10/04/2012 11:27AM

Keeneland Babies for Oct. 5, 2012

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Welcome to Keeneland Babies!  I'll break down the statistics for every juvenile maiden contest at the meet.  In past years, I would list the stats for each horse before writing up my analysis, selections and wagering strategy. In order to streamline the content, this year's Keeneland Babies will showcase written analyses of each juvenile maiden race.  Each analysis will include relevant statistical information.  Following the analysis, top three selections and wagering strategy will be provided.  Selections and wagering strategy will be presented for non-maiden races.

NOTE: Find Saturday and Sunday Keeneland Babies analysis in DRF GamePlan

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Friday, October 5, 2012

Race 1
1 1/16 Miles (Polytrack)
Maiden Claiming ($50,000)
2-year-olds
Purse $20,000

ANALYSIS:

1. ADMIRAL KITTEN (Kitten's Joy - Reachinforthestars), a $39,000 yearling buyback, is by Grade 1 Joe Hirsch Turf Classic and Grade 1 Secretariat Stakes winner Kitten's Joy (9-14, 2.0M, 2-4 at two, 0-1 in main track routes), a stallion that is 28-160 (18%) with juvenile debut runners (6-41, 15%, $1.81 ROI with all debut runners in 2012). The dam won on turf (2-11, 45K, 1-4 at two, cost 220K at two)) and this is her first starter.  This is the female family of Grade 1 Breeders' Cup Mile winner Cozzene (10-24, 978K, 0-2 in main track routes). Grand Slam is 9-67 (13%, $1.95 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2012.  Trainer Michael Maker is 1-5 (20%, $2.16               ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners in maiden claiming synthetic routes (0-1 at Keeneland). Maker is 7-43 (16%, $1.33 ROI) with all debut runners in 2012. The July 14 workout matches Maker's juvenile filly Dimples (finished second in career debut in state bred maiden special weight on dirt at Mountaineer on September 11 with 38 Beyer). The July 14 workout matches Maker's juvenile Mile Range (finished first in career debut in maiden special weight on polytrack at Turfway on September 28 with 61 Beyer). The July 21 workout matches Maker's juvenile Kitten Goes Pro (finished sixth in career debut in maiden special weight on Tapeta at Presque Isle Downs with 33 Beyer). The July 21 workout matches Maker's 3-year-old filly Ha Ha Fooled Ya (finished first in $5,000 maiden claimer on dirt at Ellis Park on August 11 with 43 Beyer). The August 20 workout matches Maker's juvenile D Shirt Maker (finished fifth in career debut in $7,500 maiden claimer on polytrack at Turfway on September 14 with 8 Beyer). The September 16 workout matches Maker's 4-year-old Matthewsburg (finished third in a $7,500 'n4L' claimer over Tapeta at Presque Isle Downs on September 21 with 65 Beyer).

2. AUD EDDIE (Eddington - Aud) sold for $30,000 in April after breezing a furlong in 10.3 seconds.  He is by Grade 1 Pimlico Special Handicap winner Eddington (6-17, 1.2M, 0-1 at two, 5-16 in main track routes), a stallion that is 47-355 (13%) with juveniles.  The dam won the Grade 3 Pucker Up Stakes and Grade 3 Cardinal Handicap (6-20, 485K, 1-2 in main track routes) and has foaled one winner from four runners (0-4 with 2yos, 0-2 with main track routers). The dam is a half-sister to stakes-placed Gail's Drive (19-67, 336K, 0-4 at two, 13-41 in main track routes). Trainer Wesley Ward is 1-1 (100%, $4.00 ROI) over the past five years with juveniles going turf to synthetic while dropping from maiden special weights (1-1, 100%, $4.00 ROI at Keeneland). Drops in for a tag after a disappointing run on grass at Arlington on September 23.  After prompting a moderate pace that afternoon, he dropped back tamely in the upper stretch.  Capable of working out a good trip tracking the leaders from the inside.

3. NEWFOUND ZAPPER (Ghostzapper - Tustarta) sold for $57,000 as a weanling and is a half-brother to stakes-winning turfer Lickety Lemon (3-14, 236K, 2-4 at two, 0-1 in main track routes) and British juvenile stakes-winning turfer Cry of Freedom (3-15, 50K, 2-5 at two, 0-3 in main track routes.).  Newfound Zapper is by four-time Grade 1 winner Ghostzapper (Vosburgh Stakes, Breeders' Cup Classic, Woodward Stakes, Metropolitan Handicap, 9-11, 3.4M, 1-2 at two, 4-4 in main track routes) a stallion that is 41-224 (18%) with juveniles.  The dam was multiple stakes-placed on turf in France (1-18, 80K, 0-1 at two) and has foaled two winners from four runners (2-4 with 2yos, 0-3 with main track routers).  The dam is a half-sister to French stakes-placed turfer Marbeuf.  Trainer Wesley Ward is 1-1 (100%, $4.00 ROI) over the past five years with juveniles going turf to synthetic while dropping from maiden special weights (1-1, 100%, $4.00 ROI at Keeneland). Faced a good bunch in most recent start at Saratoga and may have been a bit too close to the pace to boot.  Looms a logical contender dropping in class for Ward. Reportedly worked in company with juvenile Simon Eyes (0-2 lifetime) at Keeneland on October 2.

