03/19/2014 12:29PM

Kentucky Derby: Who's hot, who's not for March 19



Social Inclusion, who was a runaway winner of a Gulfstream Park allowance race last week, and Ride On Curlin, a close third in the Rebel Stakes, are the two newcomers to this week’s Derby Watch top 20. Mike Watchmaker, Daily Racing Form ’s national handicapper, has Social Inclusion at 15-1 on his future line for the May 3 Kentucky Derby, with Ride On Curlin at 30-1. Hoppertunity, the Rebel winner, saw his odds tumble to 12-1 from last week’s 40-1. Rebel runner-up Tapiture, 12-1 last week, is now 10-1. Watchmaker also slightly lowered the odds on Intense Holiday (now 15-1 from 20-1) and Albano (30-1 from 40-1).

[DERBY WATCH: Top 20 list | Road to Kentucky Derby bumpy as ever for top 3-year-olds]


Bobby’s Kitten and Kobe’s Back were dropped to make room for the two newcomers. Bobby’s Kitten was a tenuous addition last week, based primarily on the Derby intentions of his owners, Ken and Sarah Ramsey, and the projection that he will be among the favorites for next month’s Blue Grass. He could work his way back on the list by then, but for now he has been muscled out. Kobe’s Back ran poorly in the Rebel. Watchmaker slightly raised the prices on several horses, including favored Cairo Prince, who is now 6-1 from last week’s 5-1. Strong Mandate (25-1 from 15-1) and Uncle Sigh (30-1 from 25-1) also edged higher.

[ROAD TO THE KENTUCKY DERBY: Prep races, point standings, replays]


Both the Spiral Stakes on Saturday at Turfway and the Sunland Derby on Sunday offer 50 points to the winner on the system used by Churchill Downs to determine the Derby field if the race oversubscribes, so if the winner isn’t among the top 20 now, he will be next week.

Sir Barton the First More than 1 year ago
Tamarando, Tapiture, Wildcat Red, California Chrome
Anne Mayea More than 1 year ago
Sad that Samraat who has done thing wrong so far is down at #10 - don't understand that thinking at all.
raymond More than 1 year ago
NY bred
Mark More than 1 year ago
Funny Cide
Dan Passero More than 1 year ago
Wont get the distance either...he looks good but this year..there are all kinds of speed types...he is just but one.
Chuck Seddio More than 1 year ago
let him stay under the radar,his last was his best ever,he as 3 wid throughout over NY INNER TRACK GOLDEN RAIL he showed he can rate, im liking him more and more and hope he doesnt peak in the wood, ma the horse be with you
Paul More than 1 year ago
There should be a few horses with low points shooting for these that may offer value down the line. I'm looking forward to the lineups.
raymond More than 1 year ago
Theres a slew of them that have yet to win a stakes race or had enough starts to be experienced enough for the derby so it will depend on those who win the nexr several races along with those who finish second and third. You can almost predict the players already for the Ky. Derby. A few of those are Honor Code, Cairo Prince, Tapiture, Hoppertunity, Intense Holiday, Wildcat Red and possibly Ring Weekend, California Chrome, Midnight Hawk for now. That's half the field.
Mark More than 1 year ago
HC and CP still need points to get in. RW CC AND MH all have enough points already .