10/16/2006 11:00PM

Keeneland Babies for Wednesday

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Welcome to Keeneland Babies! This meet should be a challenge for the 2-year-olds as many will race over Polytrack for the first time. I'll break down the numbers for every juvenile contest at the meet, and hopefully will improve on the profits made with "Spa Babies." Good luck!

Week 1 record (Starts - Wins - Profit Loss per $2 bet): 9-1-4, -$18
Week 2 record: 9-1-5, -$3.6
Meet total: 18-2-9, -$21.60

Wednesday, October 18, 2006
Race 1
1 1/16 Miles (Polytrack)
Maiden Claiming ($30,000)
2-year-old fillies
Purse $19,000

1. Angel in Command (Deputy Commander - Pointed Star, by Star de Naskra)
Trainer: William Fires
Foaled March 31, 2004 in Kentucky...sold for $19,000 as a yearling...Sire won Grade 1 Travers Stakes, Guper Derby (all wins routing)...sire is 46-435 (11%) with juveniles...dam sold for $160,000 as a yearling...dam went 1-0-0-0 (sprint)...dam has foaled 1 winner from 3 runners (0-2 with 2yos)...dam half to multiple Grade 1-placed Happy Jazz Band (335K, 1-5 at 2), and multiple Grade 3 winner El Amante (655K, 2-6 at 2)...barn is 0-1 over the past five years with juveniles removing blinkers.

2. Helen Says (Private Terms - Dinuba, by Seattle Dancer)
Trainer: John Burke
Foaled May 9, 2004 in Kentucky...$4,000 yearling RNA...half to juvenile stakes-winner Thoughtuwasatoad (21-3-7-4, $39,158, 2-6 at 2)...Sire won Grade 1 Wood Memorial Invitational (2-2 at 2)...sire is 70-696 (10%) with juveniles...dam cost $32,000 as a yearling...dam went 15-3-3-1 for $71,287 (all wins sprinting)...dam has foaled 3 winners from 4 runners (1-2 with 2yos)...dam half to multiple stakes-placed Arcadius (77K), and Group 2-placed juvenile Latin Reign (in Italy, all North American wins routing)...barn is 1-5 (20%, $2.60 ROI) over the past five years with second-time juveniles going from sprint to route.

3. Devious Dee (Halissee - Dee's Cormorette, by Cormorant)
Trainer: Rolanda Simpson
Foaled March 29, 2004 in Florida...$5,000 short yearling RNA...sold for $3,000 as a yearling, and $10,000 as a juvenile...Sire won Grade 3 Saranac Stakes, Hill Prince Stakes (1-5 at 2, all wins on turf)...sire is 10-76 (13%) with juveniles...dam sold for $16,000 as a yearling, and $18,000 as a juvenile...dam went 7-0-0-0 (0-4 at 2)...dam has foaled 2 winners from 4 runners (0-3 with 2yos)...dam half to Grade 3-winning juvenile Matthew T. Parker (233K, 2-8 at 2)...barn is 0-3 over the past five years with juveniles returning from 31-60 day layoff.

4. Rayona (Catienus - Zienat, by Woodman)
Trainer: Dale Romans
Foaled March 19, 2004 in Kentucky...sold for $20,000 as a yearling...Sire won Charles Staats Memorial Stakes (2-4 at 2)...sire is 55-364 (15%) with juveniles...dam sold for $260,000 as a yearling...dam was unraced...dam has foaled 2 winners from 3 runners (1-3 with 2yos)...second dam was multiple stakes-winner Icy Folly (244K, 2-10 at 2)...barn is 1-27 (4%, $0.46 ROI) over the past five years with juveniles going sprint to route off 31-60 day layoff.

5. Pure Classy (Pure Prize - Classy Cheri, by Native Prospector)
Trainer: Scott Blasi
Foaled February 13, 2004 in Kentucky...sold for $40,000 as a yearling...Sire won Grade 2 Kentucky Cup Classic Handicap (1-3 at 2, all wins routing)...sire is 12-56 (21%) with juveniles...dam sold for $60,000 as a yearling...dam was unraced...this is dam's first foal...dam a half to multiple Grade 2 winner Classy Cara (405K, 0-3 at 2)...barn is 0-4 over the past five years with juveniles adding blinkers for the first time.

