03/20/2013 5:35PM

Kentucky Derby: Who's hot, who's not for March 20

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Will Take Charge


What's old is new again. Will Take Charge, who was dropped from the list after finishing sixth in the Southwest, is back on after rebounding with a narrow victory over Derby Watch member Oxbow in last Saturday's Rebel at Oaklawn. Will Take Charge is 30-1 on the Kentucky Derby future line set by Mike Watchmaker, Daily Racing Form's national handicapper. Making the list, for the first time, is War Academy, who was an impressive allowance winner at Santa Anita last week. He has zero points toward the Derby, so his next start is pivotal. Oxbow, second in the Rebel, is down to 20-1 on Watchmaker's line after being 30-1 a week ago. Similarly, Den's Legacy, third in the Rebel, is now 40-1 from last week's 50-1.


Delhomme, who was dreadful in the Rebel, and Shakin It Up were removed from the top 20. Shakin It Up did nothing wrong, but the Derby Watch committee judged War Academy to be the better Derby prospect at this point, so Shakin It Up was muscled out. Shakin It Up, however, is one of nine entered in the Sunland Derby on Sunday, so a victory there, worth 50 points to the winner, would put him right back on the list at someone else's expense.


Uncaptured is the only Derby Watch member among 12 entered in the Spiral at Turfway on Saturday, so if anyone else wins that race, which also is worth 50 points to the winner, he's on the list. Capo Bastone, once a Derby Watch member, is among Uncaptured's rivals.

[DERBY WATCH: Top 20 list and videos | Sunland Derby a class reunion of sorts]