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Kentucky Derby Future Wager: Field, Verrazano favorites heading into in final day of Pool 2
By Marty McGee
LOUISVILLE, Ky. – Going into the final six-hour session of wagering Sunday, the mutuel field continued as a clear-cut favorite in Pool 2 of the Kentucky Derby Future Wager. The pool reopens at noon Eastern and closes at 6 p.m.
After Saturday wagering, the second of three days for Pool 2, the field – the 24th or “all others” option – was the 3-1 favorite, with Verrazano next at 9-1. They were followed by Orb (11-1), Revolutionary (12-1), Flashback (13-1), and Itsmyluckyday (13-1). The impressive win by Vyjack in the Gotham Stakes on Saturday at Aqueduct lowered his price to 14-1.
Combined handle through Saturday was $181,053, with $137,397 in the win pool and $43,656 in exactas.
As with any parimutuel wager, odds can continue to change until closing time. More than half the handle in any given futures pool typically is bet on the final day.
Six new names have been assimilated into the futures lineup since Pool 1 was held Feb. 8-10, when the field closed as the 3-2 favorite over Verrazano (11-1). The third and final pool is set for March 22-24.
Pool 2 typically has drawn the lightest handle of the three Derby pools since Churchill Downs first began offering futures in 1999. Last year, combined handle was $401,368; the record for a Pool 2 was $511,655, set in 2005, the same year the record was set for the three-pool aggregate handle ($1,665,990).
Combined handle for Pool 1 three weeks ago was $621,493, the second-largest single-pool total ever.
Pool 2 coincides with the only futures pool being offered this year on the Kentucky Oaks. The Oaks and Derby are set for May 3 and 4, respectively.
As for the Oaks futures, which close at 6:30 p.m. Eastern on Sunday, Unlimited Budget closed Saturday as the 7-1 favorite, followed by Beholder (8-1), the field (8-1), Flashy Gray (9-1), Pure Fun (10-1), Executiveprivelege (12-1), and Midnight Lucky (12-1). Win handle was $32,802 and exacta handle was $12,550.
Real-time odds and exacta will-pays are available on selected monitors at tracks and wagering outlets where futures are offered as well as on kentuckyderby.com and kentuckyoaks.com.
Does anyone know if George Vancouver from the yard of Aidan O'Brien is prepping for the Kentucky Derby. He was a very impressive winner at Santa Anita last Fall and is from the dam Versailles Treaty who ran second to the Queen of North American racing Dance Smartly in the Breeders Cup many years ago. I realize he was a turf winner at two and is by Henrythenavigator who himself ran against Ravens Pass and Curlin in the Breeders Cup Classic a few years back but when the world's greatest horseman puts his hands on them, the sky is the limit.
Future odds and betting on them is insane. Entertaining yep, you bet, and the hope you have that you will cash in big, you know like Doug O'Neil last year, and, Sure you might get lucky, but i'm betting it doesn't happen that often. The final preps will bring the Derby picture more into focus. In my opinion, at this point, there is no front runner (in my mind) until those races are in the books. The Wood, Louisiana Derby, SA Derby, FL Derby, Arkansas Derby and there will be horses going in the Sunland Oark Derby too will tell the tail. Still very early. Not sure why I like Verrazano when I didnt much care for his Half brother El Padrino. I think Pletcher is taking a risk with the race for this horse. The track in Tampa is very sandy, some horses dont handle it well. I would rather see him in the FL Derby at Gulfstream where he ran lights out. I really am hoping to see something more from Shanghai Bobby in the Florida Derby. It's shaping up to be a tough field, as are the other final preps. 8 weeks left till the first saturday in May...anything can and will happen.Just a little aside, Vyjack looked outstanding winning the Gothom yesterday and Overanalyze looked cooked at a mile. Anyone know whats going on with Delhomme ?
Yesterday I tried downloading the pp's from http://www.kentuckyderby.com/contenders/future-wager/live-odds and it comes up with last years field starting with algorithms. Maybe that is why the handle is so low.
Uncaptured will win the spiral on march 23....he is a bargain at 30:1 right now
After Purple Egg takes the Tampa Bay Derby at the expense of Verrazano expect these odds to change and the Egg who is now lumped into the field all others at 3-1 will show some value before heading most likely up to the Wood and possible Derby Favorite with a win there.
- 1.Posted 12/08/2013 09:52AM
- 2.Posted 12/07/2013 07:42PM
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- 5.Posted 12/07/2013 03:42PM