02/11/2015 4:33PM

Meadowlands: Friday 2/13 Analysis


Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 3 - $25,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Race 7 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

MEET STATS: 93 - 375 / $523.50  BEST BETS: 10 - 28 / $37.00

Best Bet: UPFRONT BILLY (11th)

Spot Play: FOUR STARZ ROE (9th)

Race 1

(7) CASANOVA LINDY jumps off the page in this blank field. Veteran campaigner should make the front easily enough. (9) FRENCHMEN gets a major driver switch to Pierce and seems like the other logical play. (2) NF SOARING should get a piece at the bottom of the exotics.

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Race 2

(6) MELADY’S MONET has been dominating this class for the last couple of months and is hard to go against in this short field. (4) LINDY’S TRU GRIT broke from off the pace most recently, but driver Andy Miller could get aggressive in this spot. (1) COFFEECAKE HANOVER should protect position from the inside and grab a piece.

Race 3

(5) CAVIART SHELLY is far from a standout, but has been racing well enough lately and it might just be her turn. (7) CHEYENNE ROBIN put in a decent effort in her first race since October; can improve. (6) HOLLYROCKER is in the same boat as the former, finishing just behind that one coming off a long break in action.

Race 4

(2) POCKET PASSER put in a nice effort in his first start for this barn and gets another crack against very similar competition. (5) HS CERTIFIED drops down and gets a major driver change to Gingras. (1) LEXIS AMIGO deserves credit for overcoming a tough trip despite almost breaking a number of times.

Race 5

(8) CHINESE CUISINE jumped it off in a higher class a week ago. Seven-year-old is as fast as any in this field and only needs to mind his manners to have a major say. (7) SCORCHER HALL is a coin flip as to whether he trots, If he stays flat, he’ll be tough. (1) MCKENZIE’S STAR hasn’t been very good in 2015, but her last race was her best. (10) WALLTOCOUSINS & (2) BWT TAJ are capable sorts who rarely break.

Race 6

With all of these coming back next week to race for almost three times the money, it is hard to know what to expect. I’ll take a shot with (3) SOMENICEBEACH, who should fire out from the inside and work out a close-to-the-pace trip. (1) SOUTHWIND SERENITY came up flat in the stretch, but I’m not holding it against her. Sometimes mares can throw in a clunker and rebound in a hurry. (6) WITCH DALI can clearly win the race, but there doesn’t appear to be a benefit in her leaving hard, which means she’ll have to hope for live cover and a quick pace.

Race 7

(2) SHEBESTINGIN came up a bit short in her first start since the beginning of October. She’ll either win easily on Friday or she might be pegged for a broodmare career in the very near future. (1) CLORIS HANOVER is very sharp right now and has been sprinting home. (4) A LA NOTTE HANOVER was a solid second when last at the Meadowlands. (8) ADDYS WAY slips into this race under the AE condition.

Race 8

(9) MARION MAYFLOWER hasn’t been able to go the distance, but I’m willing to roll the dice with Gingras jumping in the sulky. Sometimes a new set of hands makes all the difference. (6) WELL BUILT stopped after leaving from post 10 most recently. Driver John Campbell has more options from this post. (4) ENOUGH ABOUT YOU looks competitive on paper but has missed four weeks of action.

Race 9

(3) FOUR STARZ ROE looks like the kind of horse that Trace Tetrick will save ground with and bring in at 10 or 15-1. She was stuck on the rim last week and shows a nice win three starts back. (1) THE SUMMER WIND is better suited to an inside post. If she can track cover, watch out. (2) INITTOWINAFORTUNE made two moves before fading late last time; very capable. (6) PANCAKES was driven aggressively away from the gate and got really funky-gaited when about to clear; Gingras’ choice.

Race 10

I don’t usually like to get trapped into these “huge driver change” plays, but (7) TWISTED PRETZEL is a horse I think has been ready to win for a while and could seriously benefit from Brett Miller in the bike. (5) B L CLASS ACT comes off an improved effort and merits a serious chance. (4) WORTH THE MONEY AS needs some pace help but is a capable closer. (2) ROYAL ICE will take some money and has a shot, but I’ll likely go against the probable underlay.

Race 11

(5) UPFRONT BILLY faces the weakest field he has seen in a very long time. I’ll be shocked if he doesn’t race well and somewhat surprised if he doesn’t find a way to win. (7) CASH POOR hooks up with David Miller, who drove him to a career best mile on January 9. (4) STAN THE MAN finished just behind the top choice last week.

Race 12

(3) RADAR CONTACT kicked home nicely after chasing slow fractions last time. That was her first start for this barn and in a field without a standout, I’m hoping she takes a small step forward and scores. (4) TREVOR’S BEBE hasn’t looked very sharp, but does tackle easier foes. (5) MAGIC STARLIGHT ships in for Burke/Gingras; can’t ignore.

Race 13

(4) BRING THEM HOME faces a formless group and really should blast down the road. (1) MC TAYLOR should save ground and have a shot at the top one late. (3) ROYAL ENGAGEMENT put in an even mile after a two month break and is eligible to show more in this blank field. (5) RAISE YOUR GLASS was okay last time; exotics must.

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