10/26/2006 11:00PM

Keeneland Babies for Saturday

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Meet Record: 41-7-22, -$19.80

Will need a miracle to pull out a profit for the meet.

Saturday, October 28, 2006

Race 1
6 1/2 Furlongs (Polytrack)
Maiden Claiming ($30,000)
2-year-olds
Purse $19,000

1. Face in the Mirror (Catienus - Emily's Joy, by Mr. Greeley)
Trainer: Ronny Werner
Foaled 3/7/04 in Ky...sire won Charles Staats Memorial (2-4 at 2)...sire 58-374 (16%) with 2yos...dam went 26-7-6-4 for $95,365 (all wins sprinting)...this is dam's first foal...barn is 8-22 (36%, $4.31 ROI) over the past 5 years with 2nd-time 2yos dropping from MSW.

2. Mystical Smoke (Smoke Glacken - Aire Mystique, by Sportin' Life)
Trainer: David Vance
Foaled 2/7/04 in Ky...$15,000 yearling (RNA)...sire won G1 Hopeful at 2 (4-6 at 2)...sire 118-634 (19%) with 2yos...dam went 30-4-8-4 for $73,889 (stakes-winner, 0-4 at 2)...dam has foaled 3 winners from 5 runners (2-5 with 2yos)...barn is 0-5 over the past 5 years with 2nd-time 2yos dropping from MSW.

3. Boogie Hollow (Doneraile Court - Mesmerize, by Beau Genius)
Trainer: Walter Bindner Jr.
Foaled 4/10/04 in Ky...$27,000 yearling, $10,000 2yo...sire won G2 Jerome (2-5 at 2)...sire 53-372 (14%) with 2yos...dam went 15-5-3-3 for $111,662 (stakes-winner, 0-2 at 2, all races sprinting)...this is dam's first foal...barn is 0-2 over the past 5 years with 2nd-time 2yos adding Lasix for the first time, and dropping from MSW.

4. Vernon Tiger (Lear Fan - Advocata, by Alleged)
Trainer: Grant Hofmans
Foaled 3/22/04 in Ky...sire won G1 Prix Jacques Le Marois (2yo winner)...10/22 work matches barn's 4yo filly Kayleighbelle (70 Beyer)...sire 80-637 (13%) with 2yos...dam went 3-0-0-0...dam has foaled 1 winner from 2 runners (0-2 with 2yos)...barn is 1-9 (11%, $2.16 ROI) over the past 5 years with 2nd-time 2yos.

5. Rock N Sydney (Richter Scale - Prospect's Dream, by Fortunate Prospect)
Trainer: William Helmbrecht
Foaled 4/22/04 in Ky...$1,000 yearling (RNA)...sire won G1 De Francis Dash (1-2 at 2)...sire 15-123 (12%) with 2yos...dam went 3-0-0-0 for $140...dam has foaled 0 winners from 2 runners (0-1 with 2yos)...barn is 1-33 (3%, $0.26) over the past 5 years with 2nd-time 2yos.

6. Rodomonte (Theatrical - Rodomontade, by Machiavellian)
Trainer: Ian Wilkes
Foaled 4/9/04 in Ky...$55,000 yearling (RNA)...sire won G1 Breeders' Cup Turf, Turf Classic, Man o' War, Bowling Green, Sword Dancer, Hialeah Turf Cup...sire 34-201 (17%) with 2yos...dam was unraced...this is dam's first foal...10/15 workout matches barn's 2yo Theycallmecowboy (5th in 30K MCL at KEE on 10/19 with 45 Beyer)...barn is 0-19 over the past 5 years with 2yos.

7. A P Speedway (A P Valentine - Chatline, by Lines of Power)
Trainer: Nicholas Zito
Foaled 1/29/04 in Ky...$35,000 yearling, $47,000 2yo (RNA), $67,000 2yo...sire won G1 Champagne at 2 (2-4 at 2)...sire 1-13 (8%) with 2yos...dam went 42-6-7-1 for $49,144 (0-11 at 2, all wins sprinting)...dam has foaled 1 winner from 2 runners (0-2 with 2yos)...10/20 workout matches barn's 3yo Metallic (47 Beyer)...barn is 4-18 (22%, $3.44 ROI) over the past 5 years with 2nd-time 2yos dropping from MSW.

