04/16/2008 11:00PM

Keeneland Babies for April 18

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Welcome to Keeneland Babies! I'll break down the numbers for every juvenile maiden contest for the meet. It won't be easy with limited form on display, but I'll shoot for a profit.

Wednesday's result: Iberian Gate finished second

Race 5
4 1/2 Furlongs
Maiden Special Weight
2-year-olds
Purse $50,000

1. Cape Royale (Chapel Royal - So True, by Lord At War)
Trainer: Stephanie Preston
- Foaled April 11, 2006 in Kentucky
- $20,000 weanling (Keeneland November 2006)
- $50,000 yearling (OBS August 2007)
- first-crop sire was a Grade 2 sprint winner at two (8-3-2-1, $495,571, 3-6 at two, won debut, all wins sprinting)
- sire is 0-1 with juvenile debut runners in 2008
- dam was multiple stakes-placed (36-10-8-5, $303,260, unraced at two)
- dam has seven runners, three winners, five juvenile runners, no juvenile winners
- second dam (by So Bold) was Group 3-placed in Argentina
- Lord At War is 1-14 (7%, $0.76 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2008
- trainer is 0-1 over the past five years with juvenile debut runners

2. Mount Hope (The Cliff's Edge - Radiant Megan, by Commadore C.)
Trainer: Larry Lay
- Foaled May 18, 2006 in Kentucky
- $30,000 weanling (Keeneland November 2006)
- $19,000 yearling (Keeneland September 2007)
- first-crop sire was a Grade 1 route winner (13-4-5-2, $1,265,258, 3-5 at two, won debut, 1-1 in sprints)
- sire is 0-1 with juvenile debut runners in 2008
- dam was a Grade 3 route winner (34-7-4-6, $252,850, unraced at two, all wins routing)
- dam has four runners, four winners, three juvenile runners, two juvenile winners
- trainer is 1-23 (4%, $0.19 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 0-3 with juvenile debut runners at Keeneland

3. Gift Coupon (Catienus - Painted Pink, by Conquistador Cielo)
Trainer: Wesley Ward
- Foaled February 4, 2006 in Kentucky
- withdrawn yearling (Keeneland September)
- sire was a stakes-winning router (22-5-5-2, $370,386, 2-4 on turf at two in England, 0-2 in sprints)
- sire is 11-135 (8%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire was 5-46 (11%, $2.37 ROI) with all debut runners in 2007 (one juvenile debut winner)
- dam was placed sprinting at two (3-0-0-1, $6,560, all races at two)
- dam has three runners, two winners, three juvenile runners, two juvenile winners
- dam a half-sister to Peruvian Group 1-placed Missing Clue
- dam a half-sister to stakes-placed sprinter Foundry Light (13-2-1-2, $15,482, 0-1 at two, both wins in sprints)
- Conquistador Cielo is 1-16 (6%, $1.23 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2008
- trainer is 32-111 (29%, $2.11 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 5-10 (50%, $3.32 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners at Keeneland (two debut winners this meet)
- trainer is 3-13 (23%, $2.45 ROI) with all debut runners in 2008 (all juvenile debut winners with Lasix, one with blinkers, two at this meet, one with Castanon aboard)

4. Dancensing (Songandaprayer - Dance Lead, by Nureyev)
Trainer: Francine Faraci-Walder
- Foaled May 3, 2006 in Louisiana
- $2,700 yearling (Louisiana October 2007)
- $27,000 RNA juvenile (Fasig-Tipton Texas April 2008)
- sire was a Grade 1 route winner (8-3-1-1, $380,480, 2-2 at two, 2-3 in sprints)
- sire is 12-82 (15%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire was 5-46 (11%, $0.85 ROI) with all debut runners in 2007 (four juvenile debut winners, one over Keeneland's Polytrack)
- dam was unplaced (4-0-0-0, $520, 0-2 at two, sold for $150,000 as a yearling)
- dam has one runner, no winners, one juvenile runner
- Nureyev was 6-36 (17%, $1.97 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2007 (four juvenile debut winners)
- this is trainer's first juvenile debut runner over the past fast five years

