04/28/2008 11:00PM

Keeneland Babies for April 24

Email

Welcome to Keeneland Babies! I'll break down the numbers for every juvenile maiden contest for the meet. It won't be easy with limited form on display, but I'll shoot for a profit.

Saturday’s result: Miss Hen finished eighth

Race 3
4 1/2 Furlongs (Polytrack)
Maiden Special Weight
2-year-olds
Purse $50,000

1. Medaglia d'Onore (Medaglia d'Oro – Always Ready, by Dixieland Band)
Trainer: Jamie Sanders
- Foaled April 25, 2006 in Kentucky
- $40,000 yearling(Keeneland September 2007)
- out juvenile (Keeneland April 2008)
- first-crop sire was a multiple Grade 1 route winner (17-8-7-0, $5,754,720, 0-1 at two, 1-2 in sprints)
- sire is 0-1 with juvenile debut runners
- dam was a route winner (6-1-2-2, $29,294, unraced at two, 0-2 in sprints, cost $550,000 as a yearling)
- this is dam's first runner
- dam a half-sister to Grade 1 sprint winner More Than Ready (17-7-4-1, $1,026,229, 5-7 at two, won debut, 7-9 in sprints)
- Dixieland Band is 5-38 (13%, $1.65 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2008
- trainer is 1-53 (2%, $0.95 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 1-15 (7%, $3.35 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners at Keeneland

2. Regardlesofoutcome (Bring the Heat – Bridget Says, by Patton)
Trainer: Wesley Ward
- Foaled March 31, 2006 in California
- sire was a stakes-placed sprinter (7-3-1-1, $121,260, unraced at two, 2-5 in sprints)
- sire is 8-31 (26%) with juvenile runners
- dam was a winner (24-5-3-2, $100,095, 1-6 at two)
- this is dam's first runner
- Patton was 1-6 (17%, $10.20 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2007
- trainer is 1-9 (11%, $0.80 ROI) over the past five years with second-time juveniles adding blinkers

3. Mr Mistoffelees (Storm Cat – Country Romance, by Saint Ballado)
Trainer: Todd Pletcher
- Foaled February 10, 2006 in Kentucky
- $300,000 yearling (Keeneland September 2007)
- $1,500,000 juvenile (Fasig-Tipton February 2008) (***third-highest price)
- sire was a Grade 1 route winner at two (8-4-3-0, $570,610, 3-6 at two, 3-4 in sprints)
- sire is 71-359 (20%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire is 1-7 (14%, $0.83 ROI) with all debut runners in 2008 (three-year-old at this meet)
- dam was a stakes-winning sprinter (10-4-2-1, $157,230, unraced at two, 4-9 in sprints)
- dam has one runner, no winners, one juvenile runner
- dam a half-sister to Grade 2 sprint winner Katz Me If You Can (24-6-4-7, $410,947, 2-4 at two, won debut, all wins sprinting)
- Saint Ballado is 1-15 (7%, $1.17 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2008
- trainer is 98-446 (22%, $1.60 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 11-40 (28%, $2.04 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners at Keeneland
- trainer is 9-38 (24%, $2.23 ROI) with all debut runners in 2008 (four debut winners at this meet, two juvenile debut winners at this meet, eight ridden by John Velazquez, all with Lasix)

4. Out of the Van (Van Nistelrooy – Festina, by Festin)
Trainer: Greg Begley
- Foaled April 21, 2006 in Kentucky
- sire was a Group 2 winner on turf in Ireland (6-3-1-1, $229,980, all races at two, debut winner, 3-4 in sprints, all wins on grass)
- sire is 5-50 (10%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire is 1-16 (6%, $1.33 ROI) with all debut runners in 2008
- dam was placed routing (5-0-0-1, $3,170, unraced at two)
- dam has three runners, two winners, two juvenile runners, no juvenile winners
- second dam is multiple stakes-winner Delta Mary (by Delta Oil, 11-6-2-1, $92,714)
- trainer is 1-2 (50%, $11.60 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- this is trainer's first juvenile debut runner at Keeneland

