05/02/2012 4:16PM

Kentucky Oaks favorites offered value as future bets

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Nine of the 15 starters in the Kentucky Oaks were listed as separate interests in the only Oaks futures pool offered earlier this year (March 2-4) by Churchill. By any gauge, that’s a pretty high percentage to actually make it to the starting gate, considering the list of 23 separate wagering interests was composed two months beforehand.

The best deals, vis-à-vis the futures odds versus the Churchill morning line, appear to be two of the favorites: Grace Hall was 8-1 in the futures and is 5-2 on the Oaks program, while On Fire Baby was 13-1 in the futures and is 4-1 on the program. Other potential bonanzas: Believe You Can (36-1 futures, 10-1 morning line), Amie’s Dini (42-1 futures, 10-1 morning line), and Karlovy Vary (92-1 futures, 20-1 morning line).

Possible so-so deals or outright underlays: Eden’s Moon (9-1 futures, 12-1 morning line), Summer Applause (16-1 futures, 15-1 morning line), And Why Not (19-1 futures, 15-1 morning line), and Yara (26-1 futures, 30-1 morning line).

The starters in the futures’ mutuel field (4-1) are Hard Not to Like, Broadway’s Alibi, Sacristy, Jemima’s Pearl, Colonial Empress, and the lone also-eligible, Oaks Lily.

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