5. Shofar (Tale of the Cat - Valkyries' Ride, by Dixieland Band)
Trainer: Kenneth McPeek
- Foaled April 20, 2006 in Kentucky
- $40,000 yearling (Keeneland September 2007)
- sire was a Grade 2 sprint winner (9-5-1-2, $360,900, unraced at two)
- sire is 46-249 (18%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire is 4-20 (20%, $6.56 ROI) with all debut runners in 2008
- dam was unplaced (2-0-0-0, $320, unraced at two, all races sprinting)
- this is dam's first runner
- dam a half-sister to multiple juvenile stakes-winner Grand Deed (11-3-3-3, $234,215, 3-7 at two)
- Dixieland Band is 5-31 (16%, $2.03 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut winners in 2008
- trainer is 12-144 (8%, $1.71 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 3-29 (10%, $1.79 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners at Keeneland
- trainer is 1-8 (12%, $2.50 ROI) in 2008 with all debut runners (a four-year-old at this meet with Lasix)
- March 21 workout matches barn's three-year-old Stoney's Ladd (finished third in $40,000 maiden claimer at Keeneland on April 16 with 68 Beyer)
- April 12 workout matches barn's three-year-old Artax Returns (finished first in $10,000 'n3x' claimer at Charles Town on April 16)

6. Regal Eagle (Langfuhr - Strikes No Spares, by Smart Strike)
Trainer: Akiko Gothard
- Foaled January 24, 2006 in Kentucky
- $210,000 yearling (Keeneland September 2007)
- sire was a multiple Grade 1 winner (23-9-7-1, $698,574, unraced at two)
- sire is 23-251 (9%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire is 3-16 (19%, $3.34 ROI) with all debut runners in 2008
- dam was a stakes-winner (15-3-3-4, $121,129, 1-2 at two, won debut, sold for $80,000 as a yearling)
- this is dam's first runner
- second dam (by Seattle Slew) is an unraced half-sister to Grade 2 winner Cinnamon Sugar (22-6-7-2, $412,596, 1-2 at two, 1-3 in sprints)
- Smart Strike is 1-4 (25%, $4.05 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2008
- trainer is 0-10 over the last five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 0-1 over the last five years with juvenile debut runners at Keeneland
- April 2 workout matches barn's four-year-old Nakayama Arashi (74 Beyer top)

7. Tiger Rules (Peace Rules - Danzig Tiger, by Danzig Connection)
Trainer: Steven Asmussen
- Foaled April 5, 2006 in Florida
- $9,000 RNA weanling (OBS October 2006)
- $40,000 yearling (OBS August 2007)
- half-brother to stakes-placed turfer Tyger River (33-8-2-5, $87,363, unraced at two)
- first-crop sire was a multiple Grade 1 route winner (19-9-2-2, $3,084,278, 3-6 at two)
- sire is 0-1 with juvenile debut runners in 2008
- dam was a sprint winner (23-2-4-3, $42,613, unraced at two, both wins in sprints, cost $17,000 as a yearling)
- dam has six runners, three winners, three juvenile runners, one juvenile winner
- dam a half-sister to multiple stakes-winner Once a Sailor (29-9-4-1, $276,367, 0-1 at two)
- dam a half-sister to Grade 3 route winner Chilito (17-4-1-2, $210,029, 2-4 at two)
- dam a half-sister to stakes-placed Embraceable (5-2-2-0, $64,925, unraced at two, 2-3 in sprints)
- dam a half-sister to stakes-winning router Emery Board (12-4-3-2, $158,292, unraced at two, all wins in routes)
- Danzig Connection was 3-43 (7%, $1.37 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2007 (all juvenile debut winners)
- trainer is 122-608 (20%, $1.90 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 20-79 (25%, $2.52 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners at Keeneland (one winner this meet)
- trainer is 9-51 (18%, $1.25. ROI) with all debut runners in 2008 (one juvenile debut winner at this meet, all with Lasix)
- February 17 workout matches barn's juvenile Yo Joe (finished fifth in debut here on April 4)
- February 17, March 2 workouts match barn's juvenile Downrigger (finished sixth in debut on April 9)
- March 25 workout matches barn's juvenile Political Chief (finished fourth in debut here on April 9)