5. Tripp to Hedo (Trippi – Load Up, by Dove Hunt)
Trainer: Ronny Werner
- Foaled March 22, 2006 in Florida
- $10,500 weanling (OBS Fall 2006)
- out yearling (Keeneland September 2007)
- $150,000 RNA (Fasig-Tipton February 2008)
- full brother to Grade 3-placed router St. Joe (8-2-1-1, $82,321, 1-4 at two, 2-4 in sprints)
- sire was a Grade 1 sprint winner (14-7-1-2, $666,220, unraced at two, 6-11 in sprints)
- sire is 20-112 (18%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire is 4-19 (21%, $3.04 ROI) with all debut runners in 2008
- dam was unraced
- dam has two runners, two winners, two juvenile runners, two juvenile winners, one juvenile debut winner
- dam a half-sister to Grade 3 winner Mocha Express (34-16-9-1, $960,966, unraced at two)
- dam a half-sister to multiple stakes-winner Raving Rocket (30-15-4-1, $202,366, 2-4 at two, won debut)
- Dove Hunt is 1-2 (50%, $12.90 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2008
- trainer is 21-130 (16%, $1.76 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 5-20 (25%, $1.94 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners at Keeneland
- trainer is 1-7 (14%, $1.14 ROI) with debut runners in 2008 (juvenile debut winner at this meet with Lasix)
- March 24 workout matches barn's juvenile Run Away and Hide (finished first in career debut on April 18)

6. Summer's Empire (Empire Maker – Summer Mis, by Summer Squall)
Trainer: Anthony Mitchell
- Foaled January 23, 2006 in Illinois
- second-crop sire was a multiple Grade 1 route winner (8-4-3-1, $1,985,800, 1-2 at two, won debut, all races in routes)
- sire was 1-21 (5%, $0.22) with juvenile debut runners in 2007
- dam was a Grade 3 winner (23-11-1-3, $542,662, 1-4 at two)
- this is dam's first runner
- dam a half-sister to multiple stakes-winner Julie's Prize (26-7-5-5, $441,191, 1-7 at two)
- Summer Squall is 4-13 (31%, $4.11 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2008 (one juvenile debut winner)
-trainer is 3-23 (13%, $2.29 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 0-2 over the past five years with juvenile debut runners at Keeneland
- trainer was 1-6 (17%, $4.57 ROI) with all debut runners in 2007 (no Lasix on winner)

7. Sadler's Cat (Horse Chestnut – Reverence, by West by West)
Trainer: Kenneth McPeek
- Foaled February 23, 2006 in Kentucky
- $37,000 yearling (Keeneland September 2007)
- sire was a multiple Group 1 winner in South Africa (10-9-0-1, $474,036, 2-3 at two, won debut, 3-4 in sprints)
- sire is 10-78 (13%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire was 3-35 (9%, $1.20 ROI) with all debut runners in 2007 (two juvenile debut winners)
- dam was placed on grass (18-0-1-3, $21,784, 0-2 at two)
- this is dam’s first runner
- dam a half-sister to turf stakes-winner Field Cat (22-5-4-3, $309,833, 2-7 at two, all wins on grass)
- dam a half-sister to stakes-placed turfer Storm Dancer (23-2-3-3, $61,961, unraced at two)
- dam a half-sister to stakes-winner Estevan (36-6-4-4, $300,681, 2-5 at two)
- West by West is 1-6 (17%, $4.77 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2008
- trainer is 12-145 (8%, $1.70 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 3-30 (10%, $1.73 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners at Keeneland
- trainer is 1-11 (9%, $1.82 ROI) with debut runners in 2008 (older debut winner at this meet with Lasix)
- April 12 workout matches barn's juvenile Shofar (finished sixth in career debut on April 18)
- April 12 workout matches barn's three-year-old Artax Returns (finished first in $10,000 ‘n3x’ claimer at Charles Town on April 16 with 67 Beyer)

8. Wallstreetgold (Touch Gold – Playforme, by Gone West)
Trainer: Eric Reed
- Foaled March 31, 2006 in Kentucky
- $25,000 short yearling (Keeneland January 2007)
- $9,500 yearling (Keeneland September 2007)
- sire was a multiple Grade 1 route winner (15-6-3-1, $1,679,907, 1-4 at two, won debut, 2-3 in sprints)
- sire is 21-194 (11%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire was 7-69 (10%, $1.95 ROI) with all debut runners in 2007 (four juvenile debut winners, one at Keeneland)
- Touch Gold – Gone West 'nick' has produced Grade 3 route winner Region of Merit (31-7-7-1, $392,701, 1-2 at two, 2-4 in sprints)
- dam was unplaced (2-0-0-0, $406, 0-1 at two, both races in sprints, sold for $48,000 as a yearling, and $50,000 as a juvenile)
- dam has one runner, one winner, no juvenile runners
- dam a half-sister to turf stakes-winner Make My Heart Sing (15-3-2-1, $81,677, unraced at two, all wins on grass)
- Gone West is 4-21 (19%, $2.19 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2008 (one at this meet)
- trainer is 13-83 (16%, $1.66 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 2-22 (9%, $1.45 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners at Keeneland
- trainer is 3-13 (23%, $1.86 ROI) with all debut runners in 2008 (all with Lasix, one for this owner)