6. Richter's Joy (Richter Scale - Markada, by Miner's Mark)
Trainer: Jamie Sanders
Foaled May 16, 2004 in Kentucky...$2,000 yearling RNA...Sire won Grade 1 Frank J. De Francis Memorial Dash (1-2 at 2, won debut)...sire is 5-45 (11%) with juvenile firsters...dam went 13-1-1-4 for $40,437 (0-3 at 2, won sprinting)...this is dam's first foal...September 26 workout matches barn's 2yo Kon Krete Kid (finished ninth in Grade 3 Kentucky Cup Juvenile at Turfway on September 30 with 58 Beyer)...September 11 workout matches barn's 3yo Bounced (finished third in 7.5K maiden claimer at Turfway on September 20 with 47 Beyer)...September 5, August 23 workouts match barn's 2yo Heart Burn (finished sixth in 30K maiden claiming career debut at Turfway on September 8 with 0 Beyer)...dam a half to stakes-winning juvenile Quite a Ruckus (159K, 1-4 at 2, won debut)...barn is 1-17 (6%, $2.95 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile firsters.

7. Thegreyofthegoose (Runaway Groom - Alydarla, by Alydar)
Trainer: Vickie Foley
Foaled May 2, 2004 in Kentucky...Sire won Grade 1 Travers Stakes...sire is 215-1770 (12%) with juvenile firsters...dam went 12-1-1-2 for $14,560 (0-3 at 2, won routing)...dam has foaled 8 winners from 11 runners (2-5 with 2yos)...dam half to stakes-placed Traveler's Ride (overseas)...barn is 6-41 (15%, $1.67 ROI) over the past five years with second-time juveniles.

8. Stravinsky's Code (Stravinsky - Angel Lips, by Lost Code)
Trainer: Paul McGee
Foaled February 20, 2004 in Kentucky...sold for $25,000 as a yearling...Sire won Group 1 Darley July Cup, Persimmon Homes Nunthorpe Stakes (1-3 at 2, all wins on turf)...sire is 22-185 (12%) with juveniles...dam sold for $4,500 as a juvenile...dam went 44-8-4-9 for $92,921...this is dam's first foal...October 3 workout matches barn's 2yo filly Sassy (53 Beyer)...dam half to Grade 1-placed Head East (182K, 0-6 at 2, all wins routing)...barn is 1-5 (20%, $3.36 ROI) over the past five years with second-time juveniles dropping from maiden special weight, and adding Lasix for the first time.

9. Taiwana (Langfuhr - Lady Inverness, by Red Ryder)
Trainer: Patrick Byrne
Foaled February 8, 2004 in Kentucky...$27,000 weanling RNA...half to multiple stakes-placed Lady Cerise (17-5-4-3, $90,130), and multiple stakes-placed Blakelock (34-5-5-5, $225,785, 1-4 at 2)...Sire won Grade 1 Vosburgh Stakes, Metropolitan Handicap, Carter Handicap...sire is 98-655 (15%) with juveniles...dam went 49-9-6-7 for $128,251...dam has foaled 7 winners from 9 runners (3-5 with juveniles)...dam a full to multiple stakes-winner Miss Creeker (258K)...dam half to stakes-placed Mr. Tovar (42K, all wins sprinting)...barn is 13-43 (30%, $1.58 ROI) over the past five yearswith second-time juveniles.

10. Mei Mei (Victory Gallop - Secret Pact, by Private Account)
Trainer: Thomas Proctor
Foaled April 18, 2004 in Kentucky...withdrawn weanling...$14,000 short yearling RNA...Sire won Grade 1 Belmont Stakes, Whitney Handicap (3-5 at 2)...sire is 40-292 (14%) with juveniles...dam went 14-1-4-3 for $61,715 (0-1 at 2, won routing in slop)...dam has foaled 3 winners from 5 runners (0-2 with 2yos)...dam a full to Grade 1 winner Personal Business (233K)...barn is 0-7 over the past five years with juveniles going sprint to route off 31-60 day layoff.

11. Biblical Wisdom (Victory Gallop - Research, by Imperial Prince)
Trainer: Elwood McCann Sr.
Foaled April 12, 2004 in Kentucky...sold for $5,000 as a yearling...Sire won Grade 1 Belmont Stakes, Whitney Handicap (3-5 at 2)...sire is 40-292 (14%) with juveniles...dam was a multiple Group 1 winner in Australia...dam half to Group 3-placed Shaggy Bob (Australia)...barn is 0-1 over the past five years with juveniles going sprint to route off 31-60 day layoff while dropping from maiden special weight, and adding blinkers.

