04/17/2008 11:00PM

Keeneland Babies for April 19

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Welcome to Keeneland Babies! I'll break down the numbers for every juvenile maiden contest for the meet. It won't be easy with limited form on display, but I'll shoot for a profit.

Friday's result: Silent Valor finished second

Race 3
4 1/2 Furlongs (Polytrack)
Maiden Special Weight
2-year-old fillies
Purse $50,000

1. Trail of Silver (Silver Ghost - Trail of Tears, by Cherokee Colony)
Trainer: John Hancock
- Foaled May 5, 2006 in Kentucky
- $6,700 short yearling (Fasig-Tipton Winter 2007)
- withdrawn yearling (Keeneland September 2007)
- sire was a sprint winner (6-3-1-1, $42,400, unraced at two, 3-4 in sprints)
- sire is 43-299 (14%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire was 1-19 (5%, $0.78 ROI) with all debut runners in 2007
- dam was a winner (29-6-4-7, $27,612, unraced at two)
- this is dam's first runner
- second dam (by Kennedy Road) a placed half-sister to Grade 3 juvenile winner Individual Style (22-8-2-3, $327,467, 5-7 at two, won debut)
- Cherokee Colony was 2-26 (8%, $0.61 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2007 (one juvenile debut winner)
-trainer is 1-20 (5%, $0.48 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 0-2 over the past five years with juvenile debut runners at Keeneland
- trainer was 1-12 (8%, $0.80 ROI) with all debut runners in 2007 (juvenile debut winner with Lasix and front bandages)

2. Miss Hen (Hennessy - Must Approve, by Lasting Approval)
Trainer: Steven Asmussen
- Foaled March 21, 2006 in Kentucky
- $47,000 short yearling (Keeneland January 2007)
- sire was a Grade 1 sprint winner at two (9-4-3-0, $580,400, all races at two, 4-6 in sprints)
- sire is 27-224 (12%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire is 1-11 (9%, $0.67 ROI) with all debut runners in 2008 (juvenile debut winner at this meet)
- dam was a turf winner (11-2-0-2, $29,035, 0-1 at two, both wins on grass)
- this is dam's first runner
- dam a half-sister to Grade 3 router Must Be War (30-5-1-3, $130,686, unraced at two)
- dam a half-sister to stakes-placed Must Sing (16-4-0-3, $110,113, 1-2 at two)
- dam a half-sister to mutliple stakes-winner Warleigh (28-10-6-2, $645,201, unraced at two)
- trainer is 122-610 (20%, $1.90 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 20-81 (25%, $2.52 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners at Keeneland (one winner this meet)
- trainer is 9-53 (17%, $1.25. ROI) with all debut runners in 2008 (one juvenile debut winner at this meet, all with Lasix, two for this owner)
- February 17 workout matches barn's juvenile filly Mostly Peace (finished seventh in career debut on April 16)
- February 24 workout matches barn's juvenile filly Corbina (finished fourth, placed third in career debut on April 10)
- March 2, March 16 workouts match barn's juvenile filly Along Came the Cat (finished eighth in career debut on April 10)
- March 16 workout matches barn's juvenile Downrigger (finished sixth in debut on April 9)
- March 16 workout matches barn's juvenile Merkel (finished first in career debut on April 4)
- April 3 workout matches barn's juvenile Broadway Al (finished third in debut on April 18)

3. One Hot Toddy (Congaree - Crimson and Roses, by El Prado)
Trainer: Dale Romans
- Foaled January 4, 2006 in Florida
- first-crop sire was a multiple Grade 1 winner (25-12-2-4, $3,267,490, 0-1 at two)
- this is sire's first starter
- dam was Grade 3-placed routing (22-3-7-1, $211,980, 1-7 at two)
- this is dam's first runner
- El Prado was 6-42 (14%, $1.40 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2007 (four juvenile debut winners)
- trainer is 28-195 (14%, $1.58 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 4-22 (18%, $2.15 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners at Keeneland
- trainer is 1-11 (9%, $0.80 ROI) with all debut runners in 2008 (Lasix on)
- April 9 workout matches barn's juvenile filly Awesome Happy Hour (finished fifth in debut on April 16)

