- DRF Bets
- Handicapping & PPsThoroughbred Past Performances
ReportsPremium NewsDigital PapersHorsemen's Products
- DRF Classic PDF PPs
- DRF Formulator PPs
- DRF EasyForm PPs
- Daily Racing Program PPs
- Equibase PPs
- TrackMaster PPs
- NewsCategoriesTrack Notes
- DRF TV
- StorePast Performances
- Compare all DRF PPs
- DRF Formulator PPs
- DRF Classic PPs
- DRF EasyForm PPs
- Daily Racing Program PPs
- Expanded Closer Looks
- Equibase & Trackmaster PPs - Thoroughbred
Keeneland Babies for Friday
Welcome to Keeneland Babies! This meet should be a challenge for the 2-year-olds as many will race over Polytrack for the first time. I'll break down the numbers for every juvenile maiden contest for the meet, and hopefully will improve on the profits made with "Spa Babies." Good luck!
Friday, October 6, 2006
Keeneland - Race 4
1 1/16 Miles (Turf)
The first baby race of the meet is a very contentious affair so looking for a price may be the way to go. DEEP SPRINGS is bred on the same Storm Cat - Seeking the Gold 'nick' that produced Grade 1 turf winner Good Reward, and her second dam was stakes-placed turfer Augusta Springs. She has good early speed, and may try to take these gate-to-wire stretching out after a pair of sprints. BAD ANNIE's second dam is a half to influential sire Fappiano as well as Group 1 turf winner Torrential. The winner of her last race came back to take her third straight in the Pepsi Bassinet Stakes at River Downs. Bad Annie has a strong late kick, and is worth a shot at 20-1 on the track's morning line. BAVARIAN BELLE destroyed next-out Hawthorne turf graduate Melissa's Dream at Arlington, and has valuable turf route experience. She has the tactical speed to sit a nice pace-tracking, ground-saving trip. KATERBUG nipped Kentucky Downs maiden winner Colton's Magic Cat in career debut, and is certainly bred to appreciate the added distance. SWINGIT came from well off the pace to decision Bavarian Belle prior to short layoff. This late-runner may need some race and pace luck.
The Bet: Deep Springs to Win (3-1 or more)
7 Furlongs (Polytrack)
Maiden Special Weight
1. Truman's Advice (Capote - Secret Advice, by Hansel)
Trainer: Daniel Smithwick Jr.
Foaled January 29, 2004...cost $140,000 as yearling...Sire won Grade 1 Breeders' Cup Juvenile and Grade 1 Norfolk at two, and is 49-372 (13%) with juvenile firsters...Dam cost $67,000 as a weanling, was a stakes-winner on dirt, and earned $67,970 (unraced at two)...Dam foaled two winners from two runners (one juvenile winner from one runner)...Dam is a half to Rahy's Secret, a turf stakes-winner that won his debut at two, and Lifting The Veil, a stakes-placed turf performer...Trainer is 2-20 (10%, $2.38 ROI) over the past five years with debuting juveniles...
2. Coordinator Tom (Storm Boot - Daloma, by Bellypha)
Trainer: Anthony Reinstedler
Foaled February 21, 2004...withdrawn from Keeneland November 2004 sale...sold for $40,000 as a yearling...Sire was stakes-placed sprinter, and was unraced at two...sire is 143-935 (15%) with all juveniles...Dam was a Grade 3 winner (3-12 on turf, 2-4 on dirt) that has foaled four winners from six runners (0-2 with juveniles)...dam a half to Moucha, a stakes-placed juvenile on turf in France...trainer is 5-42 (12%, $1.31 ROI) over the past five years with second-time juvenile runners.
3. Vengeance (Sea of Secrets - Flora Scent, by Fluorescent Light)
Trainer: Eric Reed
Foaled June 3, 2004...$4,000 RNA as a short yearling...$15,000 RNA as a yearling...1/2 sister to Grade 3-placed Won Scent, and stakes-winner Unforbesgettable...sire was a Grade 2 sprint winner, and was 2-2 as a juvenile...sire is 11-96 (11%) with juvenile firsters...dam went 0-25 (0-10 as a juvenile), and has foaled 10 winners from 14 runners (2-9 with juveniles)...dam a half to Grade 2-placed sprinter Pewter...trainer is 5-49 (10%, $1.63 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners.