4. LEDOKOL (Purge - Quick to Boot), foaled in Ontario, sold for $4,200 in January.  He is by Grade 1 Cigar Mile winner Purge (6-15, 905K, 1-1 at two, 4-13 in main track routes), a stallion that is 47-439 (11%) with juveniles. The dam placed sprinting at two (0-4, 3K, 0-2 at two) and this is her first starter.  The third dam is Grade 3 New York Handicap winner Noble Damsel (6-26, 212K, 1-1 at two). Trainer Gennadi Dorochenko is 0-6 over the past five years with juveniles going dirt to synthetic (0-1 at Keeneland). Finished behind next-out graduate Gold Mate (58 Beyer winner) in maiden special weight on dirt at Mountaineer on September 3.  According to the "Keeneland Clocker Report" for September 27, Ledokol gave a "good even workout, lightly ridden."

5. OTTER COVE (Include - Asticou) is by Grade 1 Pimlico Special winner Include (10-20, 1.6M, 0-2 at two, 9-17 in main track routes), a stallion that is 91-581 (16%) with juveniles.  The dam placed sprinting at two (0-3, 4K, 0-3 at two, 0-1 in main track routes) and has foaled no winners from three runners (0-2 with 2yos, 0-2 with main track routers).  The dam is a half-sister to Grade 2 Fountain of Youth Stakes winner Lil's Lad (5-13, 589K, 1-3 at two, 2-7 in main track routes), Irish juvenile Group 3 turf winner Cherokee (1-4, 65K, 1-2 at two) and Irish juvenile stakes-winning turfer Art Museum (3-5, 79K, 2-2 at two). Trainer Ken McPeek is 2-2 (100%, $7.50 ROI) over the past five years with second-time juvenile routers going turf to synthetic and dropping from maiden special weights (2-2, 100%, $7.50 ROI at Keeneland).

6. ALIMONY COBRA (Stephen Got Even - Parmilla) sold for $25,000 as a yearling and is a half-brother to multiple stakes-winner Silver Stockings (6-12, 162K, 2-3 at two, 1-2 in main track routes). Alimony Cobra is by Grade 1 Donn Handicap winner Stephen Got Even (5-11, 1.0M, 0-1 at two, 5-10 in main track routes), a stallion that is 27-233 (12%) with juvenile debut runners (5-26, 19%, $6.47 ROI with all debut runners in 2012). The dam won sprinting (1-1, 3K) and has foaled five winners from seven runners (3-4 with 2yos, 1 debut winner, 2-4 with main track routers). The second dam is multiple stakes-placed Running Around (9-25, 91K). Silver Deputy is 12-74 (16%, $1.94 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2012.  Trainer Phil Sims is 4-39 (10%, $2.72 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners on synthetic (3-27, 11%, $2.77 ROI at Keeneland). Sims is 1-6 (17%, $4.03 ROI) with all debut runners in 2012. The July 24 workout matches Sims' juvenile filly Rose Dela Troienne (finished sixth in career debut in maiden special weight on polytrack at Arlington with 34 Beyer). The September 22 workout matches Sims' 3-year-old filly Lady Diva Ga Ga (79 Beyer on polytrack). According to the "Keeneland Clocker Report" for September 13, Alimony Cobra worked "in company with Street Soldier and was the better of the two."  Street Soldier is an unraced colt.

7. EIGHT SHOOTERS (Dehere - Count On Wisdom) sold for $30,000 as a yearling and is by Grade 1 Champagne Stakes and Grade 1 Hopeful Stakes winner Dehere (6-9, 723K, 5-7 at two, 2-4 routing), a stallion that is 133-726 (18%) with juveniles. The unraced dam has foaled no winners from two runners (0-1 with 2yos, 0-2 with main track routers). The dam is a half-sister to Grade 3 Toronto Cup Handicap winner Think Red (3-5, 152K), stakes-placed Hard Edge (7-38, 331K, 5-23 in main track routes) and stakes-winner Count to Three (5-22, 398K). Trainer Ken McPeek is 0-1 over the past five years with juveniles going dirt to synthetic and dropping from maiden special weights in routes following 31-60 day layoff (0-1 at Keeneland).

