Updated on 04/09/2014 4:02PM

Kentucky Derby: Who's hot, who's not for April 9

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Barbara D. Livingston
Bayern , a prime contender for Saturday's Arkansas Derby, has moved into the Derby Watch top 20.

WHO’S HOT

Wicked Strong, Bayern, and Bobby’s Kitten are the three newcomers to this week’s Derby Watch top 20. Wicked Strong solidified a spot in the May 3 Kentucky Derby by virtue of his victory last Saturday in the Wood Memorial, which was worth 100 points under the system used by Churchill Downs to determine the Derby field. He is 12-1 on the Derby future line set by Mike Watchmaker, Daily Racing Form’s national handicapper. The undefeated, highly regarded Bayern runs Saturday in the Arkansas Derby, and although he has zero points, a one-two finish puts him in the Derby, so he was added and is a 15-1 shot on Watchmaker’s line. Similarly, Bobby’s Kitten (20-1 on Watchmaker’s line) was added since a one-two finish in the Blue Grass Stakes on Saturday would put him into the Derby, a race coveted by his owners, Ken and Sarah Ramsey. California Chrome, already the favorite on Watchmaker’s line, was lowered to 4-1 from last week’s 6-1 following his runaway victory in the Santa Anita Derby.

DERBY WATCH: Top 20 list   

Bayern taking first step towards defying history

WHO’S NOT

Albano, Social Inclusion, and Toast of New York were removed from the list. Both Albano and Toast of New York have enough points to make the Derby, but their connections did not feel it was in the best interests of their colts to run. Social Inclusion was third in the Wood Memorial, and the 20 points he earned might leave him shy of making the Derby field. Candy Boy, third in the Santa Anita Derby, is up to 20-1 after being 10-1 a week ago. Watchmaker’s odds also doubled on Ring Weekend, who is now 50-1 following his distant second-place finish in the Calder Derby.

[ROAD TO THE KENTUCKY DERBY: Prep races, point standings, replays]

ON THE BUBBLE

The Arkansas Derby and the Blue Grass Stakes each offer 100 points to the winner and 40 for second, so the one-two finishers in those races will move onto the list if they are not there already. Former top-20 members Commissioner and Strong Mandate can move back onto the list with good performances in the Arkansas Derby.

 

[DRF Live: Get live reports and handicapping insights from Keeneland this Saturday; check out last weekend’s coverage]

– Jay Privman

John Jp More than 1 year ago
Disgraceful. No help to the player at all.
johnbrengelman More than 1 year ago
The new version of DRF comes on paper so thin it wrinkles, thus we get creases; tracks haphazardly stapled into the middle of other tracks; a bunch of editorial junk nobody reads; miniaturized PPs that squeeze the names of the running line so small, Nms C't B Dcprd. We are paying a higher price for an inferior product.
Mike Cooper More than 1 year ago
Completely agree, what junk.
Dan More than 1 year ago
I think it funny that DRF wants to charge players and horse racing lovers for content with their DRF Plus but yet when you look at the list of the top 20 some horses you can't even click their name to look at replays as well as see their profile, and on some the other contenders their profiles are not even up to date. AE: Constituton Really?? I mean you can't keep 20 horses updates properly when in fact this is one of the two busiest times of the year for the DRF and horse racing in general... SAD!
Dave More than 1 year ago
The DRF, like horse racing in general, does nothing but drive new fans away. The PLUS paywall is yet another example.
Michael McLaughlin More than 1 year ago
Plus they're putting horses in the not nominated/withdrawn/injured list who are still under consideration depending on this weekend, i.e. Harry's Holiday and Dance With Fate. I know HH was a late nomination, but that was weeks ago and I doubt DWF wouldn't run with a good showing this weekend. If I know this, so should they. Unless I'm missing something, then I apologize.
Mike Cooper More than 1 year ago
Just go to You Tube to view race updates. DRF is a joke