9. Chapel Run (Chapel Royal – Lost Judgement, by Judge Smells)
Trainer: Stephanie Preston
- Foaled February 9, 2006 in Florida
- $60,000 yearling (OBS Select 2007)
- first-crop sire was a Grade 2 sprint winner at two (8-3-2-1, $495,571, 3-6 at two, won debut, 3-6 in sprints)
- sire is 1-4 (25%, $1.70 ROI) with juvenile debut runners in 2008 (one at this meet)
- dam was a stakes-winner (42-10-8-5, $265,939, 1-4 at two, cost $4,000 as a yearling
- dam has one runner, no winners, one juvenile runner
- Judge Smells is 1-5 (20%, $1.40 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2008
- trainer is 0-2 over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 0-1 over the past five years with juvenile debut runners at Keeneland
- April 6, April 12 workouts match barn's juvenile Cape Royale (finished fith in career debut on April 18)

10. Sure Start (Jump Start – Sure Enough, by Java Gold)
Trainer: Anthony Mitchell
- Foaled April 6, 2006 in Kentucky
- $22,000 weanling (Keeneland November 2006)
- $18,000 RNA yearling (Fasig-Tipton October 2007)
- half-brother to stakes-winner Always Sure (18-6-6-2, $308,845, unraced at two)
- half-brother to multiple stakes-placed Iron Rogue (45-9-8-6, $305,813, 1-4 at two, won debut, all wins sprinting)
- sire was a Grade 2 sprint winner at two (5-2-1-0, $221,265, all races at two, won debut, 2-3 in sprints)
- sire is 10-94 (11%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire is 2-13 (15%, $0.98 ROI) with all debut runners in 2008
- dam was a sprint winner (18-3-4-6, $86,622, 2-4 at two, won debut, all wins sprinting)
- dam has eight runners, six winners, six juvenile runners, two juvenile winners, one juvenile debut winner
- dam a half-sister to stakes-placed Aurora Winners (15-3-0-4, $56,343, 2-4 at two)
- dam a half-sister to stakes-placed Smart Enough (39-6-7-6, $171,841, 2-6 at two)
- Java Gold is 3-6 (50%, $6.83 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2008
- trainer is 3-23 (13%, $2.29 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 0-2 over the past five years with juvenile debut runners at Keeneland
- trainer was 1-6 (17%, $4.57 ROI) with all debut runners in 2007 (no Lasix on winner)
- March 7, March 14 workouts match Summer's Empire

11. Fradiablo (Candy Ride – Kalemaat, by Unfuwain)
Trainer: Darrin Miller
- Foaled March 27, 2006 in Kentucky
- $115,000 yearling (Keeneland September 2007)
- half-brother to stakes-winning sprinter All for Fashion (7-3-1-0, $93,594, 1-1 at two, all wins sprinting)
- first-crop sire was a multiple Grade/Group 1 winner in Argentina and United States (6-6-0-0, $749,149, unraced at two, 1-1 in sprints)
- sire is 0-1 with juvenile debut runners
- dam was placed on turf in England (3-0-1-0, $2,382, unraced at two, all races routing on grass)
- dam has two runners, one winner, one juvenile runner, one juvenile winner, one juvenile debut winner
- dam a half-sister to British Group 2 turf route winner Gabr
- dam a half-sister to British turf stakes-winner Kutta
-trainer is 1-36 (3%, $0.38 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 0-3 over the past five years with juvenile debut runners at Keeneland
- trainer was 1-17 (6%, $0.80 ROI) with all debut runners in 2007 (juvenile debut winner for this barn without Lasix)
- April 6 workout matches barn's juvenile filly Corlett (finished sixth in career debut on April 19)
- April 19 workout matches barn's three-year-old Luvandgo (81 Beyer top)

