01/14/2015 4:46PM

Meadowlands: Friday 1/16 Analysis


Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 3 - $25,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Race 7 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

MEET STATS: 54 - 231 / $327.10   BEST BETS: 8 - 16 / $26.20

Best Bet: BLUSH HANOVER (13th)

Spot Play: MCKENZIES STAR (4th)

Race 1

(1) SHES ON FIRE faces an unaccomplished and dull group, so she fits right in. Three-year-old filly raced okay in her first start since October and could conceivably improve. (4) WINDSUN COBRA stayed flat with hobbles added and could be handled more aggressively now. (2) MAXIMUS DEO has early speed but tends to pack it in when it matters most. (3) MUSCULARITY has three career wins in a field with seven combined wins; not impossible.

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Race 2

(4) HEX clearly has a bit of talent but her closing style has left her with too much to do in both Meadowlands starts. Shark Gesture-sired filly catches a short field this week and should less traffic to worry about. (2) SAFE FROM TERROR raced pretty well in her first try since September and figures to improve. (5) EMPRESS DEO has been getting big checks every week; exotics must.

Race 3

(6) WINDING HILL ships in from the Meadows off three straight wins and should be on or near the lead. (8) DETROIT RAPPER is also on a three-race run of his own, but he'll have to leave around the top choice without working too hard to get the grand slam. (7) CANDY STASH is back on the big track this week; very capable. (5) HILL I AM took a step in the right direction last time.

Race 4

(5) MCKENZIE'S STAR put in an even mile after missing five weeks of action. This gal won three races here last year and faces a lackluster group. I'll take my chances with her at a price. (2) MR FENWICK wasn't going anywhere from post eight at Yonkers most recently. I'd expect him to be close to the pace tonight. (1) MOST WANTED LINDY is another who was stuck in outside posts on a half mile track. Don't be shocked if he races better this time around. (7) MAGGLIO broke as the favorite last time but remains capable.

Race 5

(3) LARK SEELSTER has basically been passing tired horses at the back while racing against some tougher foes of late. In a bulky field with at least a half-dozen logical win candidates, I'll take a shot and hope the hot Marohn, Jr. can get the job done. (1) WICKEDWITCHOTHEWEST makes an important condition change from the non-winners to C-2/C-1 level. That move has produced some winners at this meet. (8) DREAM'S BAR has proven capable against this type. (6) CAVIART SHELLY was a willing and content second in her recent qualifier. (9) SO NICE should be flying off the gate and becomes a lower exotics must.

Race 6

(2) APPOMATTOX wasn't a horse I was looking to pick when I first saw this field, but the major post relief and the fact that this field lacks a ton of early speed changed my mind. (9) LINDY'S TRU GRIT has climbed the ladder and succeeded in each of the last few weeks. If he leaves hard and clears the lead easily, watch out! (6) MISTERY WOMAN is another with the potential to leave fast and get in the early mix. With the right trip she can score. (3) SPIDER BLUE CHIP has a start under his belt now but I want to wait one more week.

Race 7

(1) SOMENICEBEACH went from last to first to best an easier group a week ago. This is a giant step class-wise, but the form is there. (8) JERSEYLICIOUS continues to get better each week. If only she could draw a good post. (7) ICOMMANDMYSPIRIT is a sharp mare that can win with a clean trip. (5) THE SUMMER WIND hasn't been worse than second in quite some time.

Race 8

(2) STRUCK BY LINDY seems to be moving up in class but is really facing a similar group. I thought her recent race was a step in the right direction; ready to win. (9) MASTER OF LAW is likely to win if he minds his manners and is put in play. (7) HOT TYPE doesn't do everything right but does try hard; capable. (6) COFFEECAKE HANOVER has been racing well.

Race 9

(2) CANADIAN WILDCAT gets a major driver change to David Miller and class relief as well. (3) LAUDERDALE was a decent fifth after a post 10 start in his first start back in the Czernyson barn; more now? (7) GUILTYWITHANEXCUSE has early speed and should work out a decent trip.

Race 10

(1) CASHAHALLIC doesn't inspire me to run to the windows, but has form and should be forwardly placed. (6) CAPTAIN PRIMEAU failed after setting soft fractions on the lead, but I think he is better with a target at this point in his career. (3) BLUEBIRD KIDSQUEEN is going to upset one of these weeks and this field looks as easy as any.

Race 11

(4) WITCH DALI has won five straight and barely broke a sweat in the first leg of this series. I'm not sure how you can pick against her at this point. (2) JUST FINE didn't race as well as I thought she would but still dropped some time from her previous start. One more step forward and she could be up to speed. (7) DONTTELLRUSS is the obvious main danger to the top choice, but from the outside post she'll have to be used hard at some point.

Race 12

(2) FOR YOU ALMOSTFREE raced about a mile and a half in his 1 1/4 mile race on Sunday at Yonkers. He was on the rim much of the mile and three deep around the mile marker. If he isn't tight off that mile, nothing will do it. Veteran also raced well at the Meadowlands in 2014. (1) KEYSTONE SADIE made a costly break last time and deserves another shot. (3) MARION MAYFLOWER had trot at both of the mile last time.

Race 13

(5) BLUSH HANOVER was stuck in traffic and finished under a snug hold last time, so you can ignore the ninth-place finish. This Linda Toscano charge is ready to win. (2) DELIGHTFUL DRAGON drops down in search of an elusive victory; very dangerous. (3) BROWNSVILLE BOMBER has been racing well and could menace with a smooth journey. (7) CUT A DEAL gets class relief for Burke/Gingras.

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