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03/01/2013 6:32PM
Kentucky Derby Future Wager: Field 8-5 Pool 2 favorite as Saturday wagering begins
By Marty McGee
Email
LOUISVILLE, Ky. – The mutuel field was bet down to clear-cut favoritism after the first full day of wagering in Pool 2 of the Kentucky Derby Future Wager, leaving all 23 of the separately listed wagering choices at double-digit odds.
After wagering on Friday, the first of three days for Pool 2, the field – the 24th or “all others” option – was the 8-5 favorite, with Verrazano next at 10-1. He was closely followed by Flashback, Itsmyluckyday, and Orb, all at 12-1, and then Revolutionary (13-1), Super Ninety Nine (18-1), and Shanghai Bobby (20-1).
Combined handle on Friday was $62,287, with $49,937 in the win pool and $12,350 in exactas.
Six new horses have been assimilated into the futures lineup since Pool 1 was held Feb. 8-10, when the field closed as the 3-2 favorite over Verrazano (11-1). The third and final pool is set for March 22-24.
Pool 2 typically has drawn the lightest handle of the three Derby pools since Churchill Downs first began offering futures in 1999. Last year, combined handle was $401,368; the record for a Pool 2 was $511,655, set in 2005, the same year the record was set for the three-pool aggregate handle ($1,665,990).
Combined handle for Pool 1 three weeks ago was $621,493, the second-largest single-pool total ever.
The only major Derby prep to be run this weekend is the Grade 3 Gotham Stakes today at Aqueduct. Two separately listed horses are in the Gotham field: Vyjack (23-1) and Overanalyze (41-1). Also, Titletown Five, at 81-1 one of the longest futures prices through Friday wagering, runs today in an overnight sprint stakes at Oaklawn Park.
Pool 2 coincides with the only futures pool being offered this year on the Kentucky Oaks. The Oaks and Derby are set for May 3 and 4, respectively.
As for the Oaks futures, Flashy Gray closed Friday as the 5-1 favorite, followed by Unlimited Budget (6-1), the field (7-1), Pure Fun (8-1), Beholder (10-1), Emollient (10-1), and Midnight Lucky (10-1). Win handle was $11,198 and exacta handle was $3,868.
The only Oaks prep scheduled for this weekend is the Grade 1 Las Virgenes on Saturday at Santa Anita. Three of the 23 fillies listed in the Oaks futures are in the race: Beholder, Fiftyshadesofhay (27-1), and Renee’s Titan (80-1).
The Oaks pool closes Sunday at 6:30 p.m. Eastern, a half-hour after the Derby pool closes. As with any parimutuel wager, odds can continue to change until closing time. More than half the handle in any given futures pool typically is bet on the final day.
Real-time odds and exacta will-pays are available on selected monitors at tracks and wagering outlets where futures are offered, as well as on kentuckyderby.com and kentuckyoaks.com.
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i can't either - they should be be about 100 to 1 - the horse is a sprinter and will never win a race at farther than a mile and a sixteenth - it's pretty obvious to any sophisticated handicapper
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No horse has won a grade 1 race except Shanghai Bobby, and he won 2 of them. The odds are 20-1 ........can't figure out why??
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I think one thing that hurts the handle is that people who are at the track watching prep races, won't bet until the last possible minute for fear the horse will come out of the race on Sunday as a potential withdraw. The scratch rule should encompass each pool - if a horse is removed during the betting period, you would receive a refund. They can bet that day and not need to make an extra effort to return on Sunday. I bet a futures a few years ago on Saturday, returned home to discover the horse had been withdrawn in the half hour coming home!
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I think Pletcher has the Derby winner in Doherty He impressed at a mile twice
and if he gets the points he is blooming at the right time.for the Derby
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This seems like a poor betting choice if you can walk into a casino and get Derbey odds anytime day or night. Don't get the relevance of this !
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LORD CHELSIE has been away since February but he has speed and the rail, and given the general lack of pace in this opener he should be able to take advantage of this pace advantage, as long as he breaks alertly and outruns OMINOUS THOMAS for the lead; past success over this strip adds to the appeal. OMINOUS THOMAS failed to make the lead in a shorter race that was loaded with speed last time; back at six furlongs today, and this is a much better race flow for him.
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