4. Bowdrill (Silver Charm - Pebble Dash, by Mecke)
Trainer: Tanya Boulmetis
Foaled March 14, 2004...sire won Grade 1 Kentucky Derby, Preakness, Dubai World Cup, went 2-3 at 2...sire is 9-101 (9%) with juvenile firsters...dam went 1-7 for $21,135 (won on turf at two), and has foaled 0 winners from 1 runner (unraced at two)...dam is a half to stakes-winning sprinter Debbie's Bliss, Grade 3 sprinter Blissful State (won debut at two), and stakes-placed juvenile sprinter Blissful Trip...trainer is 1-5 (20%, $3.08 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile firsters.
5. Five Star Dawn (Five Star Day - Soft Dawn, by Grey Dawn II)
Trainer: Paul McGee
Foaled April 28, 2004...sold for $75,000 as short yearling...sold for $170,000 as yearling...1/2 to Private Despatch, stakes-placed on turf in France...1/2 to Innovate, multiple stakes-winner on turf...1/2 to Trickle Down, stakes-placed sprinter...sire won Grade 2 Alfred G. Vanderbilt sprinting on dirt (unraced at two)...sire is 23-97 (24%) with juvenile firsters...dam was a stakes-winner (28-2-3-4, $21,135, won on both turf and dirt), and has foaled 10 winners from 13 runners (1-7 with juveniles)...dam a half to multiple stakes-winner Grey Missile...September 26 work matches barn's 2yo filly Sassy (53 Beyer top)...trainer is 30-229 (13%, $1.72 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile runners.
6. Moneymoneymoney (Awesome Again - Currency Quest, by Cryptoclearance)
Trainer: Nicholas Zito
Foaled March 1, 2004...1/2 to Elloluv, multiple Grade 1 winner (2-3 at 2)...Sire won Grade 1 Breeders' Cup Classic, Whitney Handicap...(unraced at 2)...sire is 7-102 (7%) with juvenile firsters...dam sold for $50,000 as a juvenile, was stakes-winning sprinter at two, and has foaled 1 winner from 2 runners (1-1 with juveniles)...September 10 workout matches barn's juvenile filly Striking Tomisue (54 Beyer)...trainer is 20-185 (11%, $1.55 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile firsters.
7. Albert the Elder (Albert the Great - Elderberry, by Roy)
Trainer: R Glen Mathieson
Foaled February 8, 2004...sold for $7,500 as yearling...sire won Grade 1 Jockey Club Gold Cup (unraced at two)...sire is 4-47 (9%) with juvenile firsters...dam cost $120,000 as a yearling, went 2-12 for $91,120 (both wins routing, unraced at two), and has foaled 1 winner from 1 runner (failed to win at two)...dam a half to Fistfite, a Grade 3 winner sprinting at two...trainer is 0-2 over the past five years with juvenile firsters.
8. Morada Key (Carson City - Dhaka, by Icecapade)
Trainer: Robert Holthus
Foaled March 30, 2004...sold for $60,000 as a yearling...$120,000 RNA in 2006...1/2 to turf stakes-winner Deodar, and stakes-winner Bema...sire won Grade 2 Sapling, Fall Highweight (2-5 at 2)...sire is 290-1423 (20%) with juveniles...dam cost $55,000 as a juvenile, and was multiple stakes-winning sprinter (unraced at 2)...dam has foaled 6 winners from 8 runners (2-7 with juveniles)...dam a half to Grade 3 turf winner Siebe, and stakes-winning router Puzar...trainer is 63-388 (16%, $1.67 ROI) over the past five years with all juveniles.
9. What a Tale (Tale of the Cat - Mrs. Filio, by Eastern Echo)
Trainer: Patrick Biancone
Foaled January 31, 2004...sold for $575,000 as a yearling, and for $750,000 as a juvenile...sire won Grade 2 King's Bishop (unraced at two)...sire is 111-543 (20%) with juveniles...dam cost $36,000 as a yearling, went 3-21 for $39,432 (1-8 at 2), and has foaled 4 winners from 6 runners (1-6 with juveniles)...dam a half to multiple stakes-placed Saratoga Madame, and stakes-placed juvenile It's Chemistry...trainer is 14-43 (33%, $1.84 ROI) with second-time juveniles over the past five years.