8. MAKER REIGNS (Empire Maker - Can Ihavethisdance) sold for $85,000 in April after breezing two furlongs in 22.0 seconds and is by three-time Grade 1 winner Empire Maker (Belmont Stakes, Florida Derby, Wood Memorial Stakes, 4-8, 1.9M, 1-2 at two, 4-8 in main track routes), a stallion that is 50-289 (17%) with juveniles.  The dam was a stakes-winning router (4-18, 272K, 0-4 at two, 4-9 in main track routes, cost 60K as weanling) and has foaled one winner from four runners (1-3 with 2yos, 0-3 with main track routers).  The dam is a half-sister to stakes-placed Double Trick (5-27, 220K, 0-1 at two, 3-15 routing), multiple stakes-winner Misspitch (7-34, 176K, 1-8 at two, 3-9 routing) and multiple Brazilian Group 3 winner Big Baby Bear. Trainer Michael Maker is 0-2 over the past five years with juveniles going dirt to synthetic and maiden special weight to maiden claimer following 31-60 day layoff in routes (0-1 at Keeneland).

9. TAPE IT (Tapit - Runway Rosie, by Include) sold for $200,000 as a yearling and is by Grade 1 Wood Memorial Stakes winner Tapit (3-6, 557K, 2-2 at two, 3-6 in main track routes), a stallion that is 28-220 (13%) with juvenile debut runners (9-67, 13%, $1.28 ROI with all debut runners in 2012).  This is the first starter from the multiple stakes-winning dam (6-25, 387K, 2-5 at two, 5-19 in main track routes, cost 30K as yearling). The third dam is juvenile stakes-placed sprinter Smoke Alert (1-7, 26K, 1-7 at two, won debut). Include is 1-11 (9%, $3.64 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2012.  Trainer Graham Motion is 0-3 over the past five years with juvenile debut runners in synthetic routes.  Motion is 5-61 (8%, $1.10 ROI) with all debut runners in 2012. The September 20 workout matches Motion's juvenile Morning Cigar (finished second in $25,000 maiden claimer on dirt at Laurel on September 28 with 41 Beyer). The September 28 workout matches Motion's juvenile filly Jane's Heir (67 Beyer on turf).

SELECTIONS:
1. Newfound Zapper
2. Aud Eddie
3. Ledokol

THE PLAY:
Newfound Zapper to WIN at 7-2 odds or greater.

***

Race 6
6 1/2 Furlongs (Polytrack)
Maiden Special Weight
2-year-old fillies
Purse $50,000

1. EBBYCALVIN LALOOSH (Candy Ride - Proposed) sold for $8,000 as a yearling and is by three-time Grade/Group 1 winner Candy Ride (6-6, 749K, 1-1 in main track sprints), a stallion that is 16-142 (11%) with juvenile debut runners (5-47, 11%, $1.28 ROI with all debut runners in 2012). This is the first starter from Grade 2 Milady Handicap and Grade 3 El Encino Stakes winner Proposed (7-15, 567K, 0-2 at two, 3-6 in main track sprints). The dam is a full sister to Grade 1 Santa Anita Oaks winner Silent Sighs (4-6, 442K, 2-3 at two, won debut, 3-3 in main track sprints). Benchmark is 2-13 (15%, $5.15 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2012.  Trainer Wayne Catalano is 13-55 (24%, $1.76 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners in synthetic maiden special weight sprints (0-6 at Keeneland). Catalano is 11-58 (18%, $2.78 ROI) with all debut runners in 2012. The August 10 workout matches Catalano's 3-year-old filly State (finished first in maiden special weight on turf at Arlington on August 31 with 76 Beyer). According to the "Keeneland Clocker Report" for September 13, Ebbycalvin Laloosh "continues to train forwardly."

2. WORTHWHILEPURSUIT (Harlan's Holiday - My Canada) is a half-sister to juvenile stakes-winning sprinter Romantic Hideaway (3-6, 128K, 3-4 at two, 3-6 in main track sprints) and Grade 2 Demoiselle Stakes winner Disposablepleasure (2-10, 363K, 2-4 at two). Worthwhilepursuit sold for $47,000 as a weanling and for $45,000 as a yearling and is by Grade 1 Florida Derby, Grade 1 Blue Grass Stakes and Grade 1 Donn Handicap winner Harlan's Holiday (9-22, 3.6M, 4-6 at two, 2-3 in main track sprints), a stallion that is 120-695 (17%) with juveniles. The dam was unplaced (0-5, 0-1 at two, 0-2 in main track sprints) and has foaled four winners from five runners (2-3 with 2yos, 2-4 with main track sprinters). The dam is a full sister to juvenile stakes-winner Patriot Love (4-47, 359K, 2-7 at two, 1-3 in main track sprints).  The dam is a half-sister to multiple stakes-winner Deputy Country (13-33, 341K, 4-14 in main track sprints) and Grade 3 Aristides Stakes winner Riley Tucker (8-41, 667K, 1-3 at two, 3-9 in main track sprints).  Trainer Todd Pletcher is 0-4 over the past five years with juveniles going turf to synthetic off 31-60 day layoffs (0-3 at Keeneland).

