03/27/2013 4:09PM

Kentucky Derby: Who's hot, who's not for March 27



Black Onyx, who won the Spiral Stakes on Saturday, and Govenor Charlie, winner of the Sunland Derby on Sunday, both earned 50 points toward the May 4 Kentucky Derby, guaranteeing a berth in the 20-horse field and securing a spot in the top 20 of this week's Derby Watch. Govenor Charlie made the bigger impression with Mike Watchmaker, Daily Racing Form's national handicapper, who made him 15-1 on his future line. Watchmaker has Black Onyx at 30-1.


To make room for the newcomers, two horses had to be dropped. It was a tough decision for the Derby Watch brain trust, as there were no obvious deletions from horses listed a week ago, but Overanalyze and Super Ninety Nine ended up getting the heave-ho for two reasons: Both had disappointing performances last time out, and both have a mere 10 points at present. They likely will need to run one-two in their final preps to have enough points to run in the Derby, so there is a way for them to get back on the list. But, for now, they didn't make the cut. Goldencents, now 40-1 from last week's 30-1, is hanging on tenuously to his spot.


Departing was made a late nominee to the Triple Crown last weekend, just in time for Saturday's Louisiana Derby, which is worth 100 points for first and 40 for second. If the winners of the Louisiana Derby or Florida Derby are not already on the list, they will be next week. In terms of the Derby Watch list, points obviously will become increasingly paramount as the Derby nears.

[ROAD TO THE KENTUCKY DERBY: Prep races, point standings, replays]