04/24/2007 11:00PM

Keeneland Babies for 4/26

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Welcome to Keeneland Babies! I'll break down the numbers for every juvenile maiden contest for the meet, and hopefully will end up with a tidy profit.

Thursday, April 26, 2007
Race 1
4 1/2 Furlongs (Polytrack)
Maiden Special Weight
2-year-olds
Purse $50,000

1. Live Action (Unbridled Time – Coogee Coo, by Delineator)
Trainer: Ronny Werner
Foaled April 8, 2005 in Florida…$70,000 weanling (OBS October 2005), withdrawn short yearling (OBS January 2006), withdrawn yearling (Fasig-Tipton July 2006), $67,000 RNA yearling (Fasig-Tipton October 2006), $45,000 juvenile (OBS March 2007), withdrawn juvenile (Keeneland April 2007)…sire was a multiple stakes-winner (24-5-2-2, $341,889, 2-7 at two, won debut, 2-7 in dirt sprints)…sire is 1-25 (4%) with juvenile firsters (has 1 older debut winner in 2007)…dam was placed (9-0-2-3, $11,740, 0-4 at two, all races sprinting, dam cost $25,000 as a yearling)…dam has 2 foals of racing age, 1 runner, 1 winner, 0 juvenile runners…dam a half-sister to multiple stakes-winner North Easton Miss (49-8-7-6, $119,999, 3-10 at two, 7-34 in dirt sprints), multiple stakes-winner Burt’s Dream (34-11-6-3, $322,437, 2-6 at two, won debut, 5-23 in dirt sprints), multiple stakes-winner Quiet Enjoyment (23-4-8-7, $200,921, 2-7 at two, 3-19 sprinting), and stakes-placed Fancy Stockings (19-1-1-9, $77,300, 0-1 at two, 1-8 in dirt sprints)…trainer is 17-127 (13%, $1.29 ROI) over the last five years with juvenile firsters (has 1 baby winner at this meet with Lasix and Albarado up)…trainer is 4-11 (36%, $2.80 ROI) over the past five years with firsters in 4.5 furlong baby races at Keeneland.

2. Artax Returns (Artax – Lesley’s Beauty, by Chief’s Crown)
Trainer: Kenneth McPeek
Foaled February 16, 2005 in Kentucky…$22,000 weanling (Keeneland November 2005), $95,000 yearling (Fasig-Tipton July 2006)…sire was a multiple Grade 1 sprint winner (25-7-9-3, $1,685,840, 1-3 at two, 4-15 in dirt sprints)…sire is 6-92 (7%) with juvenile firsters (has 2 older debut winners this year)…broodmare sire the dam sire of 1 debut winner in 2007…dam went 0-1 in France (raced in turf route at two)…dam has 3 foals of racing age, 2 runners, 1 winner, 1 juvenile runner, 0 juvenile winners…second dam was stakes-placed (22-1-3-2, $59,375, 0-2 at two, 0-3 in dirt sprints)…trainer is 15-167 (9%, $1.57 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile firsters (has 1 older debut winner on turf this year with Lasix)…trainer is 1-13 ( 8%, $0.46 ROI) with firsters in 4.5 furlong baby races at Keeneland.

3. G Areyoukidding (Matty G – Are You Kidding, by Demaloot Demashoot)
Trainer: David Pate
Foaled March 24, 2005 in Kentucky…$2,200 weanling (Keeneland November 2005)…1/2 to multiple stakes-winner Whatsitgonnatake (12-4-0-2, $104,429)…sire a Grade 1 winner at two (19-4-1-2, $443,275, 2-6 at 2, 3 of 4 wins either routing, or on turf)…sire 45-376 (12%) with juveniles…dam was unraced…dam has 4 foals of racing age, 3 runners, 2 winners, 3 juvenile runners, 1 juvenile winner)…dam a half to Grade 3 winner Beautiful Bets (47-7-10-9, $399,710)…trainer is 4-39 (10%, $0.46 ROI) over the past five years with juveniles making their second lifetime start (0-1 with second-time juveniles in 4.5 furlong baby races at Keeneland).

4. He Packs a Punch (Two Punch - Ogygianna, by Ogygian)
Trainer: Robert Cunningham
Foaled March 8, 2005 in Pennsylvania...$27,000 short yearling (Keeneland January 2006), $15,000 yearling (Fasig-Tipton October 2006), $85,000 RNA juvenile (Keeneland April 2007)...sire a sprint stakes-winner (8-4-0-1, $89,795, 1-3 at two, won debut, all races sprinting)...sire 39-338 (12%) with juvenile firsters (has 1 older debut winner in 2007)...dam was unplaced (1-0-0-0, $0)...dam has 7 foals of racing age, 3 runners, 2 winners, 2 juvenile runners, 2 juvenile winners...dam a half-sister to juvenile stakes-winner Medford (15-3-2-2, $138,370, 2-5 at two, won debut, all wins sprinting)...trainer is 0-1 over the past five years with juvenile firsters.