3. SILVER STRIKE (First Defence - Adam's Time) sold for $30,000 as a yearling and is by Grade 1 Forego Handicap winner First Defence (6-14, 580K, 1-3 at two, 4-10 in main track sprints), a first-crop stallion that is 0-12 with juvenile debut runners. The stakes-winning dam (6-30, 343K, 3-9 in main track sprints, cost 100K as yearling) has foaled four winners from five runners (0-2 with 2yos, 3-5 with main track sprinters). The dam is a half-sister to stakes-placed sprinter Turkish Beauty (2-13, 48K, 2-6 at two, 0-3 in main track sprints). Gilded Time is 4-61 (7%, $0.92 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2012.  Trainer David Carroll is 1-12 (8%, $1.21 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners in synthetic maiden special weight sprints (0-9 at Keeneland). Carroll is 0-8 with all debut runners in 2012. The September 3 workout matches Carroll's juvenile filly Sweet Red Cat (finished second in career debut in $30,000 maiden claimer on turf at Kentucky Downs on September 19 with 59 Beyer).

4. KIMBERLY JEAN (More Than Ready - Grey Song) sold for $240,000 as a yearling and is by Grade 1 King's Bishop Stakes winner More Than Ready (7-17, 1.0M, 5-7 at two, won debut, 7-9 in main track sprints), a stallion that is 40-366 (11%) with juvenile debut runners (8-43, 19%, $3.03 ROI with all debut runners in 2012). The unraced dam has foaled no winners from one runner. The second dam is five-time Grade 1 winner Dispute (Beldame Stakes, Kentucky Oaks, Gazelle Handicap twice, Spinster Stakes, 9-19, 1.1M, 1-2 at two, won debut, 2-4 in main track sprints). Unbridled's Song is 14-85 (16%, $2.09 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2012.  Trainer Ken McPeek is 5-50 (10%, $1.03 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners in synthetic maiden special weight sprints (2-37, 5%, $0.75 ROI at Keeneland). McPeek is 4-34 (11%, $1.31 ROI) with all debut runners in 2012. The September 22 workout matches McPeek's juvenile Java's War (83 Beyer top on turf). The September 22 workout matches McPeek's juvenile Otter Cove (32 Beyer on turf, entered in today's first race). The September 28 workout matches McPeek's juvenile filly Cebu (30 Beyer top on polytrack).

5. LIBERATED (Curlin - Lady Melesi) sold for $60,000 as a yearling and is a half-sister to Grade 2-placed router Doc Cheney (3-25, 190K, 2-2 at two, 2-6 in main track sprints), stakes-winning router Roman Emperor (3-9, 168K, 2-3 at two) and stakes-winner Seruni (5-20, 278K, 0-1 in main track sprints). The first-crop sire won seven Grade 1 races (Breeders' Cup Classic, Preakness Stakes, Jockey Club Gold Cup twice, Dubai World Cup, Stephen Foster Handicap, Woodward Stakes (11-16, 10.5M, 1-1 in main track sprints) and is 3-21 (14%, $1.25 ROI) with juvenile debut runners.  The multiple stakes-winning dam (4-14, 389K, 0-1 at two, 0-2 in main track sprints, cost 60K as yearling) has foaled four winners from eight runners (2-6 with 2yos, 1-6 with main track sprinters). This is the female family of Grade 1 Ruffian Handicap and Grade 1 Delaware Handicap winner Relaxing (9-19, 573K). Trainer Victoria Oliver is 0-1 over the past five years with second-time juveniles going dirt to synthetic in maiden special weight sprint. According to the "Keeneland Clocker Report" for October 1, Liberated "broke behind Wasn't Me and easily passed that one in the stretch."  Wasn't Me is a three-year-old claimer with a best Beyer of 65.

6. I JUS WANA HAV FUN (Private Vow - If It's Meant to B), foaled in Louisiana, sold for $25,000 in June after breezing a furlong in 10.2 seconds.  She is by Grade 2 Futurity Stakes and Grade 2 Kentucky Jockey Club Stakes winner Private Vow (4-12, 491K, 4-6 at two, 3-6 in main track sprints), a first-crop stallion that is 3-54 (6%) with juveniles This is the first starter from the stakes-winning dam (3-21, 130K, 0-3 at two, 1-14 in main track sprints, cost 35K at two). The dam is a half-sister to stakes-winner Golden Damsel (5-16, 241K, 1-3 at two, 1-4 main track sprints).  Trainer Merrill Scherer is 10-54 (19%, $1.35 ROI) over the past five years with juveniles in synthetic maiden special weight sprints (0-13 at Keeneland).

