02/24/2016 4:48PM

Meadowlands: Friday 2/26 Analysis

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MEET STATS: 98 - 341 / $567.70 (-$114.30) BEST BETS: 13 - 25 / $53.30 (+$3.30)

Best Bet: STONEBRIDGE IDOL (10th)

Spot Play: OPENING NIGHT (7th)

Race 1

(1) SOAPY SAP is not a horse I back often and certainly not one that inspires confidence. That said, he drops to the basement condition and faces a very soft group. There are no easier spots at the Meadowlands. (10) BROOKROAD KNIGHT is the other class-dropper in the field. He’s lightly raced but knows how to win. The outside post is the only issue tonight. (5) KEYSTONE TREVOR is not in raging form but seems to have enough right now to menace. (9) ONLY IN MY DREAMS has early speed and should hit the exotics somewhere.

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Race 2

(1B) GURAL HANOVER finished with a big final quarter in his return qualifier. I’m not crazy with the outside draw tonight, but he is the best horse in the race and comes with two entrymates as back-up plans. (6) CAN DO has been putting in an honest effort every week; major danger. (5) CROSBYS CLAM BAKE proved he can win at this level last week, though the trip was pretty sweet.

Race 3

(5) YOU LITTLE RASCAL didn’t impress in either of her recent qualifiers, but if you use a basic rule of thumb that she can drop a couple of seconds going into a regular race, she fits right in with this formless bunch. Eight-year-old has put in some decent efforts here in the past and seems worth a flyer at a good price. (6) BRING THEM HOME has found a race that should suit her perfectly. Known for her strong early speed, this race seems to lack that quality. (4) DELTA DAWN HANOVER gets a better post to work with this week and could do better. (3) GOINROUNDNCIRCLES raced okay last time with Tetrick in the bike.

Race 4

(7) MESMERIZED took tons of air and battled gamely to the wire a week ago. Lasix seems to have helped this guy out. (6) STITCH IN TIME could get a rather easy lead this week and sit the pocket having not been used up early. (9) MADMAN HALL gets a major driver switch to Tetrick and automatically deserves some respect.

Race 5

(1) LIBERTARIAN was like a different horse in his recent qualifier, his first start for the Remmen barn. Four-year-old has proven he has speed in the past and this weak field looks ripe for the taking. (8) PHOTO MASS & (2) SCOTTISH BLUE should be live if given a smooth trip.

Race 6

(9) JERSEYLICIOUS may not be the mare she once was, but I love the fact that she is coming off a confidence-building mile. I’ll give her the slight nod in a very close-knit race on paper. (7) VIRGIN MARY raced evenly after two months off and now gets to drop one class; dangerous. It is interesting that regular driver Jim Marohn Jr is not on (6) CLORIS HANOVER this week and the connections elected for Tim Tetrick. Sometimes a new set of hands makes all the difference. (5) MISS DEFIANCE drops back down and could show more.

Race 7

(4) OPENING NIGHT made good progress from his first to second start after a long time on the shelf. I’m going to toss out the somewhat lackluster mile last time from an outside post and expect a more aggressive effort this week. (1) A LITTLE MORE LOVE gets some major class relief coming out of the Open ranks and may still offer a bit of value. (7) ROCK OF CASHEL is another coming out of the Opens; must use. (5) MAGENTA MAN is perfect in five starts this year but faces his toughest test to date.

Race 8

(3) GWENEEEE J is plenty sharp and finds a good spot with outside speed signed on to set up her late rally. (1) MISSSOMEBEACH BLUE has been in form for some time. (6) CLEAR VIEW HANOVER reunites with Tetrick this week.

Race 9

(3) CHARLES VII just missed to a foe that is undefeated this year. I don’t love his chances, but none of these really jump off the page for me. (6) DEWYCOLORINTHELINE returns off a decent qualifier and has class. (4) HOMINY HILL has a bit of GO and really wouldn’t be shocked if he won. (2) HOT TYPE took advantage of a good pace scenario last time.

Race 10

(5) STONEBRIDGE IDOL gets a bit of post relief and seems to be in a prime spot to leave hard for a cozy trip. (1) ORANGE BIGI has been racing well of late. (8) MC TINY’S HOPE should be leaving fast and could stick around for a nice chunk.

Race 11

(4) BALLARE HANOVER has won two straight at this level and deserves the call again. (2) TWISTED PRETZEL visits the basement condition and is certainly good enough to play with these. (6) ANGELS RANSOM has some form but couldn’t pass the top one last time.

Race 12

(4) SHUTTHEFRONTDOOR has seemingly been knocking on the door of late but just hasn’t been in the right spot to make it happen. She visits the bottom level tonight and draws well; no excuses. (1) THAT WOMAN HANOVER clearly needed the start last out; very capable. (6) CARRICKMANNON N bested cheaper at Freehold and we really don’t know how good this Down Under import is yet. (3) CAVIART SHELLY almost lasted on the engine a week ago.

Race 13

I’m far from enamored with any of these trotters, so let’s try (3) R CHOOCHOO CHARLIE at a price. He didn’t fire in his first start for this barn, but that was over the half at Yonkers from a bad post in an added distance race. (5) P L HOUDINI could make an early lead and get away with soft fractions. (6) DILUTH couldn’t take the air on the rim last time; threat with better trip.

Race 14

This field represents the bottom of the low level trotting ranks here at the Big M. This field is 71 for 758 lifetime. Ouch! While I can’t say she is a lock, you have to like the chances of (1) MY HEIDI starting from the inside this week. (10) BAD DAY BLACK ROCK wasn’t that bad a week ago and might have been my top pick from a good post. (7) MICHAEL’S WILD BOY has been racing okay at Freehold and has some early speed. (6) STIRLING ACCORD has a hint of form, which is saying a lot in this field.

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