02/03/2016 5:01PM

Meadowlands: Friday 2/5 Analysis


Race 3 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool ($18,653 C/O)

Race 5 - $25,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Race 9 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

MEET STATS: 85 - 285 / $472.10 (-$97.90)  BEST BETS: 11 - 21 / $42.90 (+.90)



Race 1

(7) BJANTHONY has raced well in each of his 2016 starts and always seems to bring an honest effort to the track. I think he can get the jump on the field early and be sitting in a perfect position. (9) CELEBRITY MASSIVE did everything he could and closed well from an impossible spot last out. If he can get in a live flow, the possibility of an upset is there. (8) CURFEW went down the road last time and is a serious threat again if he makes an easy lead. (5) HERCU LINDY raced well in his lone 'big track' start for this barn. Tetrick in the bike is a nice plus.

Race 2

(4) UVA HANOVER gets a huge post shift this week to the inside of his main rivals and should sit no worse than a pocket trip. (6) OPULENT YANKEE is another that gets the benefit of the post assignments. He should dart to the front and control the race. (7) CAN DO was an impressive winner a week ago but seems destined to come first over this time. If he wins off that trip, so be it. (5) DETROIT RAPPER was flat last time but is capable.

[PICK FIVE CARRYOVER: Derick Giwner's video analysis of the $18,653 Friday Meadowlands carryover]

Race 3

(7) HILL I AM qualified back well and finished with good trot in his first start since August. Former NJ Sire Stakes champion gets the narrow call in a tight-knit race to start the $18,653 pick five carryover. (4) B L CLASS ACT has raced well with Campbell in the bike and did so again last Friday. This guy can pop a big mile at times. (6) SUPER CLASSIC worked out a good trip but lacked enough punch late against better foes last time. (1) MR LOVER moves into a new barn and that is always an angle to watch, especially in a field full of question marks. (2) LONG STORY SHORT & (3) OVER AND OUT would be no shock.

Race 4

(4) BLACK MAGIC EYES has been trying to close from last, which is no easy task. She gets class and post relief this time around and should receive an aggressive steer. (5) SENORITA SANTANNA could be worth a look moving to the 'big track' after some just okay efforts at Dover. She is coming off a 9-win year. (2) VILLAGE JESSICA has early speed and figures at least underneath. (7) EXOTIC BEACH gets away from a sharp foe in Game Of Dreamers.

Race 5

(1) JACKIE GOLDSTEIN was under a hold waiting for room that didn't develop until too late a week ago. He'll be overbet  but looks like the most likely winner. (5) SHEER FLEX chased slow fractions last time and was Tetirck's pick over four others. (3) IM NOT VANILLA is clearly in form and driver Scott Zeron was red hot last weekend.

Race 6

(4) NORTHERN GRACE came up short while uncovered after missing 21 days of action. She only needs to be slightly better to win. (2) KEYSTONE THOMAS is in a perfect spot to work out a pocket trip and his only downside is the possibility of too much outside speed messing up the plane. (5) ITS PAYDAY FRIDAY has shown he can trot a big mile; dangerous.

Race 7

(7) CLEAR VIEW HANOVER took charge against lesser last time but is more than capable of handling a class jump. (9) NOT BEFORE EIGHT is going to need a bit of help in terms of pace setup, but if the track is playing favorably she could charge home at about 8-1. (1) MONTENEGRO moves from outside posts to pylon position. Veteran mare is capable of winning. (8) RADAR CONTACT has the class and is inching in on millionaire status. That said, I'm going to give her a start after the two month break.

Race 8

(3) TWO HIP DIP threw in a clunker last week but his prior effort was fine. A class drop tonight combined with a different set of hands at the controls should only help. (2) T JS MR LAVEC comes off a game try on the engine and merits a long look in this spot as a wire to wire threat. (5) FOX VALLEY LEGEND had too much to do in his most recent race; chance with a clean trip.

Race 9

(5) CROSBYS CLAM BAKE made breaks in exactly the same spot at Yonkers in two of his last three starts. He's back at the Meadowlands now and at a reduced condition. I'm expecting a big effort. (1) B YOYO drops out of the Open and we saw Andy Miller take over for Bongiorno last week and win one. (2) BORN TO FIGHT has form on his side but tackles some tough foes.

Race 10

(6) PURITY dropped to this condition and put in a big effort. In fact, she's been racing well most weeks; narrow call. (7) HAPPILY EVER AFTER drops back down to the level where she was a good second two starts back. (3) BULLVILLE MAGGIE could pull off a big upset with the right journey. (1) ALWAYS ABOUT KATEY was pretty bad last time and now steps down the class ladder. I know this mare is better than what we saw but the 1-35 record for trainer Heidi Rohr is hardly appealing; mixed feelings.

Race 11

(3) ANDOVERS TOUCH qualified very well and was under a hold late in his debut for new trainer Scott DiDomenico. This is a dull field and I'm going to take a shot here despite the barn's 0-10 record. (6) WISHIN IWAS FISHIN would be 3-5 with a top catch driver. Ten-year-old is capable of pulling off the upset. (2) MY HEIDI is somewhat unreliable but wouldn't be a complete shock.

Race 12

I've looked at this race two separate times and none of these bottom level mares even comes close to jumping off the page. (3) MISS DEFIANCE dropped to this level last time but couldn't get involved from the outside post. She moves inside now and should provide decent value. (8) BRING THEM HOME took a shot on the lead and battled gamely last Friday. (7) DELTA DAWN HANOVER was flat late in her most recent race. I really want to see her show early speed.

Race 13

(5) NATURAL KEMP has legitimate excuses for his two poor showings at this level and deserves one final chance. (8) SCORCHER HALL faces the weakest field he has seen in recent memory and could perk up in a hurry. (7) BROOKROAD KNIGHT will offer a big price and doesn't seem out of his element versus this group.

Race 14

(8) MC TINY'S HOPE moves into a new barn and Simons is a good trotting guy. Despite the lackluster qualifier, I'll take a shot that he can tap into this guy's back class. (3) KEYSTONE TREVOR could make the top in this spot and secure a good trip. (2) ORANGE BIGI finished fast late a week ago and seems likely to be overbet now. (7) POPPY SYDNEY RIDGE finished second in this class last Friday.

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