8. Whiteside Mt. (El Prado - Tres Facile, by Easy Goer)
Trainer: Jim Corrigan
Foaled 2/6/04 in Ky...$55,000 yearling (RNA)...sire won G1 National Stakes on turf at 2 (4-6 at 2, won debut)...sire 24-246 (10%) with 2yo firsters...dam was winless in U. S. (2-0-0-0 for $508 in France according to DRF stats)...dam has foaled 1 winner from 2 runners...barn is 1-10 (10%, $0.68 ROI) over the past 5 years with 1st-time 2yos.

9. Hoofy (Last Soldier - Jiffener, by Derby Wish)
Trainer: Eric Heitzmann
Foaled 6/14/04 in Ky...$16,000 yearling (RNA)...1/2 to G3 Max Forever (19-5-3-1, $244,190, all wins routing, 0-1 at 2)...sire won G3 Louisiana Downs Handicap (2-4 at 2, won debut)...sire 13-132 (10%) with 2yo firsters...dam went 27-6-4-0 for $111,155 (stakes-winner, 2-7 at 2)...dam has foaled 3 winners from 4 runners (0-3 with 2yos)...this is barn's 1st 2yo debut runner over the past 5 years.

10. Wreckout (Brahms - Fluer D Mar, by Devil His Due)
Trainer: William Fires
Foaled 5/6/04 in Ky...$10,000 yearling...sire won G1 Hollywood Derby (1-6 at 2)...sire 21-138 (15%) with 2yos...dam was unraced...dam has foaled 0 winners from 2 runners (0-1 with 2yos)...barn is 5-27 (19%, $3.94 ROI) over the past 5 years with 2yos returning from 31-60 day layoff.

11. Venatude (Aptitude - Vena, by Danehill)
Trainer: David Carroll
Foaled 2/7/04 in Ky...$35,000 yearling (RNA)...sire won G1 Jockey Club Gold Cup, Hollywood Gold Cup (0-2 at 2)...sire 3-50 (6%) with 2yo firsters...dam went 20-2-2-3 for $57,611 (multiple stakes-placed, 0-3 at 2)...dam has foaled 2 winners from 4 runners (1-3 with 2yos, debut winner)...10/16 work matches barn's 2yo filly Lady Corredor (1st in 10/21 MSW at KEE with 70 Beyer)...10/9 work matches barn's 2yo Glackity Glack (9th in 10/14 MSW at KEE with 52 Beyer)...9/11 work matches barn's 2yo filly Sexy Librarian (5th in 10/25 MSW at KEE with 44 Beyer)...9/4, 8/28, 8/21 works match barn's 2yo Poschner (11th in 9/18 turf MSW at KD with 0 Beyer)...barn is 6-44 (14%, $2.56 ROI) over the past 5 years with 1st-out 2yos.

12. Geri's Kid (Geri - Indicators On, by Risen Star)
Trainer: Michael Warpool
Foaled 2/15/04 in Ky...sire won G1 Oaklawn...sire 8-89 (9%) with 2yos...dam went 9-1-1-1 for $23,420 (0-1 at 2, won sprinting)...dam has foaled 2 winners from 5 runners (0-2 with 2yos)...barn is 0-8 over the past 5 years with 2nd-time 2yos.

Analysis:
WRECKOUT exits the slower division of maiden claimers at Turfway, but the colt owns a Beyer edge over his opposition, and his good early speed should have him in the mix from the start. VERNON TIGER also has speed. He should be prominent when they turn for home, and won't mind the extra distance one bit. MYSTICAL SMOKE raced evenly in career debut, and makes the turf to Polytrack move that has been very successful at the meet. ROCK N SYDNEY didn't have easy trip in career debut, and has been given plenty of time to recover from that effort. FACE IN THE MIRROR takes huge drop out of very fast race, and attracts high-percentage Leparoux.

The Bet: Wreckout to Win (5-2 or more).

Race 3
1 1/16 Miles (Polytrack)
Maiden Special Weight
2-year-old fillies
Purse $50,000

1. Vowel (Dynaformer - Tell It, by Storm Cat)
Trainer: William Mott
Foaled 4/12/04 in Ky...sire won G2 Jersey Derby, Discovery (1-5 at 2)...sire 119-972 (12%) with 2yos...dam went 18-4-2-2 for $162,283 (stakes-placed, 1-1 at 2, all races on grass)...this is dam's first foal...barn is 12-65 (18%, $1.67 ROI) over the past 5 years with 2yos going sprint to route.

