01/20/2016 5:08PM

Meadowlands: Friday 1/22 Analysis


Race 3 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 5 - $25,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Race 9 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

MEET STATS: 71 - 243 / $399.50  BEST BETS: 9 - 18 / $33.90


Spot Play: EXOTIC BEACH (3rd)

Race 1

(9) MOONSHINE BALLS gets away from a sharp horse in Magenta Man and looks to be clearly best on paper. (6) GINNY WEASLEY came back with a solid qualifier and shows past lines that would be good enough to win tonight. (2) BJANTHONY got away with soft fractions last time and never looked back; tougher field tonight. (7) CELEBRITY MASSIVE is capable given the right trip, but he may need some pace help.

[DRF HARNESS: Check out our complete lineup of Harness past performances and discount packages]

Race 2

(2) ALLERAGE STAR should be sitting no worse than second behind her stablemate (2A) OPULENT YANKEE. Both have good early speed and are major players on the win end. (7) CAN DO scored the upset last time in a very impressive mile where he trotted strong at both ends. You may not get 14-1 this week but 5-1 seems very possible. (1A) CASH ME OUT is capable of winning but has to overcome an outside post.

Race 3

(5) EXOTIC BEACH hasn’t been in raging form, but the outside posts aren’t helping either. Tonight he moves to a cozy mid-pack starting slot and drops down for a driver that has as many wins as Gingras this year at the Big M and a 47% R.O.I. (1) GAME OF DREAMERS has been sharp and Campbell chose off my top pick for this one. (6) RIGHTLY SAID went up in smoke as the favorite in her first start for Michael Russo. Let’s not give up on her too quickly.

Race 4

This is a mostly dull group and I think (1) BALLARE HANOVER can take charge from the inside for a barn that has been having a very good meet. (5) LONG STORY SHORT is one of the few sharp horses signed up and he likes to win (53 for 207 lifetime). (4) KEYSTONE TREVOR faded on the lead in what was his first start five weeks; more now?

Race 5

(8) MAGENTA MAN faces much stiffer competition in theory, but this NW7500 came up relatively light and I think the 4-year-old is ready for the test. (1) SARCASTIC MAN looks pretty bad with two eight place finishes lately, but those were from bad posts at Yonkers. Don’t be shocked if he picks up his game tonight at a price. (5) MUSCLES AND SPICE gets a better post to work with after chasing some faster foes of late; chance. (3) SAVIANO AS is another coming out of a pretty quick mile.

Race 6

(5) HAPPILY EVER AFTER raced evenly versus better after five weeks on the sidelines. I’m expecting a lot more this week. (2) MY CAROLINE was Bongiorno’s pick over my selection likely due to barn loyalty and her recent form spree; very playable. (4) HAPPINESS is a stakes-caliber mare but I wasn’t thrilled with her recent qualifier and I fear she won’t offer much value.

Race 7

(2) HOUSE OF CASH draws inside and figures to get aggressive against a mostly lackluster group. (3) NATURAL KEMP has a knack for finishing second and third. The horse that beat him last week would be tough versus this field. (8) HOT SUMMER KNIGHT is in a good spot in his return to the Meadowlands.

Race 8

(3) INITTOWINAFORTUNE had a spectacular 2015 campaign and returned from a few months on the sidelines with a strong qualifying score from off the pace. She looks ready to roll. (2) JERSEYLICIOUS comes off two subpar races but was facing the top class at Dover. Perhaps the switch to the big track will help. (9) TESSA SEELSTER certainly looked good in her debut for the Ron Burke barn. (5) MISSSOMEBEACH BLUE & (6) NOT BEFORE EIGHT have form and could be factors.

Race 9

(6) ITS HUW YOU KNOW was locked in too long and came home fast when clear late a week ago. The addition of hobbles seems to have done the trick on this 4-year-old. (1) MARION MILLIONAIR gets an inside draw and should be handled more aggressively this time. (3) PARIS PRINCESS N was facing much tougher last time out and could be an upset player in here; adds Lasix.

Race 10

(2) SHUTTHEFRONTDOOR impressed me with a strong stretch kick in her qualifier. In a field without a standout, I’ll take a shot that she is ready to roll. (5) GWENEEEE J is clearly in against a softer group this time around. (4) AMERICAN TRUTH came up a bit short in her debut for this barn; another shot.

Race 11

(6) MONEY ON MY MIND raced well in his first start since October. In a field without much form he sticks out as a major player. (2) COIN COLLECTOR gets a new driver and could show better results. (10) FOX VALLEY LEGEND is very sharp but might have to pass the entire field to win.

Race 12

This is a field absent much early speed and I think (4) BULLVILLE MAGGIE could be hustled away from this post. She has the early zip in her arsenal and this is the right spot to use it. (1) GALARINA & (2) LIZZIE’S DREAM are drawn to the inside and should be in close attendance much of the mile.

Race 13

(5) AXIOS made up a ton of ground in his last start at Yonkers after an early miscue and might benefit from the big track. (7) XTATIC HANOVER is coming off a solid effort. (2) T JS MR LAVEC draws inside this week and should be more involved.

Race 14

(4) A LISTER had no shot from post 12 last time and didn’t really have a strong catch-driver in the bike in his previous starts. I’ll take a shot here and hope for a wake-up. (2) FEISTY LOVE was better than her PP line looks last time out. (1) J R JAZZ has inside speed in a field full of question marks. (10) HOT START raced well when last seen but drew worst tonight.

[DRF HARNESS LIVE: Real-time insights from the DRF Harness team this Saturday at 6:35 p.m.]