12/07/2016 5:45PM

Meadowlands: Friday 12/9 Analysis

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Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 3 - $25,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Race 7 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

MEET STATS: 55 - 160 / $268.60 (-$51.40)

BEST BETS: 6 - 13 / $15.80 (-$10.20)

Best Bet: MASTER OF EXCUSES (11th)

Spot Play: FASHION CREDITOR (6th)

Race 1

(5) ELLEN’S STREAK finally gets out of post 10 and it is hard to fault her body of work in the amateur ranks. Mare finds an easier spot this week and should prove tough. (3) BRANDOS MUSCLE MAN raced well from the back of the pack versus a runaway winner last time. (1) FEISTY LOVE moves inside after starting from posts seven and eight; some early speed tonight? (7) DREAM ROCKER raced evenly last time. I’m not ready to toss him here but don’t love his win chances.

Race 2

(9) P L ICABOD raced evenly from the back of the pack in his first start for this barn. The post isn’t ideal tonight, but with the drop in class to face a very questionable field, I’ll take my chances. (3) O’WOW has early speed in his arsenal which almost certainly will put him in a winning spot if good enough. (4) FUNNY PHOTO was just even in his qualifier with Lasix added. Sometimes it takes a start for the medication to have its full effect. (1) BELL A CHICK is the most obvious horse to beat on paper but appeared on the verge of breaking in his qualifier.

Race 3

(7) MAJOR BUBBLES N drops in class and gets Brett Miller back in the bike. The last time he was at the helm in this class this guy went down the road. (6) GREAT SOUL gets an interesting driver change to David Miller off a decent performance. (1) SIR JAKE’S Z TAM drops in for a tag to stay in a similar class. He is sharp and seems like a must-use underneath. (2) FOX VALLEY CUPID put in a sharp mile in his first start for this barn.

Race 4

I’m torn when it comes to (2) SWEET JUSTICE. I’ve been waiting for this drop in class because I think he is in better form than it looks, but this field came up tough for this class. I’m going to roll the dice assuming we get a double-digit price. (3) NOWUCIT NOWUDONT is a no-brainer to include at this level; big factor if he behaves. (4) MARCH AWARENESS is another finally getting some class relief and with David Miller opting off, he should offer some value.

Race 5

(1) FOUR HOUR NAP was under consideration for my horses to watch list because he got stuck in stretch traffic and would have finished better than ninth with clearance. I kept him off the list because he wasn’t going to drop in class but the connections threw me a curveball by entering for a claiming tag. (5) CAROBBEAN PACETRY takes the same meaningful class drop as the top choice and has the early speed to make serious noise. (2) ROYAL ENGAGEMENT never got involved in her first start off the claim but is certainly eligible to improve.

Race 6

(6) FASHION CREDITOR has two wins in his last four conditioned races when at The Meadowlands while facing similar or better than tonight’s competition. Coming off a sixth-place finish, I don’t want to miss the boat on him at a decent price. (4) OPENING NIGHT didn’t fire versus slightly better a week ago. He’ll definitely be an exotics factor and wouldn’t be a shock on the win end. (9) OPULENT YANKEE couldn’t handle the winner last time and won’t be helped by the outside posts.

Race 7

(9) SHUTTHEFRONTDOOR drops for the second straight week and gets a meaningful driver change to Tetrick this week. With a good post she would’ve been my best bet. (2) THAT WOMAN HANOVER finds a field that seems to lack an abundance of early speed and that is a quality she possesses in spades. (1) SHEEZA SHARK N was a major disappointment last out. Maybe she didn’t appreciate the aggressive tactics. (4) CANDY STYX N couldn’t be any sharper.

Race 8

(6) HOUSE ON FIRE was scratched-sick out of his first start for new trainer Jennifer Lappe. He stays in the same class but this is a much easier spot. (4) WING FLASH raced well in her first start with Lasix and it is worth seeing how she does stretching out to the bigger track. (8) STITCH IN TIME has bad form but like the top choice is facing the softest field he has seen in some time.

Race 9

(8) CHANGE THE RULZ N gets his chance on the big track for the first time since arriving in North America. In a field without a clear standout, I’ll take a swing. (3) RIGHT STUFF is back at a winning level; dangerous. (2) SHE’S HEAVENLY should get away close and have the chance to hit the exotics.

Race 10

(2) CAN DO plunges in class and adds Tetrick to the equation. Veteran knows his way to the winner’s circle and only finds serious competition from (1) WORLD CUP, who is coming off a solid mile and should take plenty of tote action. (8) BIG EXPENSE has been racing well and shouldn’t be hurt by the addition of Brett Miller in the bike.

Race 11

(3) MASTER OF EXCUSES put in a solid effort in his first start after shipping in from Hoosier and seems like a clear standout with Tetrick in the bike. (8) DOC drops a notch on the claiming spectrum and should be able to make his way into the exotics. (9) EXPRESSIVE ACTION moves down to the basement condition and could potentially show early speed.

Race 12

(6) LET HER ROCK raced pretty well two starts back and got caught in a quick mile last time. She drops down tonight and seems logical. (1) ANTY ENTITY ships in from Saratoga and owns a win over the track. (9) GENTLE JANET didn’t exactly get a great trip last Friday. She is ready to win if she gets smooth sailing. (8) SPORTSMUFFLER is off a decent mile.

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