2. Woodchick (Woodman - Big Truffle, by Pine Bluff)
Trainer: Thomas Bohannon
Foaled 4/7/04 in Ky...sire won G3 Anglesey, Futurity at 2 on turf...sire 115-961 (12%) with 2yos...dam was unraced...dam has foaled 2 winners from 3 runners (1-3 with 2yos)...barn is 0-2 over the past 5 years with 2yos.

3. Fernald (Quiet American - Gail's Brush, by Broad Brush)
Trainer: Anthony Reinstedler
Foaled 5/19/04 in Ky...half to stakes-placed Gail's Drive (67-19-10-10, $336,735, 0-4 at 2), and multiple G3 Aud (20-6-5-0, $485,623)...sire won G1 NYRA Mile (0-1 at 2)...sire 102-841 (12%) with 2yos...dam went 39-11-5-4 for $250,701 (G3 winner, 0-5 at 2)...dam has foaled 6 winners from 7 runners (1-4 with 2yos)...barn is 13-168 (8%, $0.99 ROI) over the past 5 years with 2yos.

4. Sarah's Prize (Pure Prize - Detain, by Forty Niner)
Trainer: Todd Pletcher
Foaled 4/9/04 in Ky...$97,000 yearling...sire won G2 Ky. Cup Classic (1-3 at 2, all wins routing)...sire 15-63 (23%) with 2yos...dam went 5-1-0-0 for $19,406 (won sprinting in the mud)...dam has foaled 2 winners from 4 runners (0-1 with 2yos)...barn is 15-63 (24%, $1.47 ROI) over the past 5 years with 2nd-time 2yos going sprint to route.

5. Pepper Spray (Officer - Peppercorn Shaker, by Back Alley)
Trainer: Charles Simon
Foaled 4/6/04 in FL...$35,000 yearling...1/2 to stakes-placed 2yo Earthquake Ride (19-2-1-5, $84,576, both wins on turf, 1-6 at 2)...sire won G1 Champagne at 2 (5-8 at 2, all wins sprinting)...sire 22-83 (27%) with 2yos...dam went 29-3-7-3 for $75,886 (multiple stakes-winner, 1-5 at 2)...dam has foaled 2 winners from 4 runners (2-4 with 2yos)...barn is 0-12 over the past 5 years with 2yos in 1st start after trainer switch.

6. Kevazinga (Prime Timber - Aaron's Terms, by Private Terms)
Trainer: Darrin Miller
Foaled 5/22/04 in Ky...$130,000 2yo...1/2 to stakes-placed sprinter Manor Prospect (37-3-2-4, $60,365, 2-5 at 2, all wins sprinting)...sire won G2 San Felipe (2-3 at 2)...sire 14-99 (14%) with 2yos...dam went 14-0-2-0 for $8,540...dam has foaled 3 winners from 5 runners (2-3 with 2yos)...10/14 workout matches barn's 2yo Still Kissin (68 Beyer)...barn is 0-1 over the past 5 years with 2nd-time 2yos going sprint to route, and getting Lasix for the 1st time.

7. Harlow Gold (Orientate - Bonkey, by Fit to Fight)
Trainer: Eddie Kenneally
Foaled 2/28/04 in Ky...$95,000 weanling (RNA), $150,000 yearling (RNA)...1/2 to multiple G3 Sea of Tranquility (76-23-9-11, $784,902, 2-7 at 2)...sire won G1 Breeders' Cup Sprint, Forego (0-2 at 2)...sire 19-108 (18%) with 2yos...dam went 12-0-1-1 for $2,872 (0-3 at 2)...dam has foaled 3 winners from 6 runners (2-4 with 2yos)...barn is 3-42 (7%, $0.45 ROI) with 2nd-time 2yos)...