12. Meetmeatthechapel (Chapel Royal – Run Kate Run, by Cherokee Run)
Trainer: Steven Asmussen
- Foaled February 17, 2006 in Kentucky
- $50,000 weanling (Keeneland November 2006)
- first-crop sire was a Grade 2 sprint winner at two (8-3-2-1, $495,571, 3-6 at two, won debut, 3-6 in sprints)
- sire is 1-4 (25%, $1.70 ROI) with juvenile debut runners in 2008 (one at this meet)
- dam was unraced (cost $160,000 as a yearling)
- this is dam's first runner
- Cherokee Run was 1-28 (4%, $0.28 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2007
- trainer is 121-611 (20%, $1.89 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 20-80 (25%, $2.49 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners at Keeneland
- trainer is 9-59 (15%, $1.08 ROI) with debut runners in 2008 (one juvenile debut winner at this meet, four with Bridgmohan aboard, all with Lasix, two for this owner)
- February 24, March 16 workouts match barn's juvenile Yo Joe (finished fifth in career debut on April 4)
- February 24, March 16 workouts match barn's juvenile Political Chief (finished fourth in career debut on April 9)
- March 2 workout matches barn's juvenile filly Miss Hen (finished eighth in career debut on April 19)
- March 2 workout matches barn's juvenile filly Fanci Candi (finished second in career debut at Woodbine on April 20)
- March 2 workout matches barn's juvenile filly Along Came the Cat (finished eighth in career debut on April 10)
- March 9 workout matches barn's juvenile Downrigger (finished sixth in career debut on April 9)
-March 9 workout matches barn's juvenile Come On Flyer (finished second in career debut at Lone Star on April 19 with 58 Beyer Speed Figure)
- March 16 workout matches barn's juvenile Broadway Al (finished third in career debut on April 18)

Analysis:
TRIPP TO HEDO, a full sibling to synthetic-loving St. Joe, was bought back for $150,000 in February after working an eighth of a mile in 10.20. The Keeneland Clocker Report for April 9 noted that Ronny Werner's juvenile colt, Run Away and Hide, was "the better of Tripp to Hedo" that morning, and Run Away and Hide came back to score first-out the other day. Werner excels with debut runners, and the sire, Trippi, also has a high strike rate with newcomers.
REGARDLESOFOUTCOME raced a bit greenly in a two-furlong dash at Santa Anita, a race that prohibited whips and blinkers. Trainer Wesley Ward puts the blinkers on for this assignment, and his colt should show good early speed.
FRADIABLO is from the first crop of the undefeated Candy Ride, and he sold for six figures as a yearling. He may appreciate a bit more ground down the road.
MR. MISTOFFELEES sold for seven figures earlier this year after breezing an eighth in 10.20. He has a top-class pedigree, and goes out for the always-dangerous debut duo of Todd Pletcher and John Velazquez. The Keeneland Clocker Report for April 12 noted that Mr. Mistoffelees worked in company with an unraced Pletcher juvenile, Baton Rouge, with "Baton Rouge holding a slight edge." The April 19 Report noted that Mr. Mistoffelees "looked sharp, about ready with his debut, in company with Pride." Pride is an unraced runner. SADLER'S CAT "continues to improve," according to the Clocker Report on April 18. He was "much better than unnamed stablemate out of Tejanos Love." MEETMEATTHECHAPEL finished with a "sharp last furlong" according to the Clocker Report for April 22, but the Asmussen babies have disappointed this meet. MEDAGLIA D'ONORE is out of a half-sister to the fleet More Than Ready, but must hustle from the inside post. SUMMER'S EMPIRE is by Empire Maker, a sire of late-developing performers. OUT OF THE VAN shows some gaps in his work tab. WALLSTREETGOLD "broke sharply, and was pulling up at the eighth pole," according to the Clocker Report from April 8. CHAPEL RUN is by Chapel Royal, a first-crop sire that was represented by his initial winner over this course last week. SURE START may need a race.

Selections:
1. Tripp to Hedo
2. Regardlesofoutcome
3. Fradiablo

The play: Tripp to Hedo to win and place at 5-1 odds or more.

Meet statistics based on starts, wins, in the money finishes, and profit/loss

based on day's wager - 6-0-2 (-$16)