5. Bright Pick (Crafty Prospector – Sunshine Again, by Dixieland Band)
Trainer: Larry Lay
Foaled February 17, 2005 in Kentucky…$40,000 yearling (OBS August 2006)…sire was Grade 1-placed (10-7-2-1, $116,955, 2-3 at two, won debut, 6-8 in dirt sprints)…sire is 67-430 (15%) with juvenile firsters…broodmare sire the dam sire of 4 debut winners in 2007…dam was placed (11-0-3-0, $26,229, 0-3 in dirt sprints)…dam has 4 foals of racing age, 3 runners, 1 winner, 2 juvenile runners, 0 juvenile winners…dam a half-sister to multiple stakes-winner Don’t Read My Lips (28-5-4-4, $231,322, 0-4 in dirt sprints)…trainer is 1-20 (5%, $0.22 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile firsters (0-1 with firsters in 4.5 furlong baby races at Keeneland).

6. Executive Chief (Chief Seattle – Trickle Down, by Phone Trick)
Trainer: Phillip Sims
Foaled January 26, 2005 in Kentucky…$20,000 short yearling (Keeneland January 2006), $25,000 RNA yearling (Keeneland September 2006)…sire a multiple Grade 1-placed juvenile router (4-1-2-0, $327,000, all races at two, won debut, 1-1 in dirt sprints)…sire 10-70 (14%) with juvenile firsters (has 2 older debut winners in 2007)…broodmare sire the dam sire of 1 debut winner in 2007…dam was stakes-placed sprinting (36-4-9-6, $156,140, 3-27 in dirt sprints)… dam has 2 foals of racing age, 1 runner, 0 winners… dam a half-sister to multiple stakes-placed Private Despatch (in Belgium), and multiple turf stakes-winner Innovate (19-5-1-4, $226,597, 0-2 at two, 0-2 in dirt sprints, all wins on grass)… trainer is 3-33 (9%, $1.92 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile firsters (has 1 older debut winner this year with Lasix, front wraps, and Quinonez up)…trainer is 0-1 over the past five years with firsters in 4.5 furlong baby races at Keeneland.

7. Deputy Dance (Posse – Graycious Dancer, by Robyn Dancer)
Trainer: Steven Asmussen
Foaled February 15, 2005 in Florida…sire a Grade 2 sprint winner (18-7-2-2, $662,841, 2-7 at two, won debut, 7-17 in dirt sprints)…sire is 0-5 with juvenile firsters…broodmare sire the dam sire of 1 debut winner in 2007…dam was a stakes-winner (29-4-4-8, $116,443, 1-8 at two, 1-18 in dirt sprints)…dam has 2 foals of racing age, 1 runner, 1 winner, 1 juvenile runner, 0 juvenile winners…second dam a half-sister to multiple stakes-winner Duck Foot (38-6-3-6, $108,357), juvenile stakes-winner Baby Duck (33-4-6-5, $142,296), Group 3-placed Laughing Matter (on turf in France), and multiple sprint stakes-winner Gracious Duck (73-19-12-8, $220,435, 19-69 in dirt sprints)…trainer is 111-553 (20%, $2.16 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile firsters (has 7 debut winners this year, 4 juveniles, 3 Keeneland babies, 2 with Gomez aboard, all with Lasix, 4 debut winners this year for this ownership)…trainer is 12-44 (27%, $2.18 ROI) over the past five years with firsters in 4.5 furlong baby races at Keeneland…February 25, March 11, March 27 workouts match barn’s juvenile filly Sky Mom (finished second in debut on April 7)…February 25, April 17 workouts match barn’s juvenile Possetothemax (finished third in debut on April 20)…February 25 work matches barn’s juvenile Lantana Mob (finished second in debut on April 12)…March 3 workout matches barn’s juvenile Hargill (finished fourth in debut on April 6), and juvenile Lambada (finished fourth in April 14 debut at Lone Star with 66 Beyer)…March 18 workout matches barn’s juvenile filly Valid Lilly (won debut at Lone Star on April 20 with 63 Beyer)…March 27 workout matches barn’s 4-year-old Pimm’s O’Clock (82 Beyer top).

8. Nownownow (Whywhywhy – Here and Now, by Exit to Nowhere)
Trainer: Patrick Biancone
Foaled April 20, 2005 in Kentucky…out (Keeneland November 2005), out (Keeneland April 2007)…1/2 to French turf stakes-winner Marche de Paix…sire a Grade 1 winner at two (9-3-1-1, $315,015, 3-5 at two)…sire is 0-2 with juveniles…dam a turf route winner in France (12-1-0-0)…dam has 7 foals of racing age, 6 runners, 1 winner, 3 juvenile runners, 1 juvenile winner…second dam was stakes-placed on turf (18-4-1-1, $41,767. 3 turf wins)…trainer is 16-51 (31%, $1.76 ROI) over the past five years with juveniles making their second lifetime start (0-1 with second-time juveniles in 4.5 furlong baby races at Keeneland)…April 21 workout matches barn’s 4-year-old filly Miss Norman (85 Beyer top).