7. WINE GLOW (Tiznow - Cool Storm) sold for $250,000 as a yearling and is by four-time Grade 1 route winner Tiznow (Breeders' Cup Classic twice, Super Derby, Santa Anita Handicap, 8-15, 6.4M, 0-1 in main track sprints), a stallion that is 92-653 (14%) with juveniles.  This is the first starter out of the unraced mare (sold for a million dollars as a yearling). The dam is a full sister to Grade 1 Haskell winner Bluegrass Cat (5-11, 1.7M, 3-4 at two, 1-2 in main track sprints) and stakes-winner Sonoma Cat (3-10, 132K, 2-6 in main track sprints), and is a half-sister to Grade 2 Prairie Meadows Cornhusker winner Lord of the Game (8-18, 543K) and stakes-placed sprinter Cal Nation (3-9, 127K, 3-7 in main track sprints). Trainer Wayne Lukas is 0-6 over the past five years with juveniles going turf to synthetic (0-6 at Keeneland).

8. BLUEGRASS D'LITE (Bluegrass Cat - Unbridled Action) sold for $4,000 as a yearling and is by Grade 1 Haskell Invitational winner Bluegrass Cat (5-11, 1.7M, 3-4 at two, 1-2 in main track sprints), a stallion that is 22-136 (16%) with juvenile debut runners (7-50, 14%, $1.93 ROI with all debut runners in 2012).  This is the first starter from the unraced dam (cost 90K as yearling). The dam is a half-sister to Grade 1 Breeders' Cup Juvenile winner Action This Day (2-9, 822K, 2-3 at two). Unbridled's Song is 14-85 (16%, $2.09 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2012. This is the trainer's first starter.

9. EMOTIONAL KITTEN (Kitten's Joy - Silent Emotion), foaled in Pennsylvania, is a half-sister to multiple stakes-winner Unspoken Word (7-31, 370K, 1-6 in main track sprints). Emotional Kitten is by Grade 1 Joe Hirsch Turf Classic and Grade 1 Secretariat Stakes winner Kitten's Joy (9-14, 2.0M, 2-4 at two, 0-1 in main track sprints), a stallion that is 87-474 (18%) with juveniles.  The dam was a stakes-winner (6-14, 209K, 1-2 at two, 1-2 in main track sprints) and has foaled five winners from six runners (1-4 with 2yos, 2-6 with main track sprints). The dam is a half-sister to stakes-placed Kera's Kitty's Cat (3-15, 54K, 1-3 at two, 3-12 in main track sprints). Trainer Wesley Ward is 0-4 over the past five years with juveniles going turf to synthetic following 31-60 day layoff (0-3 at Keeneland).

10. FLASHY GRAY (Flashy Bull - Pleasure Cat) sold for $45,000 as a yearling and is by Grade 1 Stephen Foster Handicap winner Flashy Bull (5-19, 844K, 1-6 at two, 1-6 in main track sprints), a stallion that is 6-62 (10%) with juvenile debut runners (3-49, 6%, $0.86 ROI with all debut runners in 2012). The unraced dam has foaled five winners from seven runners (2-6 with 2yos, 4-7 with main track sprinters). The dam is a half-sister to multiple stakes-placed sprinter Doon's Pleasure (4-12, 66K, 2-6 in main track sprints). Cat's Career is 1-11 (9%, $0.38 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2012.  Trainer Lon Wiggins is 1-6 (17%, $2.36 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners in synthetic maiden special weight sprints (0-2 at Keeneland). Wiggins is 1-7 (14%, $5.86 ROI) with all debut runners in 2012. 

11. MISS BROWN SUGAR (Big Brown - Gata Bella) was bought back for $140,000 as a yearling and is a half-sister to stakes-winning sprinter Ha Ha Tonka (4-7, 156K, 4-7 in main track sprints). She is by four-time Grade 1 winner Big Brown (Kentucky Derby, Haskell Invitational, Florida Derby, Preakness Stakes, 7-8, 3.6M, 1-1 at two), a first-crop stallion that is 4-16 (25%, $1.96 ROI) with juvenile debut runners.  The dam placed sprinting (0-3, 10K, 0-3 in main track sprints) and has foaled two winners from three runners (2-3 with main track sprinters). The dam is a half-sister to stakes-placed turfer Zapper Belle (2-10, 82K, 0-2 in main track sprints). Storm Cat is 14-112 (12%, $2.09 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2012.  Trainer Eddie Kenneally is 3-26 (12%, $0.59 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners in synthetic maiden special weight sprints (1-11, 9%, $0.52 ROI at Keeneland). Kenneally is 9-43 (20%, $2.90 ROI) with all debut runners in 2012. The July 14, July 20, July 27, August 9 workouts match Kenneally's juvenile Mudflats (finished fourth in career debut in maiden special weight on dirt at Belmont on September 15 with 69 Beyer). The August 24 workout matches Kenneally's juvenile First Ronin (finished eighth in the $60,000 Kentucky Downs Juvenile Stakes on turf on September 15 with 36 Beyer).