4. Corlett (Outofthebox - Hold Your Hush, by Alwuhush)
Trainer: Darrin Miller
- Foaled March 5, 2006 in Florida
- $7,500 weanling (OBS Fall 2006)
- $50,000 yearling (Keeneland September 2006)
- half-sister to stakes-placed turfer Decisive Blow (24-1-4-3, $80,290, 0-11 at two, won on grass)
- sire was a Grade 1 route winner (16-5-4-3, $734,008, 2-5 at two, won debut, all races routing)
- sire is 8-71 (11%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire was 10-58 (17%, $2.70 ROI) with all debut runners in 2007 (seven juvenile debut winners)
- dam was unplaced (2-0-0-0, $3,330, 0-1 at two, all races in sprints)
- dam has one runner, one winner, one juvenile runner, no juvenile winners
- second dam is stakes-winner The Branks (by Hold Your Peace, 28-4-8-1, $96,036, 2-8 at two)
- Alwuhush was 3-23 (13%, $2.91 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2007
- trainer is 1-35 (3%, $0.39 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 0-2 over the past five years with juvenile debut runners at Keeneland
- trainer was 1-17 (6%, $0.80 ROI) with all debut runners in 2007 (juvenile debut winner for this owner)

5. Old Time Religion (Buddha - Dakini, by Nureyev)
Trainer: Wesley Ward
- Foaled January 26, 2006 in Kentucky
- $22,000 yearling (Fasig-Tipton October 2007)
- sire was a Grade 1 route winner (4-3-0-0, $489,600, 0-1 at two, 1-2 in sprints)
- sire is 6-80 (8%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire is 1-22 (5%, $0.71) ROI with all debut runners in 2008
- dam was placed sprinting (5-0-0-1, $5,110, unraced at two)
- dam has one runner, no winners, no juvenile runners
- second dam (by Mr. Prospector) is an unplaced three-quarter sister to Grade 2 router Dotsero (29-5-6-2, $319,018, 2-4 at two)
- second dam a half-sister to Grade 3-placed router Rich Man's Gold (7-2-2-1, $58,990, unraced at two)
- Nureyev was 6-36 (17%, $1.97 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2007 (four juvenile debut winners)
- trainer is 32-112 (29%, $2.11 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 5-11 (45%, $3.32 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners at Keeneland (two debut winners this meet)
- trainer is 3-14 (21%, $2.45 ROI) with all debut runners in 2008 (all juvenile debut winners with Lasix, one with blinkers, two at this meet, one with Castanon aboard)

6. A Day for Dancing (Dance Master - More d'Amour, by Tour d'Or)
Trainer: Steve Asmussen
- Foaled January 28, 2006 in Florida
- full sister to multiple stakes-winner Master of Disaster (20-6-2-2, $257,468, 2-5 at two, won debut, 5-15 in sprints)
- sire was a Grade 2 sprint winner at two (19-4-2-1, $196,455, 2-9 at two, all wins in sprints)
- sire is 10-40 (25%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire was 2-11 (18%, $2.35 ROI) with all debut runners in 2007 (both juvenile debut winners)
- dam was multiple stakes-placed (46-11-8-5, $211,256, 1-4 at two)
- dam has one runner, one winner, one juvenile runner, one juvenile winner, one juvenile debut winner
- dam a full sister to multiple stakes-winner Janluray (24-10-8-0, $255,825, 1-1 at two, 3-9 in sprints)
- Tour d'Or is 1-6 (17%, $0.90 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2008
- trainer is 122-610 (20%, $1.90 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 20-81 (25%, $2.52 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners at Keeneland (one winner this meet)
- trainer is 9-51 (17%, $1.25. ROI) with all debut runners in 2008 (one juvenile debut winner at this meet, all with Lasix, four with Shaun Bridgmohan aboard)

7. Royal Card (Chapel Royal - Showmethegreencard, by De Niro)
Trainer: Todd Pletcher
- Foaled April 2, 2006 in Florida
- $27,000 RNA yearling (OBS Select 2007)
- $175,000 juvenile (OBS Select 2008)
- half-sister to juvenile route stakes-winner Mrs. Began (5-1-0-2, $184,801, all races at two)
- first-crop sire was a Grade 2 sprint winner at two (8-3-2-1, $495,571, 3-6 at two, won debut, all wins sprinting)
- sire is 0-2 with juvenile debut runners in 2008
- dam was a sprint winner (16-2-4-3, $56,200, 1-3 at two, 2-11 in sprints, sold for $9,500 as a juvenile)
- dam has two runners, one winner, two juvenile runners, one juvenile winner
- dam a full sister to De Bertie (24-9-3-5, $485,920, unraced at two)
-dam a half-sister to multiple stakes-placed The Looper (29-6-5-5, $235,588, unraced at two)
- trainer is 97-446 (22%, $1.59 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 10-40 (25%, $1.92 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners at Keeneland (one this meet with Velazquez on)
- trainer is 7-35 (20%, $1.98 ROI) with all debut runners in 2008 (all with Lasix, six with Velazquez, one juvenile at this meet)