8. Bold vindication (Vindication - Bolsa, by Mr. Prospector)
Trainer: Stanley Hough
- Foaled May 8, 2006 in Kentucky
- $120,000 yearling (OBS August 2007)
- sire was a Grade 1 route winner at two (4-4-0-0, $680,950, all races at two, 2-2 in sprints)
- sire is 9-49 (18%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire is 1-8 (12%, $1.52 ROI) with all debut runners in 2008
- dam was placed routing at two (10-0-1-0, $7,970, 0-5 at two)
- dam has three runners, one winner, one juvenile runner, one juvenile winner
- dam a three-quarter sister to Grade 1 sprint winner Serape (17-5-3-3, $229,337, 1-2 at two, won debut, all wins sprinting)
- Mr. Prospector is 1-10 (10%, $1.16 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2008
- trainer is 13-66 (20%, $1.51 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 1-1 (100%, $8.20 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners at Keeneland
- trainer is 1-5 (20%, $2.40 ROI) with all debut runners in 2008 (Lasix on for this owner)

9. Broadway Al (Alke - West Broadway, by West Acre)
Trainer: Steven Asmussen
- Foaled April 10, 2006 in Florida
- withdrawn weanling (OBS October 2006)
- withdrawn yearling (OBS August 2007)
- $120,000 juvenile (OBS February 2008)
- first-crop sire was a Grade 3 sprint winner (10-5-4-0, $619,385, 1-3 at two, 5-6 in sprints)
- this is sire's first starter
- dam was unraced
- this is dam's first runner
- dam a half-sister to stakes-placed Mz. Mazuma (31-4-3-9, $93,532, 0-9 at two)
- trainer is 122-608 (20%, $1.90 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 20-79 (25%, $2.52 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners at Keeneland (one winner this meet)
- trainer is 9-51 (18%, $1.25. ROI) with all debut runners in 2008 (one juvenile debut winner at this meet, all with Lasix, four with Bridgmohan aboard
- March 16 workout matches barn's juvenile Yo Joe (finished fifth in debut here on April 4)
- March 16 workout matches barn's juvenile Political Chief (finished fourth in debut here on April 9)

10. Silent Valor (Lion Heart - Few Choice Words, by Valid Appeal)
Trainer: Todd Pletcher
- Foaled April 29, 2006 in Kentucky
- $320,000 yearling Keeneland September 2007)
- half-brother to juvenile stakes-winning sprinter Miss Jeanne Cat (5-2-0-0, $52,754, 2-3 at two, won debut, all wins sprinting)
- half-brother to Grade 3-placed router Well Said (10-3-2-2, $128,060, 0-4 at two, all wins in routes)
- first-crop sire was a multiple Grade 1 route winner (10-5-3-0, $1,390,800, 3-3 at two, 2-2 in sprints)
- this is sire's first starter
- dam was a winner (6-3-1-0, $76,408, unraced at two, sold for $75,000 as a yearling)
- dam has four runners, four winners, three juvenile runners, one juvenile winner
- dam a full sister to multiple Grade 2 winner Nannerl (38-10-7-10, $553,465, 1-2 at two, won debut)
- Valid Appeal was 5-88 (6%, $1.27 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2007
- trainer is 97-445 (22%, $1.59 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 10-39 (26%, $1.92 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners at Keeneland (one this meet with Velazquez on)
- trainer is 7-34 (21%, $1.98 ROI) with all debut runners in 2008 (all with Lasix, six with Velazquez, one juvenile at this meet)
-April 3 workout matches barn's juvenile Laver (finished second in career debut here on April 9)
- April 11 workout matches barn's juvenile filly Iberian Gate (finished second in career debut here on April 16)