12. BORN TO JAZZ (Student Council - Guard Dance) is a half-sister to multiple stakes-winner Born to Dance (11-38, 577K, 5-8 at two, 10-29 in main track sprints) and stakes-winner Born to Tango (6-40, 124K, 0-7 at two, 2-18 in main track sprints). Born to Jazz is by Grade 1 Pacific Classic and Grade 1 Pimlico Special winner Student Council (8-31, 1.5M, 0-3 at two, 0-3 in main track sprints), a first-crop stallion that is 5-46 (11%) with juveniles. The multiple stakes-winning dam (8-18, 154K, 0-1 at two, 2-7 in main track sprints) has foaled five winners from eight runners (1-7 with 2yos, 4-8 with main track sprinters).  Trainer Steven Asmussen is 4-40 (10%, $0.91 ROI) over the past five years with juveniles going dirt to synthetic (0-7 at Keeneland).

SELECTIONS:
1. Ebbycalvin Laloosh
2. Worthwhilepursuit
3. Liberated

THE PLAY:
Ebbycalvin Laloosh to WIN and PLACE at 9-2 odds or greater.

***

Race 9
1 1/16 Miles (Polytrack)
Darley Alcibiades Stakes (G1)
2-year-old fillies
Purse $400,000

SELECTIONS:
1. Rose to Gold
2. Magical Moon
3. Spring in the Air

THE PLAY:
Rose to Gold to WIN and PLACE at 4-1 odds or greater.

***

Race 10
6 1/2 Furlongs (Polytrack)
Maiden Special Weight
2-year-old fillies
Purse $50,000

1. TRUE INSPIRATION (Indian Charlie - Golden Marlin) was bought back for $95,000 as a yearling, was bought back for $145,000 in March after breezing a furlong in 10.2, and was bought back for $95,000 in May after breezing a furlong in 11 seconds.  She is by Grade 1 Santa Anita Derby winner Indian Charlie (4-5, 616K, 1-1 at two, 2-2 in main track sprints), a stallion that is 45-277 (16%) with juvenile debut runners (9-45, 20%, $2.23 ROI with all debut runners in 2012). The dam won the Grade 3 Dogwood Stakes (7-25, 389K, 1-3 at two, won debut, 5-15 in main track sprints) and has foaled two winners from three runners (0-2 with 2yos, 1-3 with sprinters). This is the female family of Grade 2 Remsen Stakes winner Silver of Silver (3-13, 494K, 3-5 at two, won debut, 1-1 in main track sprints). Marlin is 1-7 (14%, $2.63 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2012.  Trainer D. Wayne Lukas is 0-7 over the past five years with juvenile debut runners in synthetic maiden special weight sprints (0-7 at Keeneland). Lukas is 0-21 with all debut runners in 2012. The July 22, July 29 workouts match Lukas' juvenile filly Indiz (finished seventh in career debut in maiden special weight on dirt at Saratoga on August 12 with 0 Beyer). The August 7 workout went .02 faster than Lukas' 3-year-old filly Bourbonesque (finished first in $30,000 maiden claimer on turf at Kentucky Downs on September 10 with 60 Beyer). The August 30 workout matches Bourbonesque.  The September 13 workout matches Lukas' juvenile filly Rossweisse (14 Beyer on dirt). The September 13 workout matches Lukas' 4-year-old Turnofthecat (84 Beyer on synthetic).

2. AMBUSHER (Stephen Got Even - Competition) sold for $40,000 as a yearling and is by juvenile stakes-placed router Bartolome (1-4, 31K, 1-2 at two, won debut). Ambusher is by Grade 1 Donn Handicap winner Stephen Got Even (5-11, 1.0M, 0-1 at two, 0-1 in main track sprints), a stallion that is 27-233 (12%) with juvenile debut runners (5-26, 19%, $6.47 ROI with all debut runners in 2012). The unplaced dam (0-3, 0-1 at two, cost 350K at two) has foaled one winner from one runner (1-1 with 2yos, debut winner). The dam is a half-sister to juvenile stakes-placed sprinter Thats a Good Thing (5-39, 99K, 1-9 at two, 2-25 in main track sprints). Dixie Union is 7-34 (21%, $1.86 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2012.  Trainer Ian Wilkes is 0-25 over the past five years with juvenile debut runners in synthetic maiden special weight sprints (0-12 at Keeneland). Wilkes is 0-35 with all debut runners in 2012.

3. SHOE QUEEN (E Dubai - Ornate) is a full sister to Grade 2 Fantasy Stakes winner High Heels (3-17, 484K, 1-6 at two, 1-4 in main track sprints), and is a half-sister to stakes-winning router French Kiss (4-35, 284K, 1-7 at two, 0-3 in main track sprints) and Grade 2 Pocahontas Stakes and Grade 2 Golden Rod Stakes winner On Fire Baby (4-8, 354K, 3-4 at two, won debut, 1-1 in main track sprints). Shoe Queen is by Grade 2 Dwyer Stakes and Grade 2 Suburban Handicap winner E Dubai (5-11, 920K, 1-2 at two, won debut, 1-2 in main track sprints), a stallion that is 30-189 (16%) with juvenile debut runners (5-50, 10%, $2.01 ROI with all debut runners in 2012). The stakes-winning dam (7-29, 177K, 0-3 in main track sprints, cost 80K as yearling) has foaled three winners from five runners (3-5 with 2yos, 1 debut winner, 2-4 with main track sprinters). This is the female family of British juvenile stakes-winning turfer Al Stanza. Gilded Time is 4-61 (7%, $0.92 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2012. Trainer Gary Hartlage is 0-1 over the past five years with juvenile debut runners on synthetic (0-1 at Keeneland). Hartlage is 0-2 with all debut runners in 2012.

