03/06/2013 4:00PM

Kentucky Derby: Who's hot, who's not for March 8, 2013

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Tom Keyser
Vyjack moved up the Derby Watch list with his Gotham victory.

WHO’S HOT

Vyjack, who remained undefeated with his victory last Saturday in the Gotham, saw his odds plummet on the Kentucky Derby future line set by Mike Watchmaker, Daily Racing Form’s national handicapper. He is now the co-fifth choice at 12-1 after being 40-1 a week ago. There were no new names added to the Derby Watch top 20 this week.

WHO’S NOT

There was great debate among the esteemed Derby Watch committee regarding whether to keep Overanalyze on the list, but he survived, for the time being, despite his disappointing comeback in the Gotham. But his price did double on Watchmaker’s line, to 30-1 from last week’s 15-1.

ON THE BUBBLE

Dynamic Sky got squeezed out of the top 20 last week to make room for several newcomers, but he could certainly earn his way back onto the list with a strong performance on Saturday in the Tampa Bay Derby. Honorable Dillon is among the other prominent Tampa Bay Derby runners hoping to crack the top 20. Departing, the Texas Heritage winner, and General Election, who won the Battaglia, are knocking on the door, but both still need to be nominated to the Triple Crown. The second deadline, for $6,000, is March 23.

[DERBY WATCH: Top 20 list and videos | Casse has live one for Tampa Derby]

Nicholas More than 1 year ago
DEPARTING will get nominated for the $6,000 and will win the louisiana derby then will be a top 5 prospect to win this years derby as he ll be 4-4
Sam More than 1 year ago
Hope Springs Eternal
The swiftone More than 1 year ago
Certainly appreciate your Derby compilations every year Don't understand why you don't include Colts with breeding who may not have run that much but showed potential, are trained by top trainers and have the breeding for1/ 1/4-like Treasury Bill. As opposed to including #20 on your list who is sired by a sprinter-Lioheart! .You would be able to catch some Derby runners early and it would be a more comprehensive list . It was like all the "experts" including Uncle Mo who had NO chance to get the distance last year! Thanks EdH
Ryan Jones More than 1 year ago
Didn't Lion Heart finish second to Smarty Jones in the Derby?? hmmm..
The swiftone More than 1 year ago
Forgive me but we are talking here about the SONS and DAUGHTERS of Lion Heart not Lion Heart himself. The average distance of his offspring wins is 6.7 furlongs not nearly long enough for the Derby.
Mine thatbird More than 1 year ago
Just curious, what is your cut off for average distance of offspring wins for 10f? Personally, I don't think the stat means a whole lot but am open to being incorrect.
Sam More than 1 year ago
Why doesn't he include horses that are well-bred but haven't run that much? What the hell you think Verrazano, Revolutionary, Goldencents,Delhomme, and Uncaptured are? Check the DRF top twenty and you'll find those five listed.
The swiftone More than 1 year ago
Sam. most, if not all, of the Colts you mentioned have won more than a Maiden race. Not so Treasury Bill. He is off the Radar and not fancied by every handicapper. Many of the top 20 don't really belong there. Let's watch the Rebel and see how he does. And he closed at 27-1 in the 2nd Pool.
Mike Knox More than 1 year ago
OZONE PARK, N.Y. – Since August, owner Adam Wachtel has been scouring charts, watching videos, and interpreting speed figures in an effort to find an under-the-radar 2-year-old he could attempt to buy and point to next year’s Kentucky Derby. Wachtel hopes he landed on one in My Name Is Michael, a son of Macho Uno who ran a solid second in last Saturday’s Display Stakes at Woodbine. Wachtel, who purchased a 75 percent interest in the horse from Barry Butzer and Dominion Bloodstock, said Monday that My Name Is Michael would be transferred to Hall of Fame trainer Bill Mott later this week and would be given an opportunity on dirt in late January or early February. One option is the Withers Stakes, presumably scheduled at Aqueduct on Feb. 2. My Name Is Michael had been trained by David Cotey, who was the original trainer of 2009 Kentucky Derby winner Mine That Bird before the horse was sold privately late in his 2-year-old year. Wachtel, who bought into My Name Is Michael following a third-place finish in an allowance race Nov. 3, liked My Name Is Michael from many perspectives, including his pedigree. He is by Macho Uno, a Breeders’ Cup Juvenile winner who sired graded stakes winners Mucho Macho Man and Macho Again, out of an unraced dam who is a half-sister to Spoken Fur, winner of the Grade 1 Coaching Club American Oaks and Grade 1 Mother Goose as a 3-year-old. “I think he has all the attributes,” Wachtel said Monday. “The other day, he showed me he can go two turns. I think he’s talented enough. Will he handle the dirt? I’d be surprised if he didn’t. “He’s going to go to Bill, that can’t be a bad move,” Wachtel added. “The good horses I’ve given him – Ron the Greek and Al Khali – he’s found a way to get the most out of them.” In the Display, My Name is Michael’s first start around two turns, the colt finished within 1 1/4 lengths of Avie’s Quality despite being fanned six wide around the turn and into the stretch. “I was hopeful he’d run a good race, I didn’t expect to see him run like that and come with a move like that,” Wachtel said. “Bill called me 10 seconds after he crossed the finish line and said ‘You know, with a better trip, he might have won.’ He was pretty excited about him.”
Bruce Baudoux More than 1 year ago
This must be an old article, there has been no thoroughbred racing at Woodbine since December and none returning until mid April. Get the facts straight would ya please?
Sam More than 1 year ago
And less verbose
David Caivano More than 1 year ago
Anyone know what is happening with My Name is Michael, trained by Bill Mott? Needs points!
Nathan More than 1 year ago
he got sick after the tampa race. not sure where he will end up next.
kirkmaks More than 1 year ago
Where's McRory?
chad mc rory More than 1 year ago
In Dubai of course!