04/07/2008 11:00PM

Keeneland Babies for April 9

Email

Welcome to Keeneland Babies! I'll break down the numbers for every juvenile maiden contest for the meet. It won't be easy with limited form on display, but I'll shoot for a profit.

Friday's result: Go Flight ran a dismal last.

Race 2
4 1/2 Furlongs (Polytrack)
Maiden Special Weight
2-year-olds
Purse $50,000

1. Mine All Mine (Belong to Me - Pulcinella, by Unbridled)
Trainer: Wesley Ward
- Foaled May 18, 2006 in Kentucky
- $65,000 RNA weanling (Keeneland November)
- $50,000 RNA yearling (Keeneland September)
- sire was a multiple Grade 3 sprint winner (16-7-3-2, $261,166, 1-3 at two, won debut, all wins sprinting)
- sire is 32-267 (12%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire is 1-3 (33%, $3.07 ROI) with all debut runners in 2008
- dam was unraced
- dam has one runner, no winners, one juvenile runner
- dam a half-sister to stakes-placed turfer Soul of the Cat (5-1-0-1, $30,681, 0-1 at two, won sprinting)
- Unbridled is 3-19 (16%, $3.07 ROI) as the broodmare sire of all debut winners in 2008
- trainer is 30-109 (28%, $2.01 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 3-8 (38%, $2.30 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners at Keeneland
- trainer is 1-10 (10%, $1.70 ROI) with debut runners in 2008 (juvenile debut winner with Lasix)

1A. Dicey Riley (Hennessy - My Kai, by In Excess)
Trainer: Wesley Ward
- Foaled February 8, 2006 in California
- sire was a Grade 1 sprint winner at two (9-4-3-0, $580,400, all races at two, all wins sprinting)
- sire is 26-223 (12%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire was 4-56 (7%, $0.84 ROI) with all debut runners in 2007
- dam was a stakes-placed sprinter (5-1-2-2, $75,652, 1-2 at two, won debut, won sprinting)
- this is dam's first runner
- dam a half-sister to stakes-placed Amy's Harold (71-13-17-12, $183,320, unraced at two)
- dam a half-sister to multiple stakes-placed Alexis's David (54-13-10-11, $198,242, 1-5 at two)
- dam a half-sister to juvenile stakes-placed sprinter Shameless (4-1-1-1, $28,810, 1-4 at two, debut winner, all races sprinting)
- In Excess is 3-16 (19%, $1.50 ROI) as the broodmare sire of all debut winners in 2008 (broodmare sire of one juvenile debut winner)
- trainer is 30-109 (28%, $2.01 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 3-8 (38%, $2.30 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners at Keeneland
- trainer is 1-10 (10%, $1.70 ROI) with debut runners in 2008 (juvenile debut winner with Lasix)
- February 1 workout matches barn's juvenile filly Deb's Mojo (finished third in career debut at Santa Anita on March 28)
- February 23 workout matches barn's juvenile Bring the Money (finished third in career debut at Santa Anita on March 21)
- March 7 workout matches barn's juvenile Regardlesofoutcome (finished third in career debut at Santa Anita on April 4), and juvenile filly Little Yogi (finished first in career debut at Santa Anita on March 20)

2. Downrigger (Read the Footnotes - Exclusive Eskimo, by Ecliptical)
Trainer: Steven Asmussen
- Foaled February 8, 2006 in Florida
- first-crop sire was a multiple Grade 2 route winner (8-5-0-0, $450,600, 4-5 at two, won debut)
- this is sire's first starter
- dam was a multiple stakes-winner (38-5-8-6, $204,421, 2-11 at two, sold for $3,000 as a yearling)
- dam has three runners, two winners, three juvenile runners, one juvenile winner, one juvenile debut winner
-dam a full sister to stakes-placed juvenile T. Boy (60-5-10-8, $90,771, 2-11 at two)
- Ecliptical was 1-5 (20%, $0.64 ROI) with all debut runners in 2007 (juvenile debut winner)
- trainer is 122-605 (20%, $1.91 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 20-76 (26%, $2.62 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners at Keeneland
- trainer was 8-44 (18%, $1.13 ROI) with all debut runners in 2008 (one juvenile debut winner at meet for this owner with Lasix)
- February 17. March 25 workouts match barn's juvenile Yo Joe (finished fifth in career debut at Keeneland on April 4)
- March 16, March 25 workouts match barn's juvenile Merkel (finished first in career debut at Keeneland on April 4)
- March 25 workout matches Political Chief

