04/01/2012 10:50AM

Kentucky Derby Future Wager: Union Rags closes as 9-2 favorite in Pool 3

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Barbara D. Livingston
Union Rags relaxes in a pen Sunday in south Florida. He is the 9-2 favorite in Pool 3 of the Kentucky Derby Future Wager.

LOUISVILLE, Ky. – Racing fans were undeterred by Union Rags being defeated Saturday as an odds-on choice in the Florida Derby when settling on the colt as a lukewarm 9-2 favorite in the third and final pool of the 2012 Kentucky Derby Future Wager, which closed 6:30 p.m. Eastern on Sunday after the customary three-day run.

Union Rags was bet down to favoritism, despite finishing third as the odds-on favorite behind Take Charge Indy in the Florida Derby at Gulfstream Park. He was followed by the mutuel field (6-1), Creative Cause (8-1), Hansen (8-1), and Gemologist (12-1). Take Charge Indy, 50-1 when betting began Saturday, closed Sunday at 15-1.

Although the mutuel field, the 24th or “all others” option, closed as the favorite in the two futures pools offered earlier this year, Union Rags drew the most backing among separately listed interests in those two pools, too, at 7-1 and 4-1. Pool 1 was held Feb. 10-12, and Pool 2 from March 2-4.

The lowest $2 exacta will-pay for Pool 3 is the combination of Union Rags and Hansen (22-8), worth $77.40.

Pool 3 win handle was $303,043 and exacta handle was $124,304 for a total of $427,347, fifth-highest for a Pool 3 in the 14 years since Churchill Downs first began offering parimutuel futures in 1999. The record Pool 3 handle of $533,973 came in 2005. The Pool 3 handle last year was $392,910.

The three-pool aggregate handle for 2012 was $1,460,019, fourth-highest in history. The record aggregate of $1,665,990 was set in 2005. The aggregate last year was $1,362,101.

Churchill officials extended their customary closing time by 30 minutes to accommodate the results of the Louisiana Derby. Just one separately listed Pool 3 horse, Mark Valeski, was in the Louisiana Derby field, and his odds went unchanged at 34-1 in the half-hour of wagering after he finished second to longshot winner Hero of Order.

Number

Horse

Pool 3 Odds

Pool 2 Odds

Pool 1 Odds

1

Alpha

21-1

18-1

19-1

2

Bodemeister

22-1

29-1

3-2*

3

Creative Cause

8-1

17-1

17-1

4

Daddy Nose Best

20-1

3-1*

3-2*

5

Dullahan

23-1

26-1

40-1

6

El Padrino

24-1

12-1

16-1

7

Gemologist

12-1

23-1

22-1

8

Hansen

8-1

9-1

26-1

9

Howe Great

58-1

3-1*

3-2*

10

I'll Have Another

21-1

22-1

29-1

11

Liaison

49-1

39-1

56-1

12

Mark Valeski

34-1

38-1

3-2*

13

Midnight Transfer

81-1

73-1

67-1

14

My Adonis

73-1

3-1*

3-2*

15

News Pending

99-1

45-1

3-2*

16

On Fire Baby

81-1

3-1*

3-2*

17

Optimizer

22-1

3-1*

3-2*

18

Prospective

42-1

3-1*

3-2*

19

Sabercat

45-1

30-1

34-1

20

Secret Circle

30-1

37-1

3-2*

21

Take Charge Indy

15-1

38-1

42-1*

22

Union Rags

9-2

4-1

7-1

23

Went the Day Well

19-1

3-1*

3-2*

24

Mutuel Field (all others)

6-1

3-1

3-2

* - denotes field horse

 

Raymond Hackinson More than 1 year ago
Too bad NY is unable again to take the Future book on Palm Sunday This, in my opinion, skewers the pool totals as many people would have bet on Sunday after digesting Saturdays' results
Mike More than 1 year ago
I am not a fan of the future bet, but am curious why people would play UR at 9/2. He may not run in the race (e.g. Eskenderya, Uncle Mo, etc) so I would think you need to get premium odds to play him at this point. Don't his odds on Derby Day figure to be about 4-1 in a 20 horse field?? Seems not worth the risk.
Olivia More than 1 year ago
Mike, even tho Union Rags is my pick, your right, he is a bad bet at 9-2. On race day, he should be at least 7-2. Not worth the risk of him not making it to the race.
st More than 1 year ago
on Kentucky Derby day,, Take Charge Indy thanks to calvin borel will be closer to 9/2 than Union Rags. You can't read too much into the Kentucky Derby Future pools this year although each pool has some good value.. Pool 1- hansen 26-1 Pool 2 Secret Circle 37-1 Pool 3 Prospective 42-1, you will be getting better odds with those future bets than you will on each of those horses come derby day good luck to all that played some future bets
Keith More than 1 year ago
st: It's not signed, sealed, and delivered that Calvin wil be riding Take Charge Indy in the KY Derby, although I'll give you that one is most probably his A horse now. Borel is the regular rider and work jockey for Najjaar, who has the Arkansas Derby ahead of him in two weeks, and this time he has a full month's rest znd works to prepare for his run there (and the extra 1/16th of a mile on Oaklawn's long stretch), instead of the two weeks of rest and no works prior to his attempt in the Rebel. I do believe the Rebel was an experiment with Borel trying to hold Najjaar longer until the top of the stretch before unleashing his strong late rally as Calvin wanted to see if a hole might develop on the inside or between horses which as we all know is Calvin's preferred route at Churchill. If Najjaar comes back with a solid win at Oaklawn in the Arkansas Derby, it might come down to which horse is working better in the weeks before the Ky Drrby. Too, one of the ownership connections of Isn't He Clever (101 Beyered for the 9f and 1/5th of a second and a length off the track record in the Sunland Park Derby for his strong 2nd place effort last week) was also involved with bringing Mine That Bird to the Ky Derby in 2010, whom Borel shocked the world with. Interestingly there, Isn't He Clever has pretty much the same running style as Take Charge Indy, and also interesting is that Najjaar has the same running style as Mine That Bird. One final factor for Calvin to consider; both Take Charge Indy and Isn't He Clever excelled on speed favoring tracks in their respective last Derby preps, while Najjaar has been racing with a steady diet of 1&1/16th mile races from his 2 yr old year, predominantly on Churchill and Oaklawn dirt and his 9f race will be on the deeper, challenging Oaklawn Main with a long stretch run. So, don't put Calvin in Take Charge Indy's saddle on May 5th just quite yet! He is notoriously a late decider of his mounts. Keith L.