12. Trio (Lemon Drop Kid - Solo, by Halo)
Trainer: James Chapman
Foaled February 13, 2004 in Kentucky...$12,000 yearling RNA, $18,000 juvenile RNA...Sire won Grade 1 Futurity Stakes, Belmont Stakes, Travers Stakes, Whitney Handicap, Woodward Stakes (2-6 at 2)...sire is 25-196 (13%) with juveniles...dam went 8-0-1-0 for $3,043...dam half to Grade 2 winner Academy Award (all wins on turf), Grade 3 juvenile winner Good Mood (2-2 at 2, all wins on turf), and Grade 3 turfer Statuette (1-4 at 2)...barn is 0-2 over the last five years with juveniles dropping from maiden special weight.

Analysis:
PURE CLASSY bombed at 3/5 in Polytrack debut at Turfway, but she didn't have the easiest of trips that day. Perhaps the addition of blinkers will get her into the race a bit sooner, and the connections do very well with young horses. Gets another chance. TRIO drops from maiden special weight after making late run at Turfway. The track has been playing to late-running types, and she fits well here from a class and Beyer perspective. Seems to be quietly rounding into form. RAYONA hasn't shown a public workout since her last race, and that was at Saratoga. She hasn't been this cheap in her career, and Romans sent out a good-looking baby named Zofzig here the other day. DEVIOUS DEE adds blinkers while dropping in class. The gray gal raced evenly in both starts to date, but may offer more early speed in this spot. TAIWANA made solid midrace move in career debut, and it's tough for firsters to win going long. Makes second start for high-percentage barn, and figures to be running late once more.

The Bet: Pure Classy to Win (5-2 odds or more)

Race 3
6 1/2 Furlongs (Polytrack)
Maiden Special Weight
2-year-olds
Purse $50,000

1. Kettle Hill (Pleasant Tap - Butterfield, by Unbridled's Song)
Trainer: Ian Wilkes
Foaled April 9, 2004 in Kentucky...withdrawn from weanling sale...sire won Grade 1 Jockey Club Gold Cup, Suburban Handicap (1-5 at 2)...sire is 8-123 (7%) with juvenile firsters...dam cost $105,000 as a weanling...dam went 3-0-0-0 for $1,680 (0-1 at 2)...dam has foaled 1 winner from 1 runner (0-1 with 2yos)...barn is 0-5 over the past five years with juvenile firsters.

2. Stormin Normandy (Stormin Fever - Patriotism, by Pleasant Colony)
Trainer: D Wayne Lukas
Foaled April 30, 2004 in New York...sold for $100,000 as a yearling, and $375,000 as a juvenile...sire won Grade 3 Sport Page Handicap (1-2 at 2)...sire is 51-429 (12%) with juveniles...dam was unraced...dam has foaled 3 winners from 4 runners (0-1 with 2yos)...October 11 workout matches barn's 2yo Treasure Hunter (55 Beyer top)...October 3 workout matches barn's 2yo Westwon (won maiden special at Keeneland on October 14 with 75 Beyer)...September 25. September 17 workouts match barn's 2yo Gold to Go (finished eighth in maiden special weight career debut at Turfway on September 30 with 45 Beyer)...barn is 7-41 (17%, $1.74 ROI) over the past five years with second-time juveniles receiving Lasix for the first time.

3. Jonsie's Hero (Red Bullet - Hero's Love, by Hero's Honor)
Trainer: Niall O'Callaghan
Foaled April 27, 2004 in Florida...sold for $45,000 as a yearling...half to juvenile stakes-winner Love Kiss (14-4-2-3, $129,928, 2-3 at 2, all wins on turf), and stakes-winner Love Sting (25-4-4-0, $198,750, 0-3 at 2, all wins on turf)...sire won Grade 1 Preakness Stakes...sire is 4-34 (12%) with juveniles...dam cost $24,000 as a weanling...dam was multiple Grade 2 winner (42-9-10-5, $787,680)...dam has foaled 5 winners from 8 runners (1-4 with 2yos)...barn is 3-32 (9%, $0.83 ROI) over the past five years with second-time juveniles.