3. Wild Jersey Boy (Forest Wildcat - Cherry Hill Gal, by Tactical Advantage)
Trainer: Ben Perkins Jr.
- Foaled January 26, 2006 in Kentucky
- out yearling (Fasig-Tipton August)
- $6,000 yearling (Fasig-Tipton October)
- withdrawn juvenile (Fasig-Tipton February)
- sire was a multiple Grade 3 sprint winner (20-9-2-1, $478,862, 2-5 at two, all wins sprinting)
- sire is 37-267 (14%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire is 3-11 (27%, $3.20 ROI) with all debut runners in 2008 (sired Opening Day Keeneland Baby debut winner)
- dam was unraced (sold for $40,000 as a yearling, and for $85,000 as a yearling)
- dam has one runner, one winner, no juvenile runners
- dam a half-sister to multiple Grade 1 sprint winner Delaware Township (21-11-4-1, $996,950, 3-4 at two, won debut, all wins sprinting)
- dam a half-sister to juvenile stakes-winning router Air Lord (11-3-2-2, $136,762, 2-5 at two, won debut)
- Tactical Advantage is 1-9 (11%, $0.80 ROI) as the broodmare sire of all debut runners in 2008
- trainer is 9-48 (19%, $1.40 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer was 1-16 (6%, $0.59 ROI) with all debut runners in 2007 (one juvenile debut winner with Lasix)

4. Laver (Grand Slam - Sacred Sue, by Holy Bull)
Trainer: Todd Pletcher
- Foaled February 7, 2006 in Kentucky
- $100,000 weanling (Keeneland November)
- $175,000 yearling (Fasig-Tipton July)
- half-brother to Grade 2-placed juvenile sprinter Miss Mary Apples (19-3-4-3, $171,172, 1-7 at two, won debut, all wins sprinting)
- sire was a multiple Grade 1 winner at two (15-4-5-2, $971,292, 3-5 at two, won debut)
- sire is 33-258 (13%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire was 2-23 (9%, $0.92 ROI) with all debut runners in 2008
- dam was unraced
- dam has two runners, two winners, two juvenile runners, one juvenile winner, one juvenile debut winner
- dam a half-sister to juvenile stakes-winner Maddie's Charm (12-2-0-1, $58,975, 2-5 at two)
- Holy Bull was 6-61 (10%, $1.19 ROI) in 2007 as the broodmare sire of all debut runners (three juvenile debut winners)
- trainer is 98-444 (22%, $1.59 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 11-38 (29%, $1.99 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners (all starters at Keeneland)
- trainer is 5-29 (17%, $1.66 ROI) with all debut runners in 2008 (four winners with John Velazquez on, all with Lasix, one for this owner)

5. Causin' Havoc (Medaglia d'Oro - Degenerate Gal, by Degenerate Jon)
Trainer: Eric Reed
- Foaled February 12, 2006 in Kentucky
- $25,000 RNA yearling (Keeneland September)
- out juvenile (Keeneland April)
- half-brother to juvenile stakes-winner Blacktie Bid (16-2-0-1, $58,937, 2-4 at two, debut winner)
- half-brother to Grade 3 sprint winner Positive Gal (9-6-0-0, $231,841, 0-1 at two, all wins sprinting)
- first-crop sire was a multiple Grade 1 route winner (17-8-7-0, $5,754,720, 0-1 at two)
- this is sire's first starter
- dam was a Grade 2 route winner (60-22-11-6, $936,393, unraced at two)
- dam has nine runners, six winners, seven juvenile runners, two juvenile winners, one juvenile debut winner
- trainer is 14-85 (16%, $2.05 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 3-24 (13%, $2.87 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners at Keeneland
- trainer is 2-9 (22%, $2.40 ROI) with all debut runners in 2008 (both with Lasix)

6. Troy G. (Cape Canaveral - Caveat Apt, by Chief's Crown)
Trainer: Kenneth McPeek
- Foaled March 1, 2006 in Florida
- withdrawn weanling (OBS October)
- $210,000 yearling (OBS August)***sale-topper
- half-brother to Grade 3 juvenile winner Crowned Dancer (36-9-3-8, $353,104, 2-4 at two)
- sire was a Grade 3 sprint winner (4-3-0-1, $128,640, 1-1 at two, all races sprinting)
- sire is 23-92 (25%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire is 2-9 (22%, $4.00 ROI) with all debut runners in 2008
- dam was a winner (27-3-6-5, $63,814, 0-2 at two)
- dam has four runners, two winners, two juvenile runners, one juvenile winner
- second dam is stakes-winner Princess Caveat (by Caveat, 21-5-4-1, $208,709, 0-1 at two)
- Chief's Crown was 3-56 (5%, $0.85 ROI) as the broodmare sire of all debut winners in 2007 (one juvenile debut winner)
- trainer is 12-145 (8%, $1.70 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 3-30 (10%, $1.73 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners at Keeneland
- trainer is 1-7 (14%, $2.86 ROI) with all debut runners in 2008 (one older maiden at this meet with Lasix and Kent Desormeaux)

