04/12/2007 12:00AM

Keeneland Babies for 4/13

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Welcome to Keeneland Babies! I'll break down the numbers for every juvenile maiden contest for the meet, and hopefully will end up with a tidy profit.

Friday, April 13, 2007
Race 3
4 1/2 Furlongs (Polytrack)
Maiden Special Weight
2-year-old fillies
Purse $50,000

1. Sunshine Lover (Benchmark – Charm Alone, by Bertrando)
Trainer: Wesley Ward
Foaled February 2, 2005 in California...$3,000 short yearling (Barretts January 2006)...sire a multiple Grade 2 winner (16-7-2-4, $636,707, 6 route wins)...sire is 15-94 (16%) with juvenile firsters...broodmare sire the damsire of 1 debut winner this year...sire-broodmare sire 'nick' produced Grade 1 winner Silent Sighs (6-4-1-0, $442,700, 2-3 at two, won debut, 3 sprint wins), and multiple Grade 2 winner Proposed (15-7-2-2, $567,600, 0-2 at two)...dam a winner (6-2-0-0, $59,996, all races sprinting)...dam has 2 foals of racing age, 1 runner, 1 winner...second dam a half-sister to Grade 1 winner Shea's Beauty (52-25-7-8, $1,171,628)...trainer is 28-105 (27%, $2.05 ROI) over the past five years (6 debut winners this year, 5 juveniles) with juvenile firsters (2-5, 40%, $1.95 ROI in 4.5 furlong races at Keeneland)...March 10 and March 20 works match up with barn's juvenile filly Nea Nea Denae (finished sixth in debut here on April 7)...March 20 and March 31 work match barn's juvenile filly Yogi'ssplashofgold (won her debut over males on first day of the meet).

1a. Billie Bob (Bring the Heat - Purgatory, by Devil's Bag)
Trainer: Wesley Ward
Foaled February 3, 2005 in California..sire a stakes-placed sprinter (7-3-1-1, $121,260)...sire 2-5 (40%) with juvenile firsters (both wins for this trainer this year, one at this meet)...broodmare sire the damsire of 1 debut winner this year...dam was a stakes-placed sprinter (11-3-1-1, $94,600, 1-3 at two, all wins sprinting, sold for $11,000 as a yearling)...dam has 2 foals of racing age, 1 runner, 1 winner, 1 juvenile runner, 0 juvenile winners...second dam a half-sister to stakes-winning sprinter Tour (28-5-5-8, $254,939, 1-2 at two, all wins sprinting), multiple stakes-winning sprinter Flight Forty Nine (14-5-1-0, $126,768, 2-4 at two, won debut, all wins sprinting), and juvenile stakes-placed Got the Goods (41-5-7-5, $150,731, 1-7 at two)...dam a full sister to multiple stakes-winning sprinter Pink Shoes (7-4-1-1, $121,877, 3-4 at two, won debut, all wins sprinting)...trainer is 28-105 (27%, $2.05 ROI) over the past five years (6 debut winners this year, 5 juveniles) with juvenile firsters (2-5, 40%, $1.95 ROI in 4.5 furlong races at Keeneland)...March 21 workout matches up with barn’s juvenile filly One Hot Wish, an open-lengths debut winner against males here yesterday.

2. Alpha Tammy (Golden Missile - Noble Pursuit, by Affirmed)
Trainer: Jamie Sanders
Foaled April 6, 2005 in Kentucky...$65,000 yearling (Keeneland September 2006)...half-sister to multiple Grade 3-placed router Kansas City Boy (19-3-4-1, $151,802, 1-5 at two)...sire a Grade 1 route winner (25-7-7-4, $2,194,510, 0-1 at two, all wins either routing or on turf...sire 6-82 (7%) with juvenile firsters (2 older debut winners this year)...dam was a winner (11-2-2-0, $58,846, 0-1 at two, cost $75,000 as a yearling)...dam has 8 foals of racing age, 7 runners, 4 winners, 3 juvenile runners, 2 juvenile winners...dam a half-sister to Grade 1 winner Is Your Pleasure (37-6-8-5, $358,074), and stakes-placed I'm Tickled Pink (14-2-0-3, $54,516, 2-4 at two, won debut)...trainer is 1-23 (4%, $2.25 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile firsters (1-5, 20%, $10.55 ROI in 4.5 furlong races at Keeneland)...April 2 workout matches up with barn's juvenile High Bridled (finished third in maiden special weight here yesterday).

3. Galena (Count the Time - Seeking Heaven, by Petionville)
Trainer: Steven Asmussen
Foaled January 8, 2005 in Louisiana...sire a Grade 3 route winner (45-12-9-8, $677,499, 2-4 at two, won debut)...sire 6-78 (8%) with juvenile firsters...dam a juvenile stakes-winner (22-3-3-4, $56,329, 2-5 at two)...dam has 2 foals of racing age, 1 runner, 0 winners, 1 juvenile runner...dam a half-sister to turf stakes-winner Madame Dahar (25-6-3-6, $102,653, 0-4 at two, all wins on grass)...trainer is 112-565 (20%, $2.10 ROI) over the past five years (4 debut winners this year, 1 juvenile) with juvenile firsters (13-54, 24%, 1.90 ROI in 4.5 furlong races at Keeneland)...March 11, March 18 works match up with barn's juvenile filly Elocution (won debut here on April 7)...March 18 workout matches barn's juvenile filly Sky Mom (ran second here on April 7)...April 3 workout matches barn's juvenile Must Acquit (finished fourth here yesterday).