4. Apache Road (Carson City - Act Devoted, by A.P. Indy)
Trainer: H Graham Motion
Foaled March 1, 2004 in Kentucky...sold for $180,000 as a weanling...sire won Grade 2 Sapling Stakes, Fall Highweight Handicap (2-5 at 2, all wins sprinting)...sire is 290-1427 (20%) with juveniles...dam was unraced...dam has foaled 1 winner from 2 runners (0-1 with 2yos)...dam a half to Grade 2 turf winner Jeune Homme (0-3 at 2)...October 9 workout matches barn's 2yo Rutledge Cat (third in October 12 maiden special weight at Keeneland with 74 Beyer)...barn is 21-118 (18%, $2.14 ROI) over the past five years with second-time juveniles.

5. Belgravia (Mr. Greeley - Peaks Mill, by Stalwart)
Trainer: Patrick Biancone
Foaled March 27, 2004 in Kentucky...sold for $190,000 as a weanling, $180,000 as a yearling, and $2,000,000 as a juvenile...sire won Grade 3 Lafayette Stakes, Swale Stakes, Spectacular Bid Breeders' Cup (2-6 at 2)...sire is 25-235 (11%) with juvenile firsters...stakes-winning dam went 19-4-4-3 for $135,716 (all wins sprinting)...dam has foaled 1 winner from 2 runners (0-1 with 2yos)...dam a half to Grade 1 juvenile winner Qualique...October 4 workout matches barn's 4yo filly Gorella (won Grade 2 First Lady on turf on October 14 with 112 Beyer)...September 26 workout matches barn's 2yo What a Tale (won maiden special weight at Keeneland on October 6 with 82 Beyer)...August 31 workout matches barn's 3yo Kalium (won maiden special weight at Turfway on September 14 with 74 Beyer)...barn is 16-65 (25%, $1.92 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile firsters.

6. Hautain (Military - Happy Brook, by A.P. Indy)
Trainer: Robert Holthus
Foaled February 15, 2004 in Kentucky...sire won Grade 1 Oak Tree Turf Championship (all wins on grass)...sire is 2-31 (6%) with juvenile firsters...dam went 5-0-0-0 in France...this is dam's first foal...second dam was a Grade 2 winner on turf...barn is 9-107 (8%, $1.04 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile firsters.

7. Coastal Flare (Mizzen Mast - Proflare, by Mr. Prospector)
Trainer: Robert Frankel
Foaled April 10, 2004 in Kentucky...half to multiple Grade 2 winner True Flare (11-5-0-2, $326,684, all wins on grass, 2yo debut winner), multiple French stakes-winner River Flare (9-3-0-2, 2yo debut winner), Grade 2 winner Apple of Kent (12-5-2-1, $276,816), German Grade 3 winner Capital Secret, multiple Grade 3 turfer War Zone (15-6-1-1, $259,614, 2yo debut winner, all wins on grass), and French Group 3 juvenile winner Set Alight (8-3-1-0, $93,317, all wins on grass, 2yo debut winner)...sire won Grade 1 Malibu Stakes (1-3 at 2, won debut)...sire is 1-21 (5%) with juvenile firsters...dam was stakes-placed in France (11-2-2-0)...dam has foaled 10 winners from 11 runners (5-7 with 2yos, 4 debut winners)...October 11 workout matches barn's 5yo mare Boasting (94 Beyer top)...barn is 9-63 (14%, $1.44 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile firsters.

8. Starry Knight (Seacliff - Star Julia, by Matty G)
Trainer: Dallas Stewart
Foaled May 5, 2004 in Florida...sold for $11,500 as a yearling, and $115,000 as a juvenile...sire won Grade 3 Spectacular Bid Stakes (4-5 at 2, won debut)...sire is 5-48 (10%) with juvenile firsters...dam was unraced...dam has foaled 0 winners from 1 runner...October 7 workout matches barn's 2yo Buddha Rocks (finished tenth in October 12 maiden special weight at Keeneland with 46 Beyer)...September 10, August 24, August 17, August 1 workouts match barn's 2yo Felonious Monk (finished fifth in maiden special weight career debut on turf at Kentucky Downs on September 18 with 45 Beyer)...dam went 9-117 (8%, $0.70 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile firsters.