7. Political Chief (Indian Charlie - Regicidal, by Vice Regent)
Trainer: Steven Asmussen
- Foaled April 18, 2006 in Kentucky
- $42,000 weanling (Keeneland November)
- $45,000 yearling (Keeneland September)
- sire was a Grade 1 route winner (5-4-0-1, $616,120, 1-1 at two)
- sire is 22-143 (15%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire is 6-23 (26%, $3.37 ROI) with all debut runners in 2008
- dam was a sprint winner (4-1-0-0, $4,620, unraced at two, all races in sprints, sold for $3,500 and for $3,700 as a yearling)
- dam has seven runners, three winners, two juvenile runners, one juvenile winner
- dam a half-sister to Grade 3 turf winner Visable Gold (24-8-3-3, $353,075, unraced at two)
- dam a half-sister to Grade 2-placed router Secret Negotiator (35-2-3-1, $109,935, 1-6 at two)
- Vice Regent was 4-51 (8%, $0.92 ROI) as the broodmare sire of all debut runners in 2007 (one juvenile debut winner)
- trainer is 122-605 (20%, $1.91 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 20-76 (26%, $2.62 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners at Keeneland
- trainer was 8-44 (18%, $1.13 ROI) with all debut runners in 2008 (one juvenile debut winner at meet, four winners with Shaun Bridgmohan)
- February 17, March 2, March 9 workouts match barn's juvenile Merkel (finished first in career debut at Keeneland on April 4)
- February 24, March 16 workouts match barn's juvenile Yo Joe (finished fifth in career debut at Keeneland on April 4)
April 1 workout matches Downrigger

8. Whoseposseisthis (Posse - Done Hollywood, by Gone West)
Trainer: Niall O'Callaghan
- Foaled April 25, 2006 in Kentucky
- $3,500 yearling (Fasig-Tipton October)
- sire was a Grade 2 sprint winner (18-7-2-2, $662,841, 2-7 at two, won debut, all wins sprinting)
- sire is 4-42 (10%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire is 2-7 (29%, $2.11 ROI) with all debut runners in 2008
- dam was unraced
- dam has four runners, three winners, one juvenile runners, no juvenile winners
- dam a half-sister to multiple stakes-winner Nepenthe (21-4-2-5, $249,056, unraced at two)
- Gone West is 3-17 (18%, $2.07 ROI) as the broodmare sire of all debut runners in 2008
- trainer is 0-50 over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 0-8 over the past five years with juvenile debut runners at Keeneland
- trainer was 1-29 (3%, $0.37 ROI) in 2007 with all debut runners (older maiden for this owner)

Analysis:
POLITICAL CHIEF attracts Steve Asmussen's go-to rider, Shaun Bridgmohan, and shows a steady string of workouts for his career debut. His sire, Indian Charlie, is very strong with first-time starters.
DICEY RILEY shows several quick workouts in California, and trainer Wesley Ward is a master at getting his young horses ready to fire first-out.
According to the Keeneland Clockers, DOWNRIGGER worked "in company with Merkel and Yo Joe, these three were unseparable and in restraint" on March 25. Merkel won the Opening Day baby race for Asmussen.
TROY G. shows a five furlong workout in preparation for his debut, and the son of high-percentage debut sire Cape Canaveral topped the OBS sale last August. MINE ALL MINE is a filly facing the boys, but she "went quickly from the gate" on March 22 according to the Keeneland Clockers. Don't underestimate her chances. WHOSEPOSSEISTHIS is by a sire that was very quick in his day, but the connections aren't known for first-out success. CAUSIN' HAVOC impressed the Keeneland Clockers on April 1 with a "quick move, a bit better than Seeking Reason and Midnight Break." LAVER boasts top connections, and he worked "in company with Silent Valor, these two were head and head with Laver slightly better in a good effort" according to the Keeneland Clockers on April 3. WILD JERSEY BOY showed a "good workout time," but "tired the last eighth" according to the Keeneland Clocker report for April 5.

Selections:
1. Political Chief
2. Dicey Riley
3. Downrigger

The play: Political Chief to win at 5-2 odds or more

Meet statistics based on starts, wins, in the money finishes, and profit/loss based on day's wager = 1-0-0 (-$4)