAN was handed his first loss of the year while tackling better last week; obvious threat. (5) ULSTER comes out of the same race as the former and certainly has a shot.

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Race 2

(3) HIPPITY HOP has a couple of starts under her belt now for a barn that tends to take it slow with young horses. She is still facing the boys and older opponents, but there are no monsters signed on in here. (4) CURFEW is the obvious horse to beat at short odds if you can overlook the recent breaks. (2) CYPRESS POINT comes off a decent effort and can get into the number.

Race 3

(2) WINNERS OVER closed well from an outside post at Yonkers with no shot in her first start since September 1, 2015. Her level of ability is still in doubt, but she faces a field full of questions. (4) ARTISTIC GUSSIE rallied nicely on the switch to the big track. (6) WEEKLY SPECIAL got caught in a fast mile at Yonkers on Monday and should find this group more to her liking.

Race 4

(1) THAT WOMAN HANOVER hasn’t been very good of late but does have some class and faces a dull group. While I wouldn’t say I’m confident she will win, I do think she is the best mare in the race. (8) CNDIANA JONES took plenty of air from post 10 last time. She has a legitimate chance with a cleaner trip. (7) YOU LITTLE RASCAL passed some horses in her first start since December and could show more now. (2) KELLI RACHELLE returns to the Big M at a reduced level.

Race 5

(1) DANISH DURANGO comes with the risk of a possible break, but if he behaves this is clearly his race to lose. Also worth noting that driver John Campbell stays here over his brother’s horse, Opening Night. (6) T JS MR LAVEC has displayed the ability to go down the road here and was simply in too tough last week. (3) JACKIE GOLDSTEIN is no world-beater but should hit the ticket somewhere.

Race 6

(1) KASCARA ROSA comes with the risk of a break, but if she minds her manners I expect her to get the job done for this high percentage barn. Notice the removal of the trotting hobbles prior to her last qualifier. (9) CELEBRITY STIMULUS raced in an Amateur race rather than a qualifier and probably got more out of that anyway. He fits perfectly in here if up to speed. (2) KEYSTONE TREVOR should save ground and have a chance if the trip works out.

Race 7

(7) BEACH GRANNY raced okay from post 10 in her first start since October and can show more now. (8) BETTOR CHILL OUT had no shot closing off slow fractions against better company a week ago; better spot. (3) HEY KOBE is another making her second start off the bench; shows more?

Race 8

(3) ROCK OF CASHEL couldn’t be much sharper. He proved he can go with the Open types on Feb. 19 and looks to be in a good spot to pull off the minor upset. (6) OPULENT YANKEE is probably the one to beat this week with Gural Hanover taking the week off. (5) CROSBYS CLAM BAKE is certainly sharp and could be sitting a sweet trip behind #6.

Race 9

(5) INITTOWINAFORTUNE was locked in the pocket and had to check late while appearing to have something left in the tank. If she is rounding into form (which appears to be the case), I expect she’ll try to cut the mile. (1) SAYITALL BB raced reasonably well in her first start since November and can certainly improve for a Ron Burke barn that was heating up last weekend. (7) CLEAR VIEW HANOVER has won two of three starts at this level but loses Tetrick, who is in Florida.

Race 10

(2) WORLD CUP came up with a nice effort last out and seems to be sitting on a peak performance. (4) YOU ROCK MY WORLD ships in for a barn that has had plenty of success this meet. I wouldn’t be shocked if he showed early speed and raced big. (3) HOT SUMMER KNIGHT just missed in his last appearance in this condition.

Race 11

(7) LOONEY DUNE drops down for the fourth consecutive week and actually displayed some semblance of life with early speed last time; winning spot. (8) SWEET TIME comes off a sharp winning effort. (4) LEAN ON YOURSELF raced well for fifth on the drop-down considering she made a break during the mile.

Race 12

(7) MC TINY’S HOPE raced well from off the pace a week after besting lesser foes with an early speed move. This group looks soft and he can take charge. (1) WINDSUN ILLUSION has been right there every week and is clearly facing easier this time around. (3) VEGLIANTINO doesn’t win enough for my tastes but should get into the lower exotics somewhere. (6) MARION MILLIONAIR has early speed and could be dangerous if she behaves.

Race 13

(7) BAD DAY BLACK ROCK is sitting on a win from what I’ve seen in recent weeks. This field is abysmal and he has no excuses. (3) TEA PARTY POLITICS has dangerous early speed. (1) HOT START raced well at this level two starts back but seems to be a follower with her lackluster 2 for 24 career record. (2) MY HEIDI is better than her recent performances.

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