9. Witness Protection (Stravinsky - Unbridled Dancer, by Unbridled's Song)
Trainer: Eric Reed
Foaled April 26, 2005 in Kentucky...$10,000 yearling (Keeneland September 2006)...sire a multiple Group 1 sprint winner in England (8-3-1-1, $361,450, 1-3 at two, all wins sprinting on grass, 0-1 on dirt)...sire 25-208 (13%) with juveniles...dam was a winner (5-1-0-0, $3,375, won sprinting on turf in Australia)...this is dam's first foal...dam a half-sister to Australian stakes-winner Pleasant Air...trainer is 13-33 (39%, $4.23 ROI) over the past five years with juveniles making second lifetime start (1-2, 50%, $3.70 ROI with second-time juveniles in 4.5 furlong baby races at Keeneland).

10. El Intochable (Max’s Pal – The Queen’s Sloop, by Fight Over)
Trainer: George Weaver
Foaled March 25, 2005 in Florida…sire a multiple stakes-winning sprinter (26-12-1-2, $728,896, 2-4 at two, won debut, 12-24 sprinting)…sire is 1-17 (6%) with juvenile firsters…dam was a winner (16-2-2-3, $13,288, 2-12 in dirt sprints)…dam has 6 foals of racing age, 4 runners, 4 winners, 3 juvenile runners, 0 juvenile winners…second dam a half-sister to multiple stakes-winner Skookum (35-8-4-3, $86,760), Grade 3 winner Jeffo (21-3-8-2, $45,300), multiple stakes-winner Hoist the Silver (27-7-3-5, $147,631), and multiple stakes-winner Editor’s Choice (20-4-3-2, $44,800)…trainer is 6-78 (8%, $1.17 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile firsters (0-1 with firsters in 4.5 furlong baby races at Keeneland).

11. Twenty Eight Hours (Sky Mesa – Game Trick, by Clever Trick)
Trainer: Stanley Hough
Foaled March 9, 2005 in Kentucky…$150,000 yearling (Fasig-Tipton August), out yearling (Keeneland September 2006), out juvenile (Keeneland April 2007)…sire was a Grade 1 sprint winner at two (6-3-1-1, $633,076, 3-3 at two, 2-2 in dirt sprints)…this is sire’s first starter…broodmare sire the dam sire of 1 debut winner in 2007…dam was unraced…dam has 4 foals of racing age, 3 runners, 2 winners, 1 juvenile runner, 1 juvenile winner…dam a half to multiple juvenile stakes-winner Sweet Briar Too (9-4-0-0, $194,913, all races at two, 1-5 in dirt sprints, dam of multiple Grade 1 winner Langfuhr, etc.)…dam a full sister to stakes-winner Dakota’s Trick (89-20-16-6, $181,761, 0-3 at two, 16-75 in dirt sprints)…trainer is 14-82 (17%, $1.32 ROI) over the last five years with juvenile firsters.

12. U. S. Cavalry (Officer – Humorous Wind, by Distorted Humor)
Trainer: Ian Wilkes
Foaled March 23, 2005 in Kentucky…$10,000 short yearling (Keeneland January 2006), $50,000 yearling (Keeneland September 2006)…sire was a Grade 1 route winner (9-6-1-1, $804,090, 5-8 at two, won debut, 5-5 in dirt sprints)…sire is 9-41 (22%) with juvenile firsters…dam was unraced…this is dam’s first foal…second dam a multiple stakes-winner on turf (32-11-4-4, $291,707, 0-2 at two, 1-3 in dirt sprints)… trainer is 0-9 over the last five years with juvenile firsters.

Selections:
1. Deputy Dance
2. Witness Protection
3. Nownownow

Analysis:
Steven Asmussen has already sent out three Keeneland baby winners at the meet, and DEPUTY DANCE looks well-prepped for his debut. A son of the very quick Posse out of a stakes-winning mare, Deputy Dance is bred for speed, and it’s nice to see Garrett Gomez take the mount.
WITNESS PROTECTION took a good deal of money for his career debut, and he ran quite well considering it didn’t look like he knew what he was doing. He made a bold wide move on the turn, but was late to change leads, and was lugging in during the stretch drive. Once straightened out, he made another good charge at the winner late. Once he figures the game out, he may turn out to be a solid performer, and trainer Eric Reed is tremendous with second-time juveniles. NOWNOWNOW also finished well in his debut despite racing greenly. He shows a solid maintenance workout for this, and should be running late for the powerhouse trainer/jockey combination of Patrick Biancone and Julien Leparoux. G AREYOUKIDDING received a tremendous education when finishing just behind Nownownow in his debut. He made a move along the rail entering the turn, and rallied well despite switching back to his wrong lead in late stretch. U. S. CAVALRY is bred for speed on both sides of the pedigree, but draws way outside, and the barn doesn’t sent out too many debut winners.
LIVE ACTION caught the eye of the Keeneland clocker on April 18 as he finished “in front of Deadly Dreamer, and is improving.” Deadly Dreamer is an unraced older filly. Live Action sold for nine times the sire’s stud fee after working 1 furlong in 10.20 at Ocala in March. Expect speed from the rail.

The play: Deputy Dance to win at 7-2 odds or more.

Meet stats (starts, wins, top picks in the money, profit/loss based on day's wager with odds limit): 8-3-4 (+$9.20)