11/09/2016 3:23PM

Meadowlands: Friday 11/11 Analysis


Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 3 - $25,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Race 7 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

MEET STATS: 25 - 53 / $109.60 (+$3.60)

BEST BETS: 2 - 4 / $4.80 (-3.20)

Best Bet: DETROIT RAPPER (1st)

Spot Play: MAGENTA MAN (6th)

Race 1

(5) DETROIT RAPPER has looked OK since returning to the Meadowlands and now faces a blank field. Unless he makes a major mistake, he should win for fun. (8) DOWNUNDERMATTER doesn’t win often but gets some class relief. (4) CYPRESS POINT moves into a new barn and could show improvement.

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Race 2

(5) KEYSTONE THOMAS was surprisingly 9-1 last week and finished second after battling on the engine. This field came up softer and a down the road effort seems likely. (4) DOC SIMON’S DREAM could flash early speed and sit the pocket behind the top choice with a chance to pull off the upset. (6) AVIVAS WINNER had an interesting trip last time.

Race 3

(1) MY GIRL GAL comes off a win at Vernon and really doesn’t face a difficult task tonight. Adding Corey Callahan to the team doesn’t hurt, either. (5) SOOKIE ships in razor sharp from Freehold and lured Jim Marohn, Jr. off my top pick. (2) KEYSTONE I WISH drops down and deserves at least some consideration.

Race 4

(5) ITS PAYDAY FRIDAY gets a nice driver switch to Brett Miller and has found a great spot to flex his muscles. (2) HYWAY MARCUS returns to The Meadowlands at a reduced level and merits respect; must use. (7) I C CAVIAR did his best chasing Obrigado in his last qualifier and was able to stay trotting the entire way. He is more than capable of winning on his best game.

Race 5

I don’t often pick Monticello shippers at The Meadowlands, but (2) PAYDAZE ON THE WAY comes in off a sharp score and has proven he can put up a faster mile on tracks larger than the half. (1) KESONS AVAIA & (3) CHEYENNE PATTI come out of the same race and finished one-two. I give a slight edge to the former this week because of the switch in posts. (6) FIRST BEST has been stuck with outside posts of late and could show more here.

Race 6

(1) MAGENTA MAN raced well in his first start since May. Any small improvement will make him very tough in this spot. (6) ROCK OF CASHEL couldn’t last on the lead a week ago but remains the most likely winner in this race and probable favorite. (3) MARKET SHARE hasn’t done much since shipping to this track but finds a field with some outside speed to set up his late rally.

Race 7

(2) GWENEEEE J was bottled up in traffic after a ground-saving trip in her first start in five weeks. Let’s look for a bit more aggressive drive and a much better result on Friday. (9) NOT BEFORE EIGHT is the best horse in the race, but she is saddled with the worst post and has to overcome a similar break in action. (3) ICOMMANDMYSPIRIT was used hard last time and hung in there rather well.

Race 8

(7) ROADWAY came up short in the stretch last week but I’m not jumping ship yet. Driver change here to Brett Miller keeps me on board. (8) GREAT SOUL comes off a win and lured Ginsburg off my top pick. (1A) BAKIN ON THE BEACH & (1) STORMIN RUSTLER have back class and can certainly tap into it at any moment; formidable combination.

Race 9

(1) NOWUCIT NOWUDONT & (2) FLYING ISA N drop in company coming out of the same race last week where they finished fifth and fourth, respectively. The former gets the nod since he dealt with a tough first-over trip and I suspect the latter will be an underlay of sorts since he was closing fast in the stretch. (4) EARL’S SPEEDER reunites with John Campbell, who steered him to victory two starts back.

Race 10

(2) RIGHT STUFF tried her luck on the engine and was caught by a classy veteran mare last out. This field came up short and seems to lack early speed, which should suit her nicely. (1) PRINCESS KATIE was used to the front last time and should have an easier chance at a smooth trip in this field. (5) ROYAL KNOCKOUT is typically good for an exotic spot and perhaps more if everything goes right. (6) SUNSHINE DANCER gets a driver change.

Race 11

(2) BULLVILLE MAGGIE gets a better post to work with this week and that can make a huge difference. As long as she provides a double-digit price, I’ll take a shot. (1) EXOTIC BEACH was stuck with a bad post at Pocono last time but shows a win at this level here two starts back. (9) PURITY can romp if on her game, which may be a big IF right now. (7) FOUR HOUR NAP has form but hasn’t been able to get over the top lately.

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