8. D J's Dreamer (Champali - Viola D., by Turkoman)
Trainer: Jamie Sanders
-Foaled March 23, 2006 in Kentucky
- $14,000 RNA weanling (Keeneland November 2006)
- $25,000 yearling (Keeneland September 2007)
- out juvenile (Keeneland April 2008)
- three-quarter sister to stakes-placed Glitter Mean (38-5-9-6, $122,546, unraced at two)
- first-crop sire was a multiple Grade 3 winner (22-11-2-4, $1,073,794, 3-4 at two, won debut)
- this is sire's first starter
- dam was a stakes-winner (34-5-7-5, $88,260, 1-8 at two)
- dam has eight runners, five winners, five juvenile runners, one juvenile winner, one juvenile debut winner
- Turkoman was 3-39 (8%, $1.09 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2007 (all juvenile debut winners)
- trainer is 1-52 (2%, $0.97 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 1-14 (7%, $3.59 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners at Keeneland

9. Matty Mae (Matty G - Ecstasy Lady, by Blare of Trumpets)
Trainer: Francine Faraci-Walder
- Foaled April 7, 2006 in Kentucky
- $10,000 yearling (Keeneland September 2007)
- $22,000 RNA juvenile (Fasig-Tipton Texas 2008)
- sire was a Grade 1 juvenile route winner (19-4-1-2, $443,275, 2-6 at two)
- sire is 8-140 (6%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire was 2-53 (4%, $0.83 ROI) with all debut runners in 2007
- dam was unraced
- dam has one runner, one winner, one juvenile runner, one juvenile winner, one juvenile debut winner
- dam a half-sister to stakes-placed sprinter Lady's Legacy (23-1-1-2, $22,367, 1-5 at two, won debut)
- dam a full sister to stakes-placed Symphonic Lady (44-4-9-6, $184,206, 0-6 at two)
- trainer is 0-1 over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 0-1 over the past five years with juvenile debut runners at Keeneland

10. Whistlin'along (Mineshaft - Warren's Whistle, by Wolf Power)
Trainer: Bernard Flint
- Foaled January 5, 2006 in Kentucky
- $150,000 yearling (Keeneland September 2006)
- sire was a multiple Grade 1 winner (18-10-3-1, $2,283,402, unraced at two, all races in routes)
- sire was 1-21 (5%, $0.25) with juvenile debut runners from his first crop of 2007
- dam was a multiple stakes-winner (44-7-3-10, $608,308, 2-8 at two, cost $27,000 as a yearling)
- dam has one runner, one winner, one juvenile runner, no juvenile winners
- second dam (by Pirateer) was a winning half-sister to Grade 3 route winner Minutes Away (32-18-4-5, $290,195, 3-6 at two, won debut)
- Wolf Power is 2-6 (33%, $4.23 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2008
- trainer is 15-94 (16%, $2.67 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 0-11 over the past five years with juvenile debut runners at Keeneland
- trainer was 6-34 (18%, $2.04 ROI) with all debut runners in 2007 (four juvenile debut winners, all with Lasix, one with blinkers, one for this owner)

Analysis:
Steve Asmussen has been cold at Keeneland since Merkel's debut win on Opening Day, but his MISS HEN has a turf pedigree, and that may play well on Polytrack. She should offer value as Asmussen's main rider, Shaun Bridgmohan, opts for A DAY WITH DANCING.
ONE HOT TODDY is the first runner by the talented Congaree, and Dale Romans is overdue for a meet winner.
OLD TIME RELIGION "was under good control," according to the Keeneland Clocker Report for March 26, and trainer Wesley ward certainly knows how to get one ready to fire first-out.
ROYAL CARD worked "in company with Pride from the gate, and was a bit better at the wire," according to the Keeneland Clocker report for April 12. Pride is an unraced baby. These connections are always dangerous with debuters. A Day for Dancing is certainly bred to be quick. CORLETT attracts Garrett Gomez for her debut. D J'S DREAMER may need a race. MATTY MAE and WHISTLIN'ALONG need to hustle from their outside posts. TRAIL OF SILVER may do better at longer distances.

Selections:
1. Miss Hen
2. One Hot Toddy
3. Old Time Religion

Meet statistics based on starts, wins, in the money finishes, and profit/loss

based on day's wager - 5-0-1 (-$16)