11/18/2015 4:20PM

Meadowlands: Friday 11/20 Analysis


Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 3 - $25,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Race 8 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

MEET STATS: 10 - 24 / $63.60  BEST BETS: 0 - 2 / $0.00


Spot Play: DETROIT RAPPER (9th)

Race 1

(7) GINNY WEASLEY picked up her first career win after a six week break and seems to be going in the right direction now. It also helps that this field isn’t overflowing with talent, though she is a filly versus some older boys. (3) EXPLOSIVE LYNN dropped out of stakes competition and won easily; short price with Gingras. (4) DOMINO VOLO raced very well in his last start, but that was more than a month ago.

[ MEADOWLANDS: Watch the TVG Finals + get analysis from both Friday & Saturday cards]

Race 2

(7) DOUBLE EXPOSURE was a willing second in her first true test versus open foes. The outside post isn’t ideal, but with only four starts under her belt, there is plenty of room for improvement. (1) ALL THE TIME rolled to an easy win over the top choice just a few weeks after a Breeders Crown win. She is the horse to beat, but I’m not excited about her at 3-5 odds. (2) WOMANS WILL had no shot last week in the eliminations and was huge in her prior start. Her lifetime best is a second faster than the fave has ever trotted. (4) HAUGHTY showed improvement last time; in with a chance.

Race 3

The combination of driver Robert Hechkoff and trainer Kyle Spagnola have visited the winner’s circle on many occasions at the Meadowlands this year. They have (3) KEYSTONE THOMAS in this amateur race and are an automatic pick. (2) CRAZED N LINDY wasn’t going anywhere from post 10 last time; much better spot. (4) JACK’S REEF has done his best work on smaller tracks but does have the services of Hannah Miller in the bike. (9) FUTURISTIC BRIDE is worth using as a saver.

Race 4

(4) JAILHOUSE JESSICA has been able to pick up nine wins on the year, and that doesn’t happen by accident. Barn has started the meet off well and this gal is a prime upset contender. (6) TAG UP AND GO is the fastest horse in the race by far but hasn’t raced since August and was scratched-sick last week; tough call. (5) STONEBRIDGE IDOL comes off a win; this spot is tough.

Race 5

(1) ALIBI SEELSTER and (3) BORN TO DREAM have both had past big track success with times that are much faster than any of tonight’s competitors. In a field without much form, they stand out. I’ll lean to the former on the driver/trainer change angles. (5) LIZZIE’S DREAM was second in this class a week ago.

Race 6

(3) WAITING ON A WOMAN has just enough form to make you think she can pop at a price in an evenly matched field. (2) IN NOMINE PATRI should get around the #1 easily enough and put in his usual honest effort. (1) UVA HANOVER bested the former last time, but the track was playing well to horses on the lead.

Race 7

(2) VENUS DELIGHT made a brief bid for the lead and held well in last week’s preliminary leg. She has only raced twice in seven weeks, so I’d expect her to be sharper this time around. (4) GALLIE BYTHE BEACH raced well last week and came into that on a three race winning streak. She is a quality mare that is capable of stepping up. (3) SANDBETWEENURTOES has been extremely consistent of late but could be overbet after a win where things really went her way.

Race 8

(7) PENPAL is coming into the Three Diamonds final in peak form and simply looks like a different horse than we saw just six weeks ago. Others have proven to be as fast or faster, but they all come with too many question marks for me. (1) YANKEE MOONSHINE showed her ability when winning her Breeders Crown elimination but wasn’t able to follow that effort up in the final. There is talent here and she could offer value. (2) SHEZAREALDEAL was second in the Crown final. If you look past her miscue last time, she is playable.

Race 9

(10) DETROIT RAPPER raced much better than I thought he would coming off a lackluster qualifier. This guy is capable of going some big miles and the bad post should help your final odds. (4) DANISH DURANGO moves into a new barn and has displayed enough ability to warrant consideration. (3) MR PICOLIT S added Lasix but didn’t exactly qualify great. That said, the top choice came out of the same morning race and raced reasonably well. (1) POSSESSED FASHION drops down and has some speed from the inside.

Race 10

This race is a perfect ALL play in the pick four. None of these horses appear overly enticing, but I’ll try (6) SOLID QUEEN on top on the class-dropping angle for a barn that went 2 for 4 on opening weekend. (10) PAN LUIS OBISPO is probably the best mare in the group, but post 10 and a dull effort last time make you hesitant. (8) CHEYENNE ROBIN wasn’t great in her qualifier but faced some talented foes that morning. It remains to be seen how she will do in ‘big track’ action.

Race 11

(1) YOU LITTLE RASCAL ships into a bottom level conditioned race here and lures the track’s leading driver. I can definitely see her waking up. (9) JANIE BAY doesn’t look very intriguing on paper, but she knows how to win at the Meadowlands and this barn is capable of getting her ready to fire; dangerous. (7) FOUR HOUR NAP has a proven ability to win on a big track; maybe.

Race 12

(4) BEE A MAGICIAN raced conservatively as expected last week and burned plenty of money. I’m fairly certain we’ll see a more aggressive effort with $200K on the line. (3) HANDOVER BELLE has the ability to step up with a big mile and wouldn’t be a shock as an upset candidate. (5) SHAKE IT CERRY took advantage of a good setup with a solid mile in her initial start on Lasix; worth using.

Race 13

This is an awful field that is hard to decipher, but let’s try (5) P L EUREKA, who has been racing okay at Freehold and picks up Brett Miller tonight. (1) VEGLIANTINO seems like the likely favorite but hardly a horse to get excited about. (6) ES MUCHO is worth a stab on the Ron Burke barn angle.

[DRF HARNESS LIVE: Watch all of the Meadowlands stakes action live this weekend + real-time insights from the DRF Harness team.]