4. GOLDEN B. J. (Bob and John - Golden Voice) is by Grade 1 Wood Memorial Stakes winner Bob and John (5-14, 996K, 1-5 at two, 0-1 sprinting), a stallion that is 19-162 (12%) with juveniles.  This is the first starter from the winning dam (4-25, 119K, 3-17 in main track sprints). The dam is a half-sister to Grade 2 Barbara Fritchie Handicap winner Golden Dawn (3-10, 278K, 3-9 in main track sprints). Trainer David Vance is 5-21 (24%, $3.02 ROI) over the past five years with juveniles going dirt to synthetic (1-3, 33%, $8.00 ROI at Keeneland).

5. ROCK HARD CAT (Rock Hard Ten - Stormin Cat) is a half-sister to Grade 3-placed Stormin Mon (4-24, 193K, 3-13 in main track sprints) and stakes-placed sprinter Usurp (4-25, 204K, 0-2 at two, 4-24 in main track sprints). Rock Hard Cat is by Grade 1 Malibu Stakes and Grade 1 Santa Anita Handicap winner Rock Hard Ten (7-11, 1.8M, 2-2 in main track sprints), a stallion that is 28-231 (12%) with juveniles. The dam won sprinting (3-16, 67K, 0-2 at two, 3-15 in main track sprints) and has foaled five winners from six runners (0-4 with 2yos, 5-5 with main track sprinters). The dam is a half-sister to stakes-winner Stormy Diplomat (11-59, 194K, 0-3 at two, 1-8 in main track sprints), multiple stakes-winning sprinter Thisnearlywasmine (5-11, 291K, 2-7 at two, 5-10 in main track sprints) and multiple stakes-winning sprinter Theverythoughof U (4-8, 189K, 4-5 in main track sprints). Trainer Paul McGee is 1-3 (33%, $3.33 ROI) over the past five years with juveniles going turf to synthetic (0-1 at Keeneland).

6. K TO THE CROFT (Distorted Humor - A to the Croft) is by Grade 2 Commonwealth Stakes and Grade 2 Churchill Downs Handicap winner Distorted Humor (8-23, 769K, 7-13 in main track sprints), a stallion that is 157-918 (17%) with juveniles. The dam was multiple Grade 1-placed at two (3-14, 295K, 1-5 at two, 1-3 in main track sprints, cost 55K as yearling) and this is her first starter. The third dam is multiple stakes-placed router Scorched (3-16, 67K, 1-1 at two, 3-7 in main track sprints). Trainer Ken McPeek is 1-4 (25%, $2.80 ROI) over the past five years with second-time juveniles adding Lasix and going turf to synthetic in maiden special weight sprints (1-3, 33%, $3.73 ROI at Keeneland).

7. CHOCOLAT CITY (Scat Daddy - La Ville Chocolat), foaled in Louisiana, sold for $45,000 in June after breezing a furlong in 10.4 seconds.  She is by Grade 1 Champagne Stakes and Grade 1 Florida Derby winner Scat Daddy (5-9, 1.3M, 3-5 at two, won debut, 2-3 in main track sprints), a stallion that is 11-70 (16%) with juvenile debut runners (7-40, 17%, $1.54 ROI with all debut runners in 2012). This is the first starter from the sprint-winning dam (1-2, 17K, 1-2 in main track sprints, cost 47K at two). The third dam is stakes-winner Seton's Encounter (7-30, 93K, 1-7 at two, 1-3 in main track sprints). Carson City is 10-93 (11%, $1.29 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2012.  Trainer Merrill Scherer is 3-23 (13%, $1.73 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners in synthetic maiden special weight sprints (0-9 at Keeneland). Scherer is 1-9 (11%, $1.18 ROI) with all debut runners in 2012. The June 30 workout matches Scherer's juvenile filly I Jus Wana Hav Fun (finished fifth in career debut in $65,000 maiden claimer on dirt at Saratoga on August 30 with 32 Beyer; entered in today's sixth race). The September 3 workout matches Scherer's 3-year-old filly Kathy's In Charge (finished seventh in maiden special weight on turf at Kentucky Downs on September 8 with 14 Beyer).

