02/18/2015 4:57PM

Meadowlands: Friday 2/20 Analysis


Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 3 - $25,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Race 7 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

MEET STATS: 103 - 411 / $588.30  BEST BETS: 11 - 34 / $39.60

Best Bet: UPFRONT BILLY (9th)

Spot Play: WHY NOT LINDY (4th)

Race 1

(1) LEXIS AMIGO has won two straight but I'm not sure I trust him to keep rolling. That said, if you don't pick Lexis Amigo, you almost have to consider pressing the ALL button in this field of question marks. (3) AEQUITAS qualified back nicely at Freehold in a sub 2:00 mile. With plenty of outside speed signed on, he could find a nice setup. (9) FUEL CELL draws worst again. He'll be leaving and could be tough if others inside elect to take it easy early. (6) PRIMETIME JERRY makes his second start off the bench and could improve.

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Race 2

(4) INITTOWINAFORTUNE powered away by almost seven lengths in this class a week ago; free ride. (1) BEAUTIFUL LADY wasn't quite as bad as the line from last week looks. She can sit close and at least grab a big exotics spot. (7) WESTERN EMPRESS rolled against cheaper last time and deserves some respect.

Race 3

(2) FASHION ROCKER scored at first asking on the barn change to Ron Burke. This looks like a brush and crush spot. (4) ROYAL MAMA was used a bit early and raced evenly at Dover in her first try for new trainer Jenny Melander. Her 1:53 3/5 mark from 2014 shows she can pace with this group. (3) HOLLYROCKER comes off a win at this level and is a clear player.

Race 4

(1) WHY NOT LINDY comes in from Dover to race for a similar purse while having to drop in claiming price to do so. Pierce is listed to drive and I'm expecting big efforts both this week and next. (8) INVESTOR VOLO stayed flat without any incidents last time. This guy can GO a bit and maybe we'll see more now. (9) FOX VALLEY LEGEND exploded home to win last time and looks like a big threat if Marohn can keep him close enough. (6) POCKET PASSER has won two of three starts at this level.

Race 5

(4) MAJESTIC STONE put up a career best mile last time and gets to stay in the same class one more week. (1) BWT TAJ broke on arrival but deserves another shot. (6) SCORCHER HALL was an easy winner a week ago, but he came out a second too early and was pinned with an interference violation. (3) CALIPARI went off as the odds-on chalk in this class last time.

Race 6

(7) MELADY'S MONET was a bit flat most recently, but prior to that he was one of the sharpest horses on the grounds. He should get live cover from the sharp (1A) MASTER OF LAW, who has found renewed life with Pierce now in the bike. (1) LINDY'S TRU GRIT should flash speed and get a big piece.

Race 7

(2) MAGIC STARLIGHT has come up short in consecutive races while on the lead turning for home. I'm going to give her one more shot in a field that seems to lack much early zip.  (5) TWIN B ELITE couldn't be any sharper; must use. (1) TREVOR'S BEBE should stick close to the top choice from the inside post.

Race 8

(7) CANDY STASH comes out of the Singer series and back into a more comfortable level. She can leave for position and have a big shot in the lane. (9) KEYSTONE BOCA scored two weeks ago in her first start of 2015, but she'll have a more difficult time making the top this week. (3) LADY WINDSOR finds a field with plenty of early speed and could surprise them if sitting behind cover.

Race 9

(9) UPFRONT BILLY lost any chance at the half when the timer read just 58 2/5. Classy veteran is stuck with an outside post but only needs a reasonable pace to set him up. (2) ROCK OF CASHEL seems like a lock to trot in the 1:55 range and that makes him a contender. (3) HILL I AM has been racing much better lately and only needs a clean trip to have a chance. (1) CASHAHALLIC gets plenty of class relief this week.

Race 10

(4) HS CERTIFIED improved but came up short last week. Let's give him another shot. (6) REBEL STRIKE has been hot at Monticello and showed the ability to go faster with a good mark at Pocono last year. (7) CASANOVA LINDY tackles slightly better foes this week.

Race 11

First of all, any of the seven mares in this group is capable of winning this race. (2) RADAR CONTACT comes off a sharp score and should be forwardly placed. (4) ADDYS WAY looked like the other likely leaver. She has been racing well for some time now. (7) CLORIS HANOVER gets into the race under the AE conditions. She has won two straight but may be at the mercy of the early pace. (6) MEDUSA has clear ability and could be a player on the switch to the big track. (5) SIR JILLIAN Z TAM adds Callahan.

Race 12

(4) IL MAGO qualified back sharply and seems to have found a decent spot. (1) MARION MAYFLOWER wired a weaker field with Gingras in the bike and should prove tough again. (7) FOX VALLEY SMARTY has enough form to win given the right trip.

Race 13

(9) CLEMENTINE DREAM has been facing much, much better foes in recent weeks. I'm not crazy about the outside post, but you have to think she'll be handled aggressively because even if she wins, she fits this class next week; adds Lasix. (7) TWISTED PRETZEL comes off a good speed try. (4) ENOUGH ABOUT YOU raced evenly in his first start in almost four weeks and can show more now. (8) ROLLS BLUE CHIP is sharp for the Burke/Gingras team.

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