8. Silence Dogood (Grand Slam - Crystal Vous, by Crystal Water)
Trainer: John Kimmel
Foaled 2/25/04 in Ky...$160,000 weanling, $285,000 yearling, $225,000 2yo...1/2 to multiple stakes-placed Unbridled Star (16-3-2-3, $91,290, 0-1 at 2), and multiple stakes-winner Silver Haze (23-6-2-3, $222,530, 2-7 at 2)...sire won G1 Champagne, Futurity at 2 (3-5 at 2)...sire 96-553 (17%) with 2yos...dam went 42-5-12-6 for $154,764 (G2-placed, 2-6 at 2)...dam has foaled 5 winners from 9 runners (2-6 with 2yos)...barn is 33-228 (14%, $1.88 ROI) over the past 5 years with 2yos.

9. Competition (Dixie Union - Competent Sort, by Cahill Road)
Trainer: Patrick Biancone
Foaled 4/15/04 in Ky...$150,000 yearling, $350,000 2yo...sire won G1 Haskell, Malibu (4-6 at 2, won debut)...sire 9-89 (10%) with 2yo firsters...dam went 21-5-3-1 for $76,174 (stakes-placed, 1-4 at 2)...dam has foaled 2 winners from 2 runners...10/15 work matches barn's 2yo filly Meet the Cat (56 Beyer)...barn 17-68 (25%, $1.90 ROI) over the past 5 years with 2yo firsters.

10. Tiz Twentyfour K (Tiznow - Sheena's Gold, by Fast Gold)
Trainer: William Helmbrecht
Foaled 3/1/04 in Ky...$95,000 weanling (RNA), $50,000 yearling...1/2 to G1 2yo The Groom is Red (18-4-2-2, $401,153, 3-7 at 2, all wins routing)...sire won G1 Breeders' Cup Classic (twice), Super Derby, Santa Anita Handicap...sire 17-115 (15%) with 2yos...dam went 10-1-1-2 for $8,518 (0-6 at 2, won routing)...dam has foaled 2 winners from 6 runners (1-4 with 2yos)...barn is 1-33 (3%, $0.26) over the past 5 years with 2nd-time 2yos.

11. Crimson Whisper (Peaks and Valleys - Crafty Personality, by Crafty Prospector)
Trainer: James Jackson
Foaled 3/3/04 in Kentucky...sire won G1 Molson Million, Meadowlands Cup (3-4 at 2)...1/2 to stakes-winning 2yo Clever Tricker (20-6-1-6, $168,948, 3-9 at 2, all wins sprinting)...sire 67-548 (12%) with 2yos...dam went 14-1-3-2 for $20,755 (won routing)...dam has foaled 4 winners from 7 runners (1-5 with 2yos)...barn 1-6 (17%, $2.37 ROI) over the past 5 years with 2yos going sprint to route in 2nd start off layoff.

12. Nickel Candy (Silver Deputy - Sugar Hill Chick, by Fit to Fight)
Trainer: Neil Howard
Foaled 3/13/04 in Ky...1/2 to multiple stakes-placed Summer Squeeze (21-4-1-4, $123,245, 2-8 at 2), and G2 Globalize (13-5-2-1, $623,650, 3-4 at 2)...sire won Swynford Stakes at 2 (2-2 at 2, all wins sprinting)...sire 171-899 (19%) with 2yos...dam went 51-5-6-6 for $125,930 (stakes-placed at 2, 1-8 at 2)...dam has foaled 3 winners from 9 runners (2-4 with 2yos)...10/7 work matches barn's 2yo filly Cabbage Key (2nd in 10/11 MSW at KEE with 58 Beyer)...10/1 work matches barn's 2yo filly Harmony Jane (3rd in 10/7 MSW at KEE with 59 Beyer)...9/17 work matches Cabbage Key (5th in MSW at TP on 9/21 with 58 Beyer)...barn 5-29 (17%, $1.21 ROI) over the past 5 years with 2yos returning from 31-60 day layoff.

Analysis:
SARAH'S PRIZE broke poorly, then was hustled up to chase the pace while three wide in career debut. She galloped out well after the fact, and the big filly looks like she'll appreciate extra distance. That was a fast maiden heat at Belmont, and the winner came back to be favored in the Grade 1 Frizette. WOODCHICK made a big wide move on the final turn of her Polytrack debut, but was one-paced in the lane. She adds blinkers, and that may get her into the race a bit quicker. SILENCE DOGOOD took on a tough group in career debut, then was 3-4 wide every step in turf debut. Capable of better. VOWEL disappointed at short odds in all of her New York turf starts.

The Bet: Sarah's Prize to Win (5-2 or more)