03/09/2016 5:43PM

Meadowlands: Friday 3/11 Analysis


Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 3 - $25,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Race 7 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

MEET STATS: 111 - 395 / $646.90 (-$143.10)  BEST BETS: 15 - 29 / $62.90 (+$4.90)

Best Bet: AVA N ELLA (5th)

Spot Play: UPFRONT BILLY (6th)

Race 1

(10) KEYSTONE THOMAS was perfect in four starts at the Meadowlands during amateur competition with Heckhoff in the bike. That includes a win from post 10. Ignore the bad form. (8) JACKS TO OPEN had some issues last week while facing tougher. Amateur Driver of the Year Hannah Miller should get a better performance out of him this time. (6) CELEBRITY STIMULUS has an inside post edge on the main competition.

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Race 2

(4) BEACH GRANNY got a speed-tightening mile in last time and now drops in class. If she can't best this group, it may be time to lay off her for a few more starts to follow. (8) MISSSOMEBEACH BLUE drops for the third straight week and should prove competitive. (2) SWEET TIME has early speed and picks up Tetrick.

Race 3

(4) MICHAEL'S WILD BOY wasn't going far from post 8 at Freehold a week ago, but raced well when last seen here. This field is awful and he deserves the call. (8) OPINION HANOVER hasn't won in some time but probably hasn't faced a field this easy, either. (7) KAMERON P has a bit of ability and actually stayed flat with hobbles added in his most recent qualifier.

Race 4

(2) DETROIT RAPPER is an interesting case since you have to decide if his lack of success has to do with racing in the Open ranks or just bad form. I'm going with the former. (4) ULSTER finds a field that lacks an abundance of early speed; good trip likely. (3) WORLD CUP is certainly in good form but can't seem to fight his way to a win. (1) CHARLES VII drops down and should offer decent value. (6) MAGENTA MAN remains a factor at least underneath.

Race 5

(10) AVA N ELLA is perfect in two starts and now moves into a more prominent barn and picks up a catch-driver. Against this weak field, despite post 10, all signs point to a win at 3-5. (1) SHE CAN CRUISE raced against experienced stakes-caliber older mares in her recent qualifier and kept up nicely. She may be ready at first asking. (7) CAMEO DELIGHT has been stuck with outside posts at Yonkers and seems to be coming into form now. (6) SHESGOTTHEBEAT shipped in and raced reasonably well.

Race 6

(4) UPFRONT BILLY didn’t quite live up to expectations for me last week against a much tougher field. I have to think he gets the job done this time. (6) BLUE MUSE gets post and class relief; big threat in here. (1) ANGELS RANSOM has proven capable when he minds his manners. (10) MONEY ON MY MIND drops down and has the speed to menace.

Race 7

(1) MR LOVER finds a field loaded with early speed and he does pick up Tetrick again; taking a shot. (4) T JS MR LAVEC gets the top first, which gives him the best chance of not being used too hard early. (7) WALLTOCOUSINS has been leaving in the morning and qualified really well. With the right trip he can win.

Race 8

(4) ROYAL ENGAGEMENT raced better than I expected last week and now gets an improved post to work with tonight. (9) THAT WOMAN HANOVER reunites with Tetrick and should be firing off the gate. (1) BLACK MAGIC EYES seems like a fit in here but needs to stay in striking position.

Race 9

(8) MODEST PRINCE has been uncontrollable on the engine in recent weeks, but you have to think Tetrick will try to keep him calm and make one run this time around. This field is ripe for the taking. (4) SCORCHER HALL won up in company last time and drops in for a tag tonight to avoid a class jump. (6) STONEBRIDGE IDOL should hustle to the top and be involved.

Race 10

(2) MADMAN HALL finds himself down in class with a clear shot at the early lead from post 2. I can see Schnittker sticking close in second or third and pulling off the upset. (1) BROOKROAD KNIGHT gets a much better post to work with this week and should be involved. (5) HALL PASS HELEN hardly looks like a world-beater but is in cheap against a mostly formless group.

Race 11

(8) CLEAR VIEW HANOVER has won three straight with Tetrick at the controls and doesn’t exactly face any killers tonight. (4) SAYITALL BB didn’t exactly improve as much as I hoped last time, but she has class. (2) NOT BEFORE EIGHT is right there each week and might get over the top sooner or later.

Race 12

(2) SHEER FLEX is in theory moving up in class off a good second-place finish, but I thought the group he faced in NW5000 was tougher than this NW7500 field. (8) MC TINY’S HOPE has the early speed to make an serious impact. (5) FUSION POWER gets Tetrick back in the bike and faces easier.

Race 13

(1) SPECTATOR K moves into a good barn and has won here in the past. (6) BIG BANG HANOVER has been facing slightly tougher and gets the best post he has seen in some time. (2) LAZURUS was competitive versus better most recently. (3) CATALYST is more of a Freehold horse but he is capable of getting into the money.

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