02/20/2013 5:45PM

Meadowlands: Friday 2/22 Analysis




Race 1 - $25,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 3 - $35,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Race 7 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

MEET STATS: 36 - 166 / $199.20     BEST BETS: 7 - 14 / $30.20

Best Bet: SWEET HEDGE (9th)     Spot Play: FOUNTAINBLEAU VOLO (5th)

Race 1

(4) BRUCE THE BRAVE clearly wasn’t very tight in that first start here. Now he switches barns and gets a better post. I’ll take a shot. (6) ZUEREST adds Tetrick this week and could be the lone speed. (2) OVER AND OUT behaved with hobbles added; possible.

Race 2

(7) AXIOM HANOVER chased a monster last week and certainly looked to be moving in the right directions. The post is my only concern. (1) TERROR HIGH faced a bit of traffic while showing speed at both ends of the mile in round one. (3) WILCOX seems to have settled in at the 1:53 level. I’ll need to see more before backing him again.

Race 3

(1) JUST LIKE LLOYD doesn’t make me want to fire up my ADW account, but he does get a class drop and should be much closer to the front. (7) HARBOR POINT has raced pretty well at the A-2 level and gets to drop now. (5) DWS NY YANK ships in sharp for Burke.

Race 4

(8) RESISTANCE FUTILE was awesome in round one action. I have some reservations that he’ll be handled conservatively from the outside post having already qualified for the final, but he does seem much the best. (2) A BETTOR WORLD looked good with Lasix added last time and could certainly get away with soft fractions once again. (4) HUMILITY seems destined to wait and pounce once again.  He certainly seems to have talent.

Race 5

(3) FOUNTAINBLEAU VOLO hasn’t had much luck lately between bad posts and tough trips. Gelding drops a notch tonight and has no excuses. (4) CAMERON CHIP trotted about a 1:55 mile while a fast closing second with no shot in the added distance event a week ago. Stepping up in class this week, I could see her being an interesting play at a price. (9) DOUBLE UP HANOVER has been getting along nicely with Campbell. Will he have too many horses to pass from this post? (5) MOHEGAN HANOVER gets to drop after finishing third for three straight starts.

Race 6

(6) ICE MACHINE exploded while on the move early last time. That makes consecutive breaks for him. That said, assuming the price is at least 5-1, I’m going to take one more shot with him before I jump ship. (7) QUICK DEAL was like a new horse with hobbles added. He is clearly the one to beat. (2) SPICE IT UP LINDY scored at this level last time and figures to get a nice piece again.

Race 7

(1) NUTMEGS YANKEE faces a field which are mostly dull or do their best work from behind. She should be on or close to the front and deserves the slight edge. (5) HOSTESS LISA drops back down to the level of her last win. (2) CUZ SHE CAN has all the back class. She might need a start of two.

Race 8

(1) MONSIGNOR FLAN figures to get overlooked in the wagering yet has good excuses for his last two failures here (bad post, uncovered trip). Let’s hope for smooth sailing this week. (6) VAPORSTAR showed that he has some GO with a nice wire to wire effort last time. This is a good test. (3) FEEL THE PRESSURE couldn’t handle the first-over trip and bump in class combined. Perhaps the journey will be easier this time. (7) IL MAGO loses Miller to the former but still looks good on paper.

Race 9

(4) SWEET HEDGE took them down the road impressively last week and deserves the return call. (8) UNRED HANOVER raced okay in her first start since September and is certainly eligible to improve. This is one of a few Ryan Maxwell horses that seem to be well-spotted this week. (5) AUTUMN MAGIC seems to bring a good effort each week. (7) DON’T BLAME HER has been off her game but could easily step up.

Race 10

(6) FOOLS REVENUE showed no signs of breaking, something that he had plenty of trouble with when last seen on the track almost a year ago. It is hard to say whether he is ready for a top effort, but this is certainly not the toughest field in the world. (3) BABY BLAZE was used on the lead last time. With a less taxing trip he could return to form. (4) APOLLO BLUE CHIP closes well each week. Hopefully he doesn’t find too much traffic in this large field. (11) APRIL SUNSHINE made a pretty nice move last time before tiring. I’m very concerned about the second tier for her, though.

Race 11

(4) RHAPSODY ROSE was a sharp winner last week . This mare is on her game now and should be followed. (2) MYSTICAL VICTRESS seems to be in a bad spot each week. She can win, but I’ve lost patience. (1) ARGUMENT HANOVER fits nicely with this group and deserves respect.

Race 12

(5) LIGHTNING PAIGE raced okay last time as she acclimates to life as an older mare. This field did not come up tough and I could see her being closer to the action this time. (4) SANGAAL had loads of traffic last time and will likely be overbet because of it. (3) STAR KEEPER made two decent moves last time; very playable. (6) LEXUS ARTIST just missed at a similar level last week.


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