02/10/2012 12:14PM

Meadowlands Analysis: Saturday 2/11/12


MEET STATS: 46 - 159 / $347.20

Best Bet: PICTURE ME (9th)   Spot Play: A MAJOR HAZE (8th)

Race 1

(2) IDEALIC LIFE had no pace to attack and that led to the leader looking better than he probably was last week. Allard trainee drops tonight; another shot. (1) WESTERN AVENUE comes off a pair of post 9 races and even worse pace setups than my top choice. (6) IM SO BLUE wired them two back at this level. (5) TROPHY HUNTER won here last year.

Race 2

(5) LIES LIES LIES is going well now. Against this field, I can see a down the road type attempt; Sears’ choice. (1) KEEP IT REAL freefalls in class and faces a field he is supposed to beat. (4) AMASA AL drops down off a decent effort.

Race 3

(3) ENLIGHTENED CAM should fit nicely with this bunch and the driver change to Pierce can only help. (5) LASTCOMICSTANDING has picked up his game in 2012 for new trainer Caulfield. (1) TREY bumps up off a convincing win. (6) LOBO BILLY bumps up off the claim. How will he race in the new barn? Not sure. He’s a question mark for me.

Race 4

(1) GAELIC THUNDER is a new claim by a barn that has been hot at the onset of the meet. (9) BORDER FIGHTING came storming home at big odds last week. Why not again? (2) PAN GRAD has been a model of consistency. (4) MAMBO ITALIANO was short last week. He is eligible to show more now.

Race 5

(6) WARNING ZONE doesn’t face Blatantly Good this week. He’ll be going down the road and should last. (10) I WANNA GO FAST drops out of the Presidential and should get a big piece. My only concern is the bad post. (5) DRUMFIRE A clearly needed the start last time. I’m not sure he is this good, but I wouldn’t be shocked if he got a decent piece.

Race 6

(1) BETTOR DESIGN got the job done last week with a good trip. Looks like a brush situation for him tonight; edge. (8) MCCLELLAND got caught in a fast mile versus better last time. His prior start was solid. (10) REAL SPECIAL qualified back sharply for the red hot Burke barn.

Race 7

(5) BESTNOTLIE HANOVER drops a couple of classes and has every right to wake up. (10) DRAGON AHS is another dropper and this guy has early speed. Tetrick is back in the picture, too. (7) MEGA HALL doesn’t jump off the page but has a shot in my book.

Race 8

(7) A MAJOR HAZE has shown nice progression over the last two races. There are no standouts in here. If he can take a small step forward, he wins. (5) ETERNAL OVERDRIVE changes barns again after a decent effort at 1 ½; maybe. (1) WHITTAKER perked up with Lasix added.

Race 9

(2) PICTURE ME finally draws a decent post. Notice the last time he drew well with Tetrick at this level, he won. (3) FINANCE THE MASTER is sharper than his PP lines would have you think. Don’t toss him without a second look. (1) HEART OF ROCKNROLL has been racing better lately. (6) BLUE CLAW lured Andy Miller off my top pick. He has speed and looks like one to consider.

Race 10

I will caution that all of these are likely to make next week’s final, so the incentive for some of these to bring their `A’ game is low, though the $35k purse is nice. (4) ROCKEM got a start under his belt and figures to bring a more aggressive try now. (7) CAMAES FELLOW seems like to be on the engine. (9) WESTWARDHO HANOVER is clearly the one to beat, but will he take it easy with the $80,000E final next week?

Race 11

(4) SCOTTY MACH N went an insane half when last seen a few weeks back. He returns at a reduced level and should make an easier lead if Sears chooses that path. (3) MIDAS BLUE CHIP came up big last week and somehow I missed the boat. (6) ART FOR ARTS SAKE returns to the Meadowlands in a much better spot.

Race 12

(9) CAMBASSADOR changed barns, added Lasix and became a new horse. I see no reason why he can’t handle the bump up the class ladder. (7) HANKS KID put in a good effort last time. (1) GENTLEMAN FRIEND hasn’t raced in a while but drops way down.

Race 13

(3) ULTIMATE DESIRE faces a very weak field and should perk up a bit. (8) SUCCESS ROCKS was used hard last time. A smoother trip should give him a longshot chance. (1) KAUFMAN HANOVER gets a better post.