08/17/2004 11:00PM

Leading BC baby could emerge this weekend


LAS VEGAS - The historic Spinaway and Hopeful stakes, both of which have showcased dozens of juvenile champions over the last century at Saratoga, will take center stage Friday and Saturday. Both stakes are at seven furlongs and are the first major stepping-stones to the Breeders' Cup Juvenile and Juvenile Fillies, which will be held at Lone Star Park on Oct. 30.

The Spinaway

Based on the way Classic Elegance won the six-furlong Schuylerville Stakes on opening day, she should have no problem stretching out an additional furlong in the Spinaway. Classic Elegance is by Carson City, one of Mr. Prospector's most prolific sons and a renowned source of speed. Offspring by Carson City have enjoyed uncommon success at Saratoga, including City Zip (Hopeful, Saratoga Special); Carson Hollow (who narrowly lost to You in a memorable Test); Pearl City (Ballerina); Cuvee (Saratoga Special); and Five Star Day (Alfred G. Vanderbilt).

Classic Elegance is out of the Halo mare Taegu, a modest winner of one race in just six starts, but she descends from a stakes-producing Greentree Stud female family and is a half-sister to three stakes winners: Chorwon, Yukon Robbery, and Kumhwa.

Spinaway entrant Broadway Gold finished fifth in the Schuylerville over a muddy surface, but before that outing she impressively ran to her purple pedigree. By Seeking the Gold, a superior sire of fillies, Broadway Gold is out of Miss Doolittle, a young daughter of Storm Cat out of 2-year-old filly champion Eliza. It would be no surprise to see Broadway Gold rebound in a big way.

Play with Fire, who won at $99 on the second day of Saratoga's meet, takes a big step up in class after her 5 1/2-furlong maiden victory, but she has pedigree power, and precocious 2-year-olds have often been successful skipping conditions. By speed sire Boundary, Play with Fire rallied from 12 lengths off rapid early fractions to win going away by 2 1/4 lengths in a quick 1:04.21. More importantly, Play with Fire comes from a female family of exceptional class. Her dam, Realm (Mr. Prospector), is a half-sister to five stakes winners: Narrate (the dam of Preach, who is the dam of Pulpit), Double Feint, Region, Announce, and Dibs. Play with Fire's third dam, Monarchy, was a full sister to Round Table.

Portsea is by the hot freshman sire More Than Ready, who won the Sanford, Flash, and King's Bishop Stakes at Saratoga. Portsea's second dam is a half-sister to De La Rose, Upper Nile, and Lie Low.

Miss Matched is a Formal Gold filly, and her dam, Ivory Princess, has the Rasmussen Factor (inbred to a superior female within five generations through different individuals), since she is inbred 4x5 to Imperatrice, the dam of Somethingroyal (dam of Secretariat and Sir Gaylord).

Sense of Style is a filly to really watch for in the future, if not today. By Thunder Gulch, Sense of Style is a half-sister to group winner Valentine Waltz, and her dam is a half-sister to Breeders' Cup Mile winner Last Tycoon. While she certainly will appreciate going distances over seven furlongs, Sense of Style will really develop when she gets on turf.

Punch Appeal does not have such high quality in her female family, but she is by this year's leading freshman sire, Successful Appeal, who already has three stakes winners.

The Hopeful

While the Spinaway includes a handful of promising fillies who have a license to win, the Hopeful features a budding star in Afleet Alex, who was breathtaking setting a stakes record in his Sanford Stakes win. By three-time stakes winner Northern Afleet, Afleet Alex is out of the Hawkster mare Maggy Hawk and is a full brother to Unforgettable Max, who has placed in five stakes. Afleet Alex is from the female family that produced 2-year-old champion filly Quill, who is the dam of Caucasus, One for All, Euryanthe, and First Feather (dam of turf champion Run the Gantlet and stakes winners Head of the River and Lightning Leap).

Flamenco and Consolidator, who finished second and third in the Sanford, return for a rematch. Flamenco was the first winner for freshman sire Dance Master, a very quick 2-year-old by Gone West who developed early for D. Wayne Lukas, winning the Bashford Manor Stakes. Consolidator (Storm Cat out of a Crystal Glitters mare) is a full brother to stakes winner Mycatcandance and may eventually be best on grass.

Devils Disciple is by Devil His Due, who made headlines recently when his 4-year-old son Roses in May upset the Whitney Handicap. Devils Disciple's third dam is stakes winner Miss Musket.

Storm Surge is by Storm Cat and is out of Especially, making him a half-brother to Boston Common. Storm Surge's second dam, Devil's Sister, is a half-sister to Ballade, the dam of Devil's Bag, Saint Ballado, and Glorious Song.

Wild Nature is by Singspiel, a world-class turf champion whose offspring have proven most effective going a distance on grass. Wild Nature is out of a Time for a Change mare who is a daughter of stakes winner Pearl Bracelet. Wild Nature is being given a chance to show his talent on dirt, but obviously has a big future on turf.

Proud Accolade was an impressive winner of a hot maiden event at Saratoga and is bred to be fast early. By one of this year's best freshman sires, Yes It's True, Proud Accolade is out of a mare by Septieme Ciel and from the family that produced Hesabull and Big E E.

Winning Expression is from the first crop of Western Expression, a son of Gone West who should be a good New York-based sire of speed. Winning Expression is out of an End Sweep mare, indicating more speed. This statebred will find the waters much deeper at beyond six furlongs.