8. INDIAN CLARKIE (Indian Charlie - Winter Forest) sold for $100,000 as a yearling and was purchased for $370,000 in March after breezing a furlong in 9.4 seconds. She is by Grade 1 Santa Anita Derby winner Indian Charlie (4-5, 616K, 1-1 at two, 2-2 in main track sprints), a stallion that is 146-806 (18%) with juveniles.  The dam placed routing (0-5, 17K, 0-1 in main track sprints, cost 975K as yearling) and has foaled one winner from two runners (0-2 with 2yos, 0-2 with main track sprinters). The dam is a half-sister to stakes-winner Saratoga Summer (7-25, 219K, 3-8 at two, 3-15 in main track sprints) and is a full sister to stakes-winning sprinter Ever Elusive (5-13, 219K, 5-12 in main track sprints). Trainer Randy Morse is 1-7 (14%, $0.71 ROI) over the past five years with juveniles adding blinkers.  Thought she ran pretty well on dirt at Ellis Park after being brushed at the start and bumped on the backstretch, but trainer Morse doesn't run many on polytrack and it will be interesting to see how Indian Clarkie's speed plays on the synthetic.

9. SHEZA ROMAN RULER (Roman Ruler - She's Exclusive) was bought back for $18,500 as a yearling, was bought back for $27,000 in April after breezing a furlong in 10.3 seconds and sold for $70,000 in June after breezing a furlong in 10.1 seconds.  She is by Grade 1 Haskell Invitational winner Roman Ruler (5-10, 1.2M, 3-5 at two, 2-3 in main track sprints), a stallion that is 49-354 (14%) with juveniles.  The dam won sprinting on a wet track (1-13, 20K, 1-11 in main track sprints) and has foaled one winner from two runners (0-2 with 2yos, 1-2 with main track sprinters). The dam is a half-sister to stakes-winner Private Ryan (8-44, 233K, 1-3 at two, 1-13 in main track sprints). Trainer Steven Asmussen is 0-10 over the past five years with second-time juveniles going dirt to synthetic in maiden special weight sprints (0-3 at Keeneland).

10. I'M ALREADY SEXY (Ready's Image - Klohho) sold for $20,000 as a yearling and is by Grade 2 Sanford Stakes winner Ready's Image (4-10, 310K, 3-6 at two, 4-7 in main track sprints), a first-crop stallion that is 5-36 (14%) with juveniles.  The dam placed on turf (0-3, 13K, 0-1 in main track sprints) and has foaled three winners from six runners (0-2 with 2yos, 3-6 with main track sprinters). The dam is a half-sister to multiple stakes-placed Inn Between (6-35, 162K, 1-4 in main track sprints). Trainer Wayne Catalano is 5-21 (24%, $1.14 ROI) over the past five years with second-time juveniles in synthetic maiden special weight sprints (0-4 at Keeneland).

11. YES SIR (Scat Daddy - Misty Light Air), foaled in Louisiana, sold for $15,000 as a yearling and was purchased for $85,000 in April after breezing two furlongs in 22.0 seconds.  She is by Grade 1 Champagne Stakes and Grade 1 Florida Derby winner Scat Daddy (5-9, 1.3M, 3-5 at two, 2-3 in main track sprints), a stallion that is 38-211 (18%) with juveniles. The dam won on turf (1-6, 20K) and has foaled one winner from four runners (0-2 with 2yos, 1-3 with main track sprints). The dam is a half-sister to Grade 2 Fourstardave Handicap winner Dr. Kashnikow (8-37, 777K). Trainer Larry Rivelli is 0-4 over the past five years with juveniles going turf to synthetic.

12. COMPRENDE (Hard Spun - Entendo) sold for $60,000 as a yearling and is by Grade 1 King's Bishop Stakes winner Hard Spun (7-13, 2.6M, 3-3 at two, 4-4 in main track sprints), a stallion that is 6-78 (8%) with juvenile debut runners (7-59, 12%, $1.48 ROI with all debut runners in 2012).  The dam won on turf in France (1-14, 43K, 0-2 at two, 1-14 on turf, cost 225K as yearling) and has foaled one winner from three runners (0-3 with juveniles, 0-1 with main track sprinters). The dam is a half-sister to stakes-winner Krigeorj's Gold (16-77, 321K, 0-1 at two, 0-7 in main track sprints) and stakes-winning sprinter Byanosejoe (5-25, 195K, 1-2 at two, 5-18 in main track sprints). Diesis doesn't have a winner as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2012.  Trainer Tom Proctor is 4-43 (9%, $1.65 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners in synthetic maiden special weight sprints (0-10 at Keeneland). Proctor is 5-41 (12%, $2.23 ROI) with all debut runners in 2012. The July 8, July 14, July 20 workouts match Proctor's juvenile filly Funfortheholidays (finished sixth in career debut in maiden special weight on turf at Kentucky Downs on September 8 with 39 Beyer).

SELECTIONS:
1. Indian Clarkie
2. Ambusher
3. Yes Sir

THE PLAY:
Indian Clarkie - Ambusher EXACTA
Indian Clarkie - Yes Sir EXACTA

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