03/26/2014 10:44AM

Kentucky Derby: Who's hot, who's not for March 26

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WHO’S HOT

Chitu, who won the Sunland Derby on Sunday, and We Miss Artie, who rallied to capture the Spiral Stakes at Turfway Park on Saturday, are the newest additions to the Derby Watch top 20. Chitu is 20-1 on the Kentucky Derby future line set by Mike Watchmaker, Daily Racing Form ’s national handicapper. We Miss Artie is 40-1. Watchmaker lowered the odds slightly on several horses from a week ago, including Social Inclusion (now 12-1 from 15-1), General a Rod and Wildcat Red (both now 15-1 from 20-1), and Constitution (now 20-1 from 25-1).

[DERBY WATCH: Top 20 list | Kentucky Derby: Intense Holiday latest bright spot for Starlight Stables]

WHO’S NOT

Honor Code, who was injured last week and is off the Derby trail, and Tamarando, who was defeated in the Spiral and seems far better on synthetic than dirt, were the two horses removed from this week’s list.

[ROAD TO THE KENTUCKY DERBY: Prep races, point standings, replays]

ON THE BUBBLE

Rise Up and Vicar’s in Trouble, both former residents of the top 20, are among the entrants in the Louisiana Derby on Saturday at Fair Grounds. Like the Florida Derby and the United Arab Emirates Derby this Saturday, the Louisiana Derby offers 100 points to the winner and 50 to second under the system used by Churchill Downs to determine the Derby field should more than the maximum of 20 horses enter. The undefeated Bayern was removed from the list a couple of weeks ago, but if he continues to progress toward an expected start in the Arkansas Derby on April 12, he could move back onto the list, but he needs points.

– Jay Privman

John More than 1 year ago
Here's what baffles me: Samraat is essentially ranked #12 and 7 of the 11 ahead of him are knocked by either Priv or Watch in their comments. Read Samraat's comments. Read In Trouble's comments about losing to legit competition on a fair track. Then, compare Samraat's first 5 career races directly with Smarty Jones, taking into account that the Oaklawn preps were weaker then. The comparisons are startling. All Samraat does is win and he appears to really like winning. Smarty at this point was still not viewed as a top Derby threat. He's my sleeper! Should be fun!
Jim Fields More than 1 year ago
Social Inclusion and Bayern have tremendous upside and we won't see either for a couple of weeks, which means finding the key Triple Crown horse is still on hold Cal Chrome and C Prince are in good position, but wait till after the S A Derby for final selection
Nick Kenyon More than 1 year ago
i couldnt agree with you more we must think alike. after receiving the past performances for the derby futures i cant get past a social inclusion,cc exacta.