9. Silver Express (Unbridled's Song - My Last Alibi, by Deputy Minister)
Trainer: Nicholas Zito
Foaled March 23, 2004 in Kentucky...sold for $300,000 as a yearling...half to stakes-placed juvenile Western Princess (11-1-0-3, $52,611, 1-3 at 2, won debut sprinting)...sire won Grade 1 Breeders' Cup Juvenile, Florida Derby (2-3 at 2, won debut)...sire is 26-165 (16%) with juvenile firsters...dam cost $250,000 as a weanling, and $875,000 as a yearling...dam went 9-1-0-2 for $27,020 (0-3 at 2, won on turf)...dam has foaled 1 winner from 1 runner (1-1 with 2yos, won debut)...dam a half to multiple Grade 1 winner November Snow (3-4 at 2), stakes-winning router Lady Sorolla (202K), and Grade 3 winner Scatmandu (330K, 1-3 at 2)...September 26, September 4 workouts match barn's 2yo Eurotango (finished second in maiden special weight career debut at Belmont on September 30 with 73 Beyer)...barn is 19-178 (11%, $1.53 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile firsters.

10. Bubber (Brahms - St Clair Ridge, by Indian Ridge)
Trainer: Byron Hughes
Foaled February 25, 2004 in Kentucky...sold for $17,000 as a yearling...sire won Grade 1 Early Times Hollywood Derby (1-6 at 2, all wins on grass)...sire is 20-131 (15%) with juveniles...dam was a Grade 3 winner on turf (2-5 at 2)...dam has foaled 1 winner from 2 runners (0-2 with 2yos)...dam a half to British stakes-placed Don't Surrender (2-3 at 2)...barn is 1-7 (14%, $1.69 ROI) over the past five years with second-time juveniles.

11. Private Humor (Distorted Humor - Chalamont, by Kris)
Trainer: Scott Blasi
Foaled April 12, 2004 in Kentucky...sold for $75,000 as a yearling...half to multiple turf stakes-winner Secret Garden (9-4-2-0, $126,614)...sire won Grade 2 Commonwealth Breeders' Cup Stakes, Churchill Downs Handicap...sire is 87-444 (20%) with juveniles...dam went 6-2-1-0 in the United Kingdom (2-5 at 2)...dam has foaled 2 winners from 4 runners (1-2 with 2yos)...dam a half to multiple Group 1 winner Gildoran (Britain), Group 3-placed Regimental Arms (Australia), and French stakes-winner Lady Isis...October 14 workout matches barn's 2yo De Lucia (77 Beyer top)...October 7 workout matches barn's 3yo filly Dyna Slam (85 Beyer top)...barn is 15-54 (28%, $2.23 ROI) over the past five years with juveniles returning from a 31-60 day layoff.

12. Lord of Soul (Ecton Park - Peppy Lapeau, by French Deputy)
Trainer: John Fahey III
Foaled March 21, 2004 in Kentucky...sold for $80,000 as a yearling...$60,000 juvenile RNA...half to Grade 2 winner Songster (7-3-3-0, $303,300, all wins sprinting)...sire won Grade 1 Super Derby, 1-2 at 2, all wins routing)...sire is 22-160 (14%) with juveniles...dam cost $60,000 as a yearling...dam was unraced...dam has foaled 1 winner from 2 runners (0-1 with 2yos)...dam a half to Italian Group 1-placed juvenile Mowbray...barn is 1-5 (20%, $6.88 ROI) over the past five years with second-time juveniles.

Analysis:
BELGRAVIA sold for a whopping $2 million in February after breezing a furlong in 10.40. He shows some impressive workouts over the track, and will debut for a fantastic first-out trainer. COASTAL FLARE shows some solid works over the Polytrack, and he boasts a classic Juddmonte Farms pedigree. Turf horses have run well over Polytrack at this meet so why not horses with grass bloodlines? APACHE ROAD rallied professionally in career debut at Monmouth, and shows bullet work over Polytrack. Barn excels with second-time runners. PRIVATE HUMOR showed vast improvement in second start, and has the early speed to be in contention from the opening bell. Shows improved workouts for excellent 2-year-old connections.