11. Screen Your Friend (Friends Lake - Screen Prospect, by Rare Performer)
Trainer: Bernard Flint
- Foaled March 25, 2006 in Kentucky
- $35,000 RNA yearling (Fasig-Tipton July 2007)
- out yearling (Keeneland September 2007)
- half-brother to multiple stakes-placed Screen Attraction (30-6-7-7, $115,595, unraced at two)
- first-crop sire was a Grade 1 route winner (7-3-0-1, $696,400, 2-3 at two, 1-2 in sprints)
- this is sire's first starter
- dam was a multiple Grade 3 winner (22-12-5-4, $575,747, 2-3 at two, won debut, sold for $20,000 as a yearling)
- dam has six runners, six winners, four juvenile runners, two juvenile winners
- dam a half-sister to multiple stakes-placed Classic Quickie (86-16-14-17, $150,109, 5-9 at two, won debut)
- Rare Performer was 4-24 (17%, $3.49 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2007
- trainer is 15-93 (16%, $2.67 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 0-10 over the past five years with juvenile debut runners at Keeneland
- trainer was 6-33 (18%, $2.04 ROI) with all debut runners in 2007 (four juvenile debut winners, all with Lasix, one with blinkers, one for this owner)

12. Run Away and Hide (City Zip - Jilted, by Runaway Groom)
Trainer: Ronny Werner
- Foaled March 4, 2006 in Kentucky
- $22,000 RNA yearling (Keeneland September 2007)
- sire was a Grade 1 sprint winner at two (23-9-5-4, $818,225, 5-11 at two, all wins sprinting)
- sire is 15-95 (16%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire was 8-57 (14%, $2.53) with all debut runners in 2007 (six juvenile debut winners)
- dam was a route winner (4-1-1-0, $23,475, unraced at two, 0-2 in sprints)
- this is dam's first runner
- second dam (by Stalwart) is a placed half-sister to Grade 1 juvenile route winner Firery Ensign (12-3-1-0, $350,453, 3-6 at two, 2-6 in sprints)
- Runaway Groom is 3-24 (12%, $4.92 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2008
- trainer is 20-131 (15%, $1.68 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 4-20 (20%, $1.54 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners at Keeneland
- trainer was 6-41 (15%, $1.93 ROI) with all debut runners in 2007 (five juvenile debut winners, one at Keeneland with Albarado aboard, all with Lasix)

Analysis:
SILENT VALOR sold for $320,000 as a yearling, is bred both sides for speed, and goes out for the always-dangerous debut duo of Todd Pletcher and John Velazquez. The Keeneland Clocker Report for April 3 noted that Silent Valor worked "in company with Laver, these two were head and head with Laver slightly better in a good effort." Laver ran a solid second in his career debut here on April 9.
BOLD VINDICATION goes out for underrated first-out connections, and he lit up the Keeneland Clocker Report for April 12. That morning, Bold Vindication gave a "strong effort, dusted an unnamed stablemate (dam is Trust Your Heart) by five lengths." Don't be surprised if this colt is fast from the gate.
REGAL EAGLE has already worked five furlongs, and he sold for $210,000 last year. He should offer value in this competitive race, but trainer Akiko Gothard is only 1 for her last 29 with debut runners.
DANCENSING is by a good-first out sire, but only sold for $2,700 as a yearling. He failed to meet his reserve last month after working a furlong in 10.60. GIFT COUPON goes out for red-hot barn, and he caught the eye of the clockers on March 26. According to that day's workout report, he worked "in company with Wild Jersey Boy, these two had a brisk gate effort." Wild Jersey Boy finished fifth for trainer Ben Perkins Jr. in his career debut on April 9. SHOFAR is by a good debut sire, and attracts Edgar Prado. Steve Asmussen sends out the uncoupled entry of TIGER RULES and BROADWAY AL. You have to respect this barn, but the works look so-so. RUN AWAY AND HIDE may be an intriguing sleeper. According to the Keeneland Clocker Report for April 2, he "impressed onlookers with the sharp effort from the gate." A week later, it noted that "he continues to improve, was the better of Tripp to Hedo." Tripp to Hedo is unraced. He seems to have some ability, but must break from the far outside post. SCREEN YOUR FRIEND has solid connections, but may want a bit more ground. CAPE ROYALE and MOUNT HOPE both may need the experience.

Selections:
1. Silent Valor
2. Bold Vindication
3. Regal Eagle

The play: Silent Valor to win at 5-2 odds or more

Meet statistics based on starts, wins, in the money finishes, and profit/loss

based on day's wager - 4-0-1 (-$14)