4. Miss Red Delicious (Empire Maker - Miss Mary Apples, by Clever Trick)
Trainer: Mark Hubley
Foaled April 11, 2005 in Kentucky...$90,000 RNA (Keeneland September 2006)...sire a multiple Grade 1 route winner (8-4-3-1, $1,985,800, 1-2 at two, won debut, all races routing)...this is sire's first starter...dam was Grade 2-placed sprinting at two (19-3-4-3, $171,172, 1-7 at two, won debut, all wins sprinting, sold for $37,000 as a yearling)...this is dam's first foal...second dam a half-sister to juvenile stakes-winner Maddie's Charm (12-2-0-1, $58,975, 2-5 at two, both wins either routing or on turf)...trainer is 4-12 (33%, $4.73 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile firsters (2-3, 67%, $13.07 ROI in 4.5 furlong baby races at Keeneland).

5. Countessnistelrooy (Van Nistelrooy - Countess Marq, by Marquetry)
Trainer: Gregory Fox
Foaled January 19, 2005 in Kentucky...sire a Group 2 turf route winner at two in Ireland (6-3-1-1, all races at two, won debut, all wins on turf)...this is sire's first starter...dam was stakes-placed (12-3-4-0, $102,735, cost $50,000 as a yearling, and $150,000 as a juvenile)...this is dam's first foal...dam a half-sister to stakes-winning juvenile Diamonds and Legs (8-3-3-1, $91,101, 2-4 at two, all wins sprinting)...trainer is 0-2 over the last five years with debuting juveniles.

6. Posse Valley (Posse - Eltisha, by Eltish)
Trainer: Steven Asmussen
Foaled January 12, 2005 in Florida...$85,000 short yearling (OBS January 2006)...sire a Grade 2 sprint winner (18-7-2-2, $662,841, 2-7 at two, won debut, all wins sprinting)...sire is 0-1 with juvenile firsters...dam was stakes-placed (25-5-1-7, $112,547, 2-5 at two, won debut, 4 sprint wins)...this is dam's first foal...second dam a half-sister to juvenile stakes-placed Pencil (64-8-8-6, $177,714, 1-9 at two), Grade 3-placed turfer Daddy's Dream (14-4-2-1, $121,750, 1-5 at two, all wins on turf), and turf sprint stakes-winner Red Lightning (47-4-4-5, $193,547, 0-5 at two, all wins either routing or on turf)...trainer is 112-563 (20%, $2.14 ROI) over the past five years (4 debut winners this year, 1 juvenile) with juvenile firsters (13-52, 25%, 1.97 ROI in 4.5 furlong races at Keeneland).

7. Love Buzz (Silver Charm - Open Story, by Open Forum)
Trainer: Dale Romans
Foaled February 3, 2005 in Kentucky...sire a multiple Grade 1 route winner (24-12-7-2, $6,944,369, 2-3 at two)...sire is 10-112 (9%) with juvenile firsters...dam was a stakes-winning juvenile (12-1-1-2, $76,290, 1-8 at two, all races sprinting, sold for $60,000 as a juvenile)...this is dam's first foal...second dam a stakes-winning juvenile (15-3-4-3, $195,650, 2-8 at two)...trainer is 24-179 (13%, $1.46 ROI) over the past five years (1 debut winner this year) with juvenile firsters (1-4, 25%, $3.05 ROI in 4.5 furlong baby races at Keeneland).

8. Miss General (Posse - Ghost Storm, by Silver Ghost)
Trainer: Todd Pletcher
Foaled March 8, 2005 in Kentucky...$300,000 yearling (Fasig-Tipton July 2006)...half-sister to multiple stakes-winner Stormin Away (24-7-4-2, $321,008, 1-6 at two, 6 wins either routing or on turf)... sire a Grade 2 sprint winner (18-7-2-2, $662,841, 2-7 at two, won debut, all wins sprinting)...sire is 0-1 with juvenile firsters...broodmare sire is damsire of 1 debut winner this year...dam was unraced (sold for $14,000 as a juvenile)...dam has 2 foals of racing age, 1 runner, 1 winner, 1 juvenile runner, 1 juvenile winner...dam a half-sister to Grade 3 winner Fast Decision (18-4-1-5, $191,366), and Grade 2-placed sprinter City Sister (14-32-4, $136,490, 0-1 at two, all wins sprinting)...trainer is 97-399 (24%, $1.78 ROI) over the past five years (3 debut winners this year) with juvenile firsters (10-25, 40%, $1.92 ROI in 4.5 furlong baby races at Keeneland).

Analysis:
BILLIE BOB goes out for the hottest juvenile trainer in the world right now, and that March 21 workout looks very, very good. She scratched out of yesterday's heat to await this spot, and that seems like a smart move after her stablemate romped by open lengths.
Never count out a Steve Asmussen-trained firster, and GALENA may be the best of his uncoupled entry. The Keeneland clockers noted that she worked "nicely in hand" on April 10, and it's nice to see top rider Garrett Gomez aboard. ALPHA TAMMY is stuck inside, but she worked quickly out of the gate in preparation for this. SUNSHINE LOVER may be the "other" part of the entry, but she has a solid speed pedigree, and seems well-prepared.
MISS GENERAL is bred for speed, sold very well at auction, and goes out for the high-percentage Pletcher barn. Must avoid a wide trip from far outside post. LOVE BUZZ may want a bit more ground although there is some speed on the bottom of the pedigree.

Selections:
1. Billie Bob
2. Galena
3. Alpha Tammy

The play: Billie Bob to win (5-2 odds or more)

Meet statistics (starts, wins, top picks in the money, profit/loss based on day's wager with odds limit): 3-1-1 (Even)