The Bet: Belgravia - Coastal Flare exacta, Belgravia - Apache Road exacta

Race 7
1 1/16 Miles (Polytrack)
Allowance (N1X)
2-year-old fillies
Purse $52,000

Analysis:
SHE'S IMPOSSIBLE earned the field's best Beyer Speed Figure when nipped at 41-1 in first start over Polytrack. She has enough stamina on the bottom of her pedigree to get this added distance, and should sit a decent stalking trip under capable apprentice. Offers value at the track's morning line of 10-1. WHATDREAMSRMADEOF looms the logical contender off big rally in the Kentucky Cup Juvenile Fillies in first route and Polytrack attempt. Lightly-raced runner has plenty of upside potential, and should be used in all exotics and multi-race wagers. STELLAS NEW GROOVE took lots of tote action for debut, and did not disappoint with rallying victory. Must deal with far outside post for first start around two turns, but has lots of stamina in her bloodlines. MISS A. BOMB pulled 28-1 shocker in career debut, and proved that she could handle Polytrack. Figures to go off a solid price, and is by a stout influence in Lemon Drop Kid. CALL THE KITTY was overmatched in Grade 2 Alcibiades, but ran a nice race at Arlington two back to finish just behind subsequent Grade 1 Frizette winner Sutra. Should save valuable ground breaking from inside post. NOLA STAR may be the speed nearest the fence, and she was used hard in first start against winner in the Arlington-Washington Lassie. Could prove dangerous if allowed an easy early lead.

The Bet: She's Impossible to Win and Place (5-1 odds or more)

Race 9
6 1/2 Furlongs (Polytrack)
Maiden Special Weight
2-year-olds
Purse $50,000

1. Highest Degree (Menifee - Kim's Blues, by Cure the Blues)
Trainer: Kenneth McPeek
Foaled March 14, 2004 in Kentucky...sold for $150,000 as a yearling...half to juvenile stakes-winner Lotta Rhythm (17-6-2-3, $263,128, 3-5 at 2, won debut), stakes-winner Lotta Kim (4-2-2-0, $146,485, 1-3 at 2, won debut), and stakes-placed router High Blues (13-2-3-4, $103,175, 1-5 at 2)...sire won Grade 1 Haskell Invitational, Toyota Blue Grass Stakes (2-2 at 2)...sire is 12-88 (14%) with juvenile firsters...October 10 workout matches barn's 2yo filly Colton's Magic Cat (63 Beyer top)...dam cost $47,000 as a yearling, and $110,000 as a juvenile...dam went 23-4-4-2 for $78,728 (1-4 at 2)...dam has foaled 4 winners from 4 runners (3-3 with 2yos, 2 debut winners)...dam half to stakes-placed juvenile Brite Decision (149K, 1-5 at 2, won debut)...October 4, September 27 workouts match barn's 2yo filly Simply Divine (finished third in maiden special weight career debut at Keeneland on October 15 with 64 Beyer)...September 20 workout matches barn's 3yo Stradamus (finished sixth in maiden special weight career debut on September 30 at Turfway with 62 Beyer)...barn is 13-179 (7%) over the past five years with juvenile firsters.

2. Likely Candidate (Crafty Prospector - Lac Anna, by Lac Ouimet)
Trainer: Kathy Jarvis
Foaled February 21, 2004 in Kentucky...$16,000 yearling RNA...sire placed in Grade 1 Gulfstream Park Handicap (2-3 at 2, won debut)...sire is 67-424 (16%) with juvenile firsters...multiple stakes-winning dam went 36-12-8-2 for $318,870 (1-4 at 2)...dam has foaled 1 winner from 1 runner (0-1 with 2yos)...barn is 0-1 over the past five years with juvenile firsters.

3. Would I (Woodman - Maitrise, by Ogygian)
Trainer: Ian Wilkes
Foaled April 1, 2004 in Kentucky...withdrawn from sale as short yearling...sire won Group 3 Ballsbridge Tattersalls Anglesey Stakes, and Ferrans Futurity on turf in Ireland at two...sire is 21-299 (7%) with juvenile firsters...dam went 25-2-2-7 for $79,833 (both wins on turf in France, 1-5 at 2)...this is dam's first foal...

dam half to Italian stakes-placed Marital (0-1 at 2)...barn is 0-5 over the past five years with juvenile firsters.

