04/10/2005 11:00PM

Lukas tosses out Going Wild's clunker

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OZONE PARK, N.Y. - Left in the wake of Bellamy Road's devastating 17 1/2-length victory in Saturday's $750,000 were six rivals, the majority of whom will be heading anywhere but to Louisville, Ky., and a rematch in the Kentucky Derby.

Only D. Wayne Lukas, the trainer of last-place finisher Going Wild, is still seriously considering the Derby. Lukas's theory is that Going Wild's Wood performance - in which he was beaten by 41 lengths - "was just too bad to believe.'' Going Wild, with only $47,500 in graded stakes earnings, could have trouble making the Derby field if the race exceeds the maximum number of 20 entrants.

Trainer Shug McGaughey said "there is a slim chance'' he would point Wood runner-up and Gotham Stakes winner Survivalist to the Derby. McGaughey said he wanted to watch this weekend's Blue Grass and Arkansas Derby before making a final decision.

While McGaughey was very impressed with Bellamy Road, he knows there will be other speed in the Derby. McGaughey also subscribes to the theory that one shouldn't shy away from a race because of one horse.

"The winner was very, very impressive,'' said McGaughey, who prior to the Wood said Bellamy Road was the most impressive 3-year-old he saw run in Florida this winter. "Where his two races have come from I have no idea, but they were pretty damn good.''

McGaughey was pleased with the fact that Survivalist was able to close on a speed-favoring Aqueduct surface that few horses were able to close on. He also noted that he separated himself significantly from the horses he narrowly beat in the Gotham.

The Wood was doubly painful to Robert Bailes, the trainer of third-place finisher Scrappy T. Not only was his horse beaten 18 1/4 lengths, but Bailes tried unsuccessfully to buy Bellamy Road at the Ocala Breeders' Sales auction in April 2004. Bailes said he dropped out around the $60,000 mark. George Steinbrenner bought Bellamy Road for $87,000.

"I put a value on what I thought the horse was worth at the time,'' Bailes said. "I made the wrong value. Who knows? Mr. Steinbrenner might have gone for more. I don't have the clients that will spend $200,000 or $300,000 on a horse. You see a horse you like and say, 'Can I afford that horse?' I really thought I could. Evidently, someone else had seen a little something.''

Bailes said he would likely point Scrappy T to the $150,000 Withers at Aqueduct on April 30.

Galloping Grocer and Naughty New Yorker, the two New York-breds who stabled here all winter, are likely headed back to restricted company. Trainer Dominick Schettino indicated that he could wheel Galloping Grocer back in the $150,000 Times Square Division of the New York Stallion Stakes on April 24.

Naughty New Yorker is not by a New York-bred sire and would not be eligible for a spot like that. He would have to wait for a race restricted to statebreds or an open-company allowance race. The $100,000 Mike Lee at seven furlongs is run on June 26 and kicks off the Big Apple Triple for New York-breds.

Carter rematch likely in Met Mile

Forest Danger and Medallist, the one-two finishers from Saturday's Grade 1 Carter Handicap, will likely meet again in the Grade 1, $750,000 Metropolitan Handicap at Belmont on May 30.

Trainer Todd Pletcher said he was impressed with how well Forest Danger ran in the Carter, given that he didn't break well.

"I thought he fell out of it a little further than he would and he had to run a really fast first quarter,'' Pletcher said. "To me, he put in a long sustained run and still came home flying."

Forest Danger earned a 115 Beyer Speed Figure for the effort and is now 5 for 6 lifetime.

Medallist is the only horse to beat Forest Danger, that happening in last year's Withers. Trainer Allen Jerkens said the Met Mile is likely for Medallist, but also said it is possible he could run in the Westchester on May 4 at Belmont as a prep.

Pletcher said he is likely to run Value Plus in the Westchester.

Jerkens also mentioned possibly stretching out Medallist in distance in a race like the Pimlico Special on May 20.

"I'm pretty sure he'll go longer now,'' Jerkens said.

Lost in the Fog to remain sprinting

Trainer Greg Gilchrist sees no reason to change a winning formula, which is why the undefeated Lost in the Fog will remain sprinting for the foreseeable future. Lost in the Fog came out of his victory in Saturday's Grade 3 Bay Shore Stakes in good order and was scheduled to return to Gilchrist's barn at Golden Gate Fields in California on Tuesday.

Lost in the Fog, who won the Bay Shore by 4 1/4 lengths, is now 5 for 5. Golden Gate has written a $150,000 stakes race called the Golden Bear Breeders' Cup Handicap, a six-furlong race in which Lost in the Fog will start next. It will be his first race on his home track since he won his maiden last November.

Thereafter, possible spots for Lost in the Fog could be the $200,000 Riva Ridge at Belmont on June 11, the $300,000 Carry Back at Calder on July 9, and the $250,000 King's Bishop at Saratoga on Aug. 27. Those races are all at six or seven furlongs, which means those who want to see Lost in the Fog try two turns will have to wait.

"There's nothing wrong with those races,'' Gilchrist said. "I think people just want you to run your horse so they can see what they can't do. It amazes me. I'm glad most of those people I don't train for."

Tax Considerations tops feature

When not running in stakes or on turf, Tax Considerations is 3 for 3. On Wednesday, Tax Considerations will seek her fourth career victory in a $43,000 optional claiming race, which serves as Aqueduct's feature.

On March 26, Tax Considerations won this same kind of race, which also carries an entry-level allowance condition. That day, Tax Considerations was not for sale, but on Wednesday she is available to be claimed for $75,000. Last Dec. 2, Tax Considerations won a $75,000 claiming race over the inner track by a neck.

"You run them where you can win,'' trainer Rick Violette said.

Dancin on Broadway won this same kind of race on Feb. 5 when not offered for a tag. She is now available to be claimed, as she drops in class following a last-place finish in the Dearly Precious Stakes on Feb. 21.