10. Sunny Green (Tactical Cat - Mimi La Sardine, by Tank's Prospect)
Trainer: Joe Laugherty
Foaled April 22, 2004...$24,000 RNA as a weanling...sold for $7,500 as a yearling...$30,000 RNA as a juvenile...1/2 to Grade 2 sprinter Mindy Gayle...17-93 (18%) with juvenile firsters...dam sold for $55,000 as a yearling, was 1-11 for $5,087 (won sprinting, 0-4 at two), and has foaled 3 winners from 6 runners (1-5 with juveniles)...dam a half to stakes-placed Senate Hostess, stakes-placed Dempsey's Brand, and stakes-winner Marie Jacqueline...trainer is 1-3 (33%, $3.47 ROI) with juvenile firsters over the past five years.
11. Our Friend Rick (Dynaformer - Missuna, by Procida)
Trainer: David Carroll
Foaled May 14, 2004...sold for $100,000 as a yearling, and for $130,000 as a juvenile...1/2 to juvenile sprint stakes-winner Sum Trick, and juvenile sprint stakes-winner Disappearing Trick...sire won Grade 2 Jersey Derby and Discovery Handicap (1-5 at two)...sire is 31-294 (11%) with juvenile firsters...dam was unraced, and has foaled 6 winners from 11 runners (4-5 with juveniles, 1 debut winner)...dam a half to Grade 2 winner One Sum, Grade 1 winner Summing, Grade 3 winner Twosome, and multiple stakes-winner Some For All...September 18 work matches barn's two-year-old filly Lady Corredor (finished fifth in debut at Turfway on September 30 with 53 Beyer)...trainer is 6-39 (15%, $2.89 ROI) with juvenile firsters over the past five years.
12. Glamour Guy (E Dubai - Dancer's Glamour, by Danzig Connection)
Trainer: Ralph Nicks
Foaled March 1, 2004...sold for $70,000 as a yearling...1/2 to stakes-placed sprinter T. G.'s Girl...sire won Grade 2 Dwyer Stakes and Suburban Handicap...sire is 10-35 (29%) with juveniles...dam went 1-4 for $9,300 (won sprinting), and has foaled 4 winners from 7 runners...dam half to multiple turf stakes-winner Beau Jingles, and multiple stakes-placed Venturesome Beau...trainer is 4-17 (24%, $2.09 ROI) over the past five years with juveniles off 31-60 day layoffs.
GLAMOUR GUY finished second in the faster division of maiden special weights at Saratoga after showing good early speed. It's good to see Edgar Prado take the mount, and this colt has valuable experience at this distance. Shows a bullet work over the Polytrack at Turfway. WHAT A TALE looms the one to beat off big Beyer effort at the Spa. New York-bred cost a bundle earlier this year, but probably won't offer much value. MORADA KEY raced in spots when finishing ahead of three next-out winners at Arlington two back. He was simply overmatched in the Arlington-Washington Futurity last time out, and should appreciate dropping in class and distance. He'll be running late under McKee. FIVE STAR DAWN gets rider switch after checking in upper stretch at Turfway. May sit good stalking trip off solid pace.
The Bet: Glamour Guy to Win (2-1 odds or more)
1 1/16 Miles (Polytrack)
Darley Alcibiades Stakes (Grade 2)
GATORIZE makes the important two sprints to a route move after making a solid late rally at Turfway. She is a proven commodity over Polytrack, should get pace to attack, and her dam has thrown some stakes-class route performers. Trainer Helen Pitts won a couple of graded stakes last year with juvenile filly French Park. SHE'S INCLUDED shows a powerful six furlong workout over the all-weather surface at Hollywood, and she gave a nice account of herself when third to Point Ashley in the Del Mar Debutante last time out. She has strong stamina breeding on top. UNTOUCHED TALENT is another in-form California invader, and her pedigree is full of class. She nosed She's Included at Del Mar, and has the tactical speed to gain a good stalking position going into the first turn. APPEALING ZOPHIE rode a speed-favoring track to victory in the Grade 1 Spinaway at Saratoga, and she may attempt to shake loose again here. The extra distance is a question mark. HER MAJESTY made a good impression in her career debut, and shows some excellent recent workouts over Polytrack. She is obviously talented, but lacks experience.
The Bet: Win and Place on Gatorize (6-1 or more)