11/02/2016 5:00PM

Meadowlands: Friday 11/4 Analysis


Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 3 - $25,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Race 7 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

MEET STATS: 25 - 53 / $109.60 (+$3.60)

BEST BETS: 2 - 4 / $4.80 (-3.20)


Spot Play: ROADWAY (2nd)

Race 1

(4) DREAM ROCKER should be plenty tight after a solid second-place finish on Tuesday. I’m not in love with any of these horses but at least this gal has legitimate early speed and should be put in play. (2) KEYSTONE THOMAS has done well here in the past and you can’t fault him for the dull effort last time after getting parked out. (1) PROUD MOMENT is not as fast as he used to be at 11 years old, but he does have the class to pull off an upset.

Race 2

(1) ROADWAY has a 1:51 4/5 win at the Meadowlands this year, which jumps off the page. Don’t be surprised is Ginsburg fires this guy up behind the gate and looks to wire the field. (2) MAYFLOWERMOONSHINE has been stuck with outside posts week after week. Twelve-year-old has back class and might enjoy the better starting spot. (3) BAKIN ON THE BEACH hasn’t raced in almost four weeks but is more than capable of winning in a spot like this one.

Race 3

(4) STORMIN RUSTLER couldn’t have hand-picked a better spot. I know his form isn’t great, but he should be able to take charge here. (8) OUTLAWDANGRUSWATRS has proven versatile and has as good as shot as any in this formless field. (5) CHEYENNE OXE doesn’t have a lot of positive big track experience. That said, at least he has been racing OK of late.

Race 4

(1) SWEET JUSTICE should be firing off the gate as usual and take this field as far as he can. (3) MAGENTA MAN is one of two horses written into the condition on the NW75000 Lifetime also eligible line. If he is ready in his first start since May, watch out. (7) KELSEY’S KEEPSAKE never got involved from post eight at Pocono in her first start for this barn; can improve.

Race 5

(8) VEGAS DREAM was cruising along on the lead when he lost control seemingly due to broken equipment. I’m sticking with him one more time. (9) GRAVE DANCER took dead aim at the top choice and won by default when he stopped suddenly last week. (2) HEAVEN’S GAIT was conservatively driven and had no chance a week ago at 4-5. He could make amends at a better price.

Race 6

(6) ROCK OF CASHEL is a rock-solid competitor who brings an honest effort week after week. He catches a field with plenty of early speed and that should set up his late rally. (4) NOWUCIT NOWUDONT raced somewhat conservatively after seven weeks on the bench. I’m expecting a better effort this time. (8) OPULENT YANKEE drew clear in his qualifier and you can ignore the slow time because the track was very slow with high winds playing a role. If he is ready to fire his best shot, he wins.

Race 7

(8) IMAGINE DRAGON couldn’t handle the stiffer competition in the Breeders Crown. This spot should be right up her alley if McCarthy can keep her in striking position. (6) LYONS RIVER PRIDE moves into a new barn and sports some solid miles on his PP lines in Canada. (1) GWENEEEE J has missed more than five weeks of action. If she is ready to roll, this looks like a great spot.

Race 8

(3) WINDSONG ILLUSION has legitimate excuses for his recent loses, having started from post eight last time and making a break two starts back. This is a very winnable spot and I wouldn’t be surprised to see him show early speed. (8) EARL’S SPEEDER righted the ship with hobbles added last time and two in a row is possible. (4) JACKS TO OPEN has plenty of form and should be a player.

Race 9

(1) PURITY came up short after missing nearly three months of action. Five-year-old mare knows her way around this track and should be in close attendance from the onset. (8) PRINCESS KATIE switches to a bigger track and was able to score multiple times on larger ovals in Canada. (4) ROYAL KNOCKOUT is clearly sharp but keeps hanging in the stretch. (6) SHE’S HEAVENLY scored a big upset last time.

Race 10

(2) HILL I AM closed reasonably well in his first start in eight months. He should be a bit tighter now. (1) DETROIT RAPPER loomed boldly last time but quickly flattened out. He is the best horse in the field if sharp. (10) STITCH IN TIME has the early speed to overcome the outside draw but no form to speak of.

Race 11

(2) M A JACKIE double-drops in class and faces a blank field. (5) FULL EXPLOSION gets a nice driver change to Callahan. (7) KESONS AVAIA blew up the board last time at Pocono.

Race 12

(4) FOUR HOUR NAP was used hard last week and only lost by a few lengths. Let’s give her another shot against a weak field. (5) LOOKOUT STOKK ZONE has been facing tougher and does get a driver switch to Callahan. (8) MISSSOMEBEACH BLUE is another in from out of town where she was racing against better competition. (10) CAMPANILE is sharp enough to contend but will be hurt by the outside post.

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