03/25/2015 11:31AM

Kentucky Derby: Who’s Hot, Who’s Not for March 25

Coady Photography
Dubai Sky vaulted into the Derby Watch top 20 with this victory in the Spiral Stakes.


Victories last week by Dubai Sky in the Spiral Stakes and One Lucky Dane in a Santa Anita allowance race vaulted them onto the Derby Watch top 20 along with Mr. Z, who is running this Saturday in the Louisiana Derby. Dubai Sky and One Lucky Dane are 20-1 on the Kentucky Derby future line set by Mike Watchmaker, Daily Racing Form’s national handicapper. Mr. Z is 30-1, and becomes the third horse owned by Zayat Stables to make the list, along with El Kabeir and Watchmaker’s favorite, American Pharoah. Firing Line, who won the Sunland Derby last weekend, is down to 10-1 after being 15-1 a week ago.

:: DERBY WATCH: Top 20 list | Kentucky Derby: International Star quietly opening eyes


Imperia, Metaboss, and Royal Son all were dropped from the top 20 owing to subpar performances in their most recent starts. Carpe Diem had his price raised by Watchmaker from 8-1 to 10-1, so he is now the co-third choice along with Firing Line. Bolo also ticked upward on Watchmaker’s line, from 20-1 to 30-1.

:: ROAD TO THE KENTUCKY DERBY: Prep races, point standings, replays


In addition to the Florida Derby and Louisiana Derby, the UAE Derby also will be run on Saturday, and since that race carries the same point value (100-40-20-10) as the Florida Derby and Louisiana Derby, the top two finishers would conceivably have enough points to make the Kentucky Derby field. The 3-year-olds to watch in Dubai are Maftool and Mubtaahij, who won the most-recent UAE Derby preps at Meydan.


Gerardo Gonzalez More than 1 year ago
I think this year 2015 will be the Year that we could see a Triple Crown Winner, American Pharoah 4/1,Dortmund 6/1 and One Lucky Dane, 40/1, I hope that the way American Pharoah is running nobody will catch him is bean very impressive and if some one will I hope is Dortmund and maybe the record of Secretariat 1:59 2/5 could be broken 11/4 miles
joe d More than 1 year ago
i dont understand why the dubai race is STILL considered a PREP???? do I have to state the obvious? nothing has come out of that race!!!!!!!!!!!!! nothing!!!!
Bugsy Anderson More than 1 year ago
nothing can if it is not a points race
Justin Glagola More than 1 year ago
How many horse have won the KY derby after running in the prep races of The Sam F Davis and Illinois Derby Compared to the UAE Derby? I think we are still waiting on the UAE Derby to produce a winner!