4. Alabama Gold (Touch Gold - La Ronge, by Rahy)
Trainer: Walter Bindner Jr.
Foaled April 5, 2004 in Kentucky...sold for $4,000 as a short yearling, and $35,000 as a juvenile...sire won Grade 1 Buick Haskell Invitational, and Belmont Stakes (1-4 at 2)...sire is 53-367 (14%) with juveniles...dam cost $335,000 as a yearling, and $510,000 as a juvenile...Grade 2-placed dam went 16-4-2-1 for $202,327 (0-1 at 2)...this is dam's first foal...dam half to Grade 3 sprint winner Big Jewel (517K, 3-9 at 2, all wins sprinting), Grade 3-placed juvenile Treasure Man (125K, 2-10 at 2, all wins sprinting), multiple stakes-winning sprinter Miss Gibson Country (545K, 5-7 at 2, all wins sprinting), multiple stakes-winning sprinter Charlies Paradise (260K, 5-6 at 2, all wins sprinting), and juvenile stakes-placed turfer Correoso (1-5 at 2, all wins on grass)...barn is 0-8 over the past five years with juveniles adding blinkers.

5. Cherokee Nation (Cherokee Run - Shesoneinamill, by Boone's Mill)
Trainer: Gregory Foley
Foaled March 9, 2004 in Kentucky...$20,000 yearling RNA...sire won Grade 1 Breeders' Cup Sprint (5-7 at 2, won debut)...sire is 20-233 (9%) with juvenile firsters...dam went 6-2-3-0 for $43,000 (0-1 at 2, both wins sprinting)...this is dam's first foal...dam half to Grade 3-placed juvenile Carson Creek (195K, 2-5 at 2), and Grade 3 juvenile Mass Market (452K, 3-3 at 2)...barn is 10-68 (15%, $1.95 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile firsters.

6. Brahms Lullaby (Brahms - Tally Ho Annie, by Capote)
Trainer: Frank Springer
Foaled April 8, 2004 in Kentucky...sold for $60,000 as a yearling...half to stakes-placed Tally Ho Dixie (16-4-3-4, $103,920, 0-2 at 2)...sire won Grade 1 Early Times Hollywood Derby on turf (1-6 at 2, all wins on turf)...sire is 20-131 (15%) with juveniles...dam sold for $65,000 as a weanling, and $325,000 as a juvenile...dam went 13-3-3-1 for $72,719 (1-1 at 2, all wins sprinting)...dam has foaled 3 winners from 4 runners (1-4 with juveniles)...dam half to multiple Grade 1 winner Starrer ($1,043,033, 0-3 at 2), and multiple Grade 1 winner Stellar Jayne ($1,534,964, 3-5 at 2)...barn is 6-16 (38%, $4.14 ROI) over the past five years with second-time juveniles.

7. West Coast Offense (Mizzen Mast - Miracle Worker, by Seeking the Gold)
Trainer: Dallas Stewart
Foaled March 4, 2004 in Kentucky...sold for $100,000 as a yearling...half to stakes-placed sprinter Water Walker (9-2-0-3, $36,078, both wins sprinting)...sire won Grade 1 Malibu Stakes (1-3 at 2, won debut)...sire is 1-21 (5%) with juvenile firsters...dam sold for $500,000 as a yearling...dam went 11-1-3-2 for $52,395 (0-1 at 2, won sprinting)...dam has foaled 1 winner from 1 runner...dam a full to multiple Japanese stakes-winner Meiner Love (0-2 at 2)...September 6, August 30 workouts match barn's 2yo Big Chief (finished fourth in maiden special weight career debut at Turfway on September 15 with 56 Beyer)...August 22, August 14, August 6, July 26 workouts match barn's 2yo Anything for Gold (finished tenth in maiden special weight career debut on October 8 at Keeneland with 34 Beyer)...barn is 9-117 (8%, $0.70 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile firsters.

8. Angry Pirate (Cherokee Run - Suborned, by Ascot Knight)
Trainer: Dale Romans
Foaled March 20, 2004 in Kentucky...sold for $90,000 as a weanling, and $105,000 as a yearling...half to Grade 2 juvenile winner Trailthefox (30-5-3-1, $388,217, 3-8 at 2)...sire won Grade 1 Breeders' Cup Sprint (5-7 at 2, won debut)...sire is 20-233 (9%) with juvenile firsters...dam sold for $16,685 as a yearling...dam went 26-4-3-5 for $57,082 (0-2 at 2)...dam has foaled 3 winners from 4 runners (1-2 with 2yos)...October 3 workout matches barn's 3yo Forest Blue (85 Beyer)...barn is 21-157 (13%, $1.54 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile firsters.

9. Arc Light (Arch - Snubs, by Valid Appeal)
Trainer: Ronny Werner
Foaled May 10, 2004 in Kentucky...sold for $110,000 as a yearling...withdrawn from juvenile sale...half to stakes-placed sprinter Snub the Devil (26-4-3-2, $94,803, 0-2 at 2, all wins sprinting)...sire won Grade 1 Super Derby (1-1 at 2)...sire is 10-77 (13%) with juvenile firsters...dam sold for $65,000 as a juvenile...dam went 10-1-2-2 for $40,036 (won sprinting)...dam has foaled 2 winners from 3 runners (0-1 with 2yos)...dam half to stakes-placed With Royalty (90K)...barn is 20-127 (16%, $1.37 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile firsters.

10. Cape Bird (Cape Town - Bird Cage, by Kris S.)
Trainer: Reynaldo Abreu
Foaled April 27, 2004 in Kentucky...sire won Grade 1 Florida Derby (3-6 at 2)...sire is 15-98 (15%) with juvenile firsters...dam went 23-1-4-5 for $23,581 (0-4 at 2, won sprinting in the slop)...dam has foaled 3 winners from 3 runners (1-3 with 2yos)...dam half to Grade 2-placed Mountain Bird (147K, 0-2 at 2), multiple Grade 1 winner Bird Town (871K, 1-4 at 2), multiple Grade 1 winner Birdstone (2-3 at 2, won debut), and stakes-placed sprinter So Long Birdie (60K, 1-2 at 2)...barn is 0-8 over the past five years with juvenile firsters.

11. Pilates (Elusive Quality - Delivery Day, by Dayjur)
Trainer: John Jones Jr.
Foaled April 21, 2004 in Kentucky...sold for $30,000 as a yearling...half to multiple stakes-placed Don't Ruffle Me (12-3-2-2, $118,847, 2-4 at 2)...sire won Grade 3 Jaipur Handicap and Poker Handicap...sire is 60-322 (19%) with juveniles...dam went 5-0-1-1 for $7,935...dam has foaled 3 winners from 4 runners (2-4 with 2yos)...dam a half to multiple Grade 1 winner Lite Light ($1,231,596, 3-9 at 2), and stakes-placed sprinter Gold Press (88K, all wins sprinting))...barn is 0-1 over the past five years with second-time juveniles.

12. Serac (Gulch - Traverse City, by Halo)
Trainer: Byron Hughes
Foaled April 8, 2004 in Kentucky...sold for $45,000 as a yearling...sire won Grade 1 Hopeful Stakes, Futurity Stakes, Metropolitan Handicap (twice), Wood Memorial Invitational Stakes, Breeders' Cup Sprint, Carter Handicap...sire is 26-251 (10%) with juvenile firsters...Grade 3-winning dam went 31-10-9-10 for $496,274 (0-2 at 2, all wins sprinting)... dam has foaled 1 winner from 3 runners (0-1 with 2yos)...second dam was Grade 3 route winner Cherry Jubilee (234K)...September 30 workout matches barn's 2yo Bubber (entered in first division, 42 Beyer)...barn is 0-8 over the past five years with juvenile firsters.

Analysis:
Trainer Dale Romans has sent out four maiden winners at this meet, and his ANGRY PIRATE is a half to the quick Trailthefox. Lures Bejarano for his debut, and the Ocotber 3 workout at Churchill indicates that he has some speed. CAGE BIRD boasts a classy pedigree and figures to offer value for low-profile Abreu barn. Not only did uncle Birdstone win the Belmont Stakes, but he won his career debut at two with a big Beyer. ALABAMA GOLD makes the turf to dirt move that has been so successful at this meet. Adds blinkers, and figures to show speed. HIGHEST DEGREE must overcome tough inside post, but he sold well as a yearling, and the workd look solid. BRAHMS LULLABY showed speed in career debut, and will likely contest the fractions once more. ARC LIGHT's dam is by the precocious Valid Appeal, and the barn excels first-out.

The Bet: Angry